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Week 13 · Game preview · Sat · TBA

Illinois

6-3 · Big Ten · Away

at

Northwestern

6-3 · Big Ten · Home

Statboy projection

Northwestern by 14.0

82% to win

Illinois 18%Northwestern 82%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

IllinoisNorthwestern
#38Résumé rank#35
+6.5#56Power rating+18.5#21
+10.4#20Offense+14.0#7
-3.7#112Defense+4.5#53
+0.4#62Special teams+0.4#61

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

IllinoisNorthwestern
28.4#68Points per game31.0#49
23.0#54Points allowed19.3#28
0.28#22Offense EPA/play0.35#7
0.19#116Defense EPA/play0.01#45
49.8%#19Offense success rate53.1%#7
43.7%#103Defense success rate40.9%#75
6.3#35Yards per play6.4#27
45.9%#283rd down42.7%#43
62.1%#68Red zone TD rate66.3%#15
12.1%#119Havoc created16.5%#31
0.0#65Turnover margin12.0#4

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Illinois

Northwestern

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Illinois

Northwestern