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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 3:00 PM ET

New Mexico State

3-6 · Conference USA · Away

at

Missouri State

3-6 · Conference USA · Home

Statboy projection

Missouri State by 2.0

55% to win

New Mexico State 45%Missouri State 55%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

New Mexico StateMissouri State
#117Résumé rank#119
-14.8#129Power rating-14.7#128
-8.7#131Offense-4.5#113
-2.2#100Defense-7.1#130
-1.4#131Special teams-0.6#114

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

New Mexico StateMissouri State
20.7#117Points per game23.9#97
25.8#75Points allowed30.0#112
-0.07#134Offense EPA/play0.02#116
0.15#105Defense EPA/play0.25#132
38.1%#118Offense success rate39.0%#109
43.2%#98Defense success rate46.0%#121
5.5#92Yards per play5.7#83
40.9%#583rd down36.6%#100
56.6%#121Red zone TD rate54.3%#132
13.8%#79Havoc created14.6%#67
-7.0#127Turnover margin-1.0#73

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

New Mexico State

Missouri State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

New Mexico State

  • Nov 7vs LibertyL14-30
  • Oct 28vs Jacksonville StateL0-24
  • Oct 21at Sam HoustonW30-24
  • Oct 7at Florida InternationalL3-22
  • Oct 1vs Western KentuckyW34-13

Missouri State

  • Nov 7at Florida InternationalL20-23
  • Oct 27vs Sam HoustonW24-3
  • Oct 20at DelawareL38-61
  • Oct 14vs Kennesaw StateW24-21
  • Oct 8at Western KentuckyL13-34