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← Monday, Mar 1 games

Game preview · Monday, Mar 1 · 7:00 PM ET

#15Virginia

3-0 · ACC · Away

at

#1Duke

2-0 · ACC · Home

Conference game

Statboy projection

Duke by 11 (82-71)

81% to win

Virginia 19%Duke 81%

From the Statboy Power ratings, with home court counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Ratings

VirginiaDuke
+27.3#15Power rating+37.2#1
121.5#18Offense124.6#4
94.2#19Defense87.4#1
70.5#154Tempo71.1#104
3-0Record2-0
#22Preseason rank#1

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold; tempo is a style, so neither is bold.

Team stats

VirginiaDuke
53.6%#58Shooting (eFG%)55.5%#17
50.6%#185Opponents' eFG%46.3%#32
18.4%#194Turnover rate20.4%#311
22.1%#17Turnovers forced21.2%#27
34.7%#58Offensive rebounding36.4%#24
33.0%#279Free throw rate43.2%#50
34.4%#1103-point %32.9%#168
32.9%#201Opponents' 3-point %29.2%#51
44.2%#82Shots from three39.6%#255

This season so far, not adjusted for opponents. Small numbers are national ranks.

Players to watch

Virginia

  • Thijs De Ridder#31 · F

    This season: 18.7 pts · 8.3 reb · 2.3 ast (3 games)

  • Chance Mallory#72 · G

    This season: 14.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 4.7 ast (3 games)

  • Johann Grunloh#121 · C

    This season: 13 pts · 5.7 reb · 2 ast (3 games)

Duke

Each team's top three in the Statboy player rankings (#rank · position).

Recent results

Virginia

Duke