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Week 12 · Game preview · Sat · TBA

Northwestern

6-3 · Big Ten · Away

at

Minnesota

5-4 · Big Ten · Home

Statboy projection

Northwestern by 7.5

69% to win

Northwestern 69%Minnesota 31%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

NorthwesternMinnesota
#35Résumé rank#53
+18.5#21Power rating+8.8#49
+14.0#7Offense-0.4#88
+4.5#53Defense+7.6#29
+0.4#61Special teams+2.4#1

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

NorthwesternMinnesota
31.0#49Points per game24.7#93
19.3#28Points allowed22.0#47
0.35#7Offense EPA/play0.12#86
0.01#45Defense EPA/play-0.04#27
53.1%#7Offense success rate40.4%#94
40.9%#75Defense success rate37.2%#36
6.4#27Yards per play4.9#127
42.7%#433rd down31.5%#129
66.3%#15Red zone TD rate59.3%#102
16.5%#31Havoc created17.3%#25
12.0#4Turnover margin6.0#18

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Northwestern

Minnesota

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Northwestern

Minnesota