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Week 12 · Game preview · Fri 7:30 PM ET

Bowling Green

2-7 · Mid-American · Away

at

Toledo

7-2 · Mid-American · Home

Statboy projection

Toledo by 22.0

92% to win

Bowling Green 8%Toledo 92%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

Bowling GreenToledo
#131Résumé rank#61
-16.8#131Power rating+3.0#72
-8.9#132Offense-0.3#88
-3.7#113Defense+4.8#50
-1.2#130Special teams-0.6#115

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

Bowling GreenToledo
17.8#131Points per game35.4#22
29.0#105Points allowed24.4#67
-0.07#135Offense EPA/play0.12#85
0.16#109Defense EPA/play0.05#57
37.8%#120Offense success rate40.0%#98
46.2%#125Defense success rate37.3%#38
4.9#130Yards per play6.5#25
39.7%#783rd down42.9%#41
56.6%#119Red zone TD rate62.4%#58
12.5%#112Havoc created14.7%#62
-3.0#97Turnover margin1.0#56

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Bowling Green

Toledo

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Bowling Green

  • Oct 31at Western MichiganL10-23
  • Oct 24at BuffaloL24-31
  • Oct 17vs Ball StateL31-32
  • Oct 10vs Sacramento StateW38-10
  • Oct 3at Miami (OH)W24-20

Toledo

  • Nov 4at Sacramento StateW20-17
  • Oct 24vs Western MichiganW45-38
  • Oct 17at Eastern MichiganW34-14
  • Oct 10vs BuffaloL8-23
  • Oct 3at Ball StateW39-24