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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 4:15 PM ET

Washington

5-4 · Big Ten · Away

at

Michigan State

3-6 · Big Ten · Home

Statboy projection

Washington by 2.5

56% to win

Washington 56%Michigan State 44%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

WashingtonMichigan State
#58Résumé rank#73
+9.6#45Power rating+5.1#63
+3.6#62Offense+0.5#86
+6.5#36Defense+4.7#51
+0.5#55Special teams+1.4#14

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

WashingtonMichigan State
26.3#82Points per game19.3#127
21.9#46Points allowed23.6#59
0.17#62Offense EPA/play0.09#92
-0.01#31Defense EPA/play0.02#49
44.3%#61Offense success rate44.9%#56
38.7%#54Defense success rate38.8%#55
5.7#76Yards per play4.5#136
33.3%#1203rd down39.0%#82
60.8%#85Red zone TD rate58.0%#112
18.1%#14Havoc created16.2%#37
4.0#31Turnover margin-2.0#87

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Washington

Michigan State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Washington

Michigan State