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Week 11 · Game preview · Wed 7:30 PM ET

Buffalo

6-3 · Mid-American · Away

at

Ball State

3-6 · Mid-American · Home

Statboy projection

Ball State by 3.5

59% to win

Buffalo 41%Ball State 59%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

BuffaloBall State
#77Résumé rank#123
-13.7#126Power rating-12.0#121
-7.8#128Offense-2.2#98
-4.8#117Defense-7.7#132
+0.1#78Special teams+0.2#71

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

BuffaloBall State
23.9#97Points per game22.9#104
26.0#79Points allowed34.8#132
-0.00#123Offense EPA/play0.10#90
0.20#118Defense EPA/play0.28#135
34.0%#134Offense success rate38.6%#113
44.3%#110Defense success rate44.4%#111
4.7#133Yards per play5.3#107
39.0%#843rd down35.7%#106
54.2%#133Red zone TD rate61.4%#73
12.7%#110Havoc created13.0%#103
-5.0#114Turnover margin-1.0#73

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Buffalo

Ball State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Buffalo

  • Nov 3at Miami (OH)W34-31
  • Oct 24vs Bowling GreenW31-24
  • Oct 17vs MassachusettsW25-18
  • Oct 10at ToledoW23-8
  • Oct 3vs Western MichiganL17-20

Ball State

  • Nov 4at MassachusettsL30-31
  • Oct 24vs Sacramento StateW34-17
  • Oct 17at Bowling GreenW32-31
  • Oct 10at NorthwesternL14-45
  • Oct 3vs ToledoL24-39