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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 3:30 PM ET

Nevada

3-6 · Mountain West · Away

at

Northern Illinois

0-9 · Mountain West · Home

Statboy projection

Nevada by 10.0

74% to win

Nevada 74%Northern Illinois 26%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

NevadaNorthern Illinois
#115Résumé rank#138
-9.6#113Power rating-21.7#137
-7.7#127Offense-5.9#123
-0.3#84Defense-11.2#137
+0.8#37Special teams-0.8#122

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

NevadaNorthern Illinois
20.8#116Points per game16.6#136
23.6#59Points allowed36.8#135
-0.01#127Offense EPA/play-0.00#124
0.14#95Defense EPA/play0.31#137
35.4%#130Offense success rate38.9%#110
39.6%#67Defense success rate49.7%#136
4.9#128Yards per play5.2#113
35.4%#1083rd down33.3%#120
56.3%#124Red zone TD rate55.9%#127
14.9%#56Havoc created12.0%#122
-14.0#138Turnover margin-6.0#122

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Nevada

Northern Illinois

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Nevada

  • Nov 6vs New MexicoL3-31
  • Oct 31at UCLAL0-27
  • Oct 24vs San José StateW28-13
  • Oct 17at North Dakota StateL17-31
  • Oct 10at UTEPW30-13

Northern Illinois