
College Basketball · Patriot · 2026-27
Holy Cross Crusaders
0-2 · Coach Dave Paulsen
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-22.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -17.7 (#345)
Preseason: #345
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
9-23
- Conference record
- 5-13
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #345 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #329 in the country (-17.7), 11-22.
- →39% of last season's minutes are back.
- →1 transfer in, led by Bradyn Foster (Pennsylvania, 0 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Jaelon Germany (#327).
- →Lost Tyler Boston (14.2 ppg, now at Seattle U), Gabe Warren (12.5 ppg, now at New Mexico State), Aiden Disu (10.8 ppg, now at Iona).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Holy Cross
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan RichardF · Junior · #3451 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 (0-6) | 0.0 (0-1) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Tristen WilsonG · Freshman · #3437 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 58.3 (7-12) | 0.0 (0-1) | 75.0 (12-16) |
| Chuck HareF · Junior · #2991 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 57.1 (8-14) | 0.0 (0-1) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Kole HansonG · Junior · #3352 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 28.6 (6-21) | 36.4 (4-11) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Jaelon GermanyG · Freshman · #3448 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-2) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Jude HaighF · Sophomore · #3527 ranked | 2 · 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 36.4 (4-11) | 44.4 (4-9) | — (0-0) |
| John St. Germain IIIG · Senior · #3382 ranked | 2 · 1 | 17.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 30.8 (4-13) | 40.0 (2-5) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Arius AlijosiusG · Junior · #3927 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 37.5 (3-8) | 42.9 (3-7) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Bradyn FosterF · Junior · #2915 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 25.0 (2-8) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Elijah FlowersF · Sophomore · #3910 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 (3-10) | 16.7 (1-6) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Ethan ClarkF · Sophomore · #3603 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Liam RigneyF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Austin MejiaG · Junior · #3588 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan RichardF · Junior | 23 | 5.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Joe NugentF · Senior | 20 | 11.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| John St. Germain IIIG · Senior | 16 | 4.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast | |
| Declan RyanF · Senior | 13 | 4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Bradyn FosterF · Junior | 12 | 0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast | |
| Chuck HareF · Junior | 9 | 2.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Jaelon GermanyG · Freshman | Freshman · #327 recruit | 8 | — |
| Jude HaighF · Sophomore | 7 | 1.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Austin MejiaG · Junior | 5 | 0 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Ethan ClarkF · Sophomore | 5 | 0 pts · 0.6 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Tyler Boston (14.2 ppg, to
Seattle U), Gabe Warren (12.5 ppg, to
New Mexico State), Aiden Disu (10.8 ppg, to
Iona), DeAndre Williams (7.9 ppg, to
Maine), Will Aljancic (3.1 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Joe Nugent | F | Senior | 6-6 · 218 | Berkley, MA | Hasn't played | 11.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.7 ast (21 G) | #1898 · -0.07 | |
| 12 | Bradyn Foster | F | Junior | 6-8 · 219 | Natrona Heights, PA | 3.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | #2915 · -0.46 | |
| 22 | Chuck Hare | F | Junior | 6-11 · 235 | Shelton, CT | 10.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 2.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.1 ast (24 G) | #2991 · -0.49 | |
| 34 | Declan Ryan | F | Senior | 6-8 · 265 | Buffalo, NY | Hasn't played | 4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast (26 G) | #3272 · -0.61 | |
| 3 | Kole Hanson | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-2 · 178 | Prior Lake, MN | 8.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3352 · -0.64 |
| 4 | John St. Germain III | G | Senior | 6-2 · 193 | Charlottesville, VA | 6.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 4.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.0 ast (31 G) | #3382 · -0.65 | |
| 10 | Tristen Wilson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 178 | Baltimore, MD | 13.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3437 · -0.69 |
| 21 | Jaelon Germany | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 187 | Irving, TX | 4.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3448 · -0.69 |
| 23 | Aidan Richard | F | Junior | 6-7 · 201 | San Antonio, TX | 1.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 5.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.8 ast (30 G) | #3451 · -0.69 | |
| 2 | Jude Haigh | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 192 | Altoona, PA | 6.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.3 ast (13 G) | #3527 · -0.73 | |
| 33 | Austin Mejia | G | Junior | 6-3 · 188 | Wayne, NJ | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast (7 G) | #3588 · -0.76 | |
| 5 | Ethan Clark | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 202 | Dartmouth, MA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #3603 · -0.76 | |
| 1 | Elijah Flowers | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 189 | Washington, DC | 4.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3910 · -0.89 |
| 0 | Arius Alijosius | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-5 · 198 | Riverside, IL | 5.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3927 · -0.90 |
| 15 | Kosi Mgbejiofor | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-11 · 202 | Enugu, Nigeria | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 35 | Liam Rigney | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 197 | Lake Oswego, OR | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 | L59-103Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | L66-95Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 | Projected 69-86HC: 8% to winHoly Cross: 8% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | Projected 73-75HC: 44% to winHoly Cross: 44% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 70-74HC: 36% to winHoly Cross: 36% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 66-79HC: 13% to winHoly Cross: 13% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 69-81HC: 15% to winHoly Cross: 15% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 69-73HC: 36% to winHoly Cross: 36% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 74-86HC: 14% to winHoly Cross: 14% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 69-77HC: 23% to winHoly Cross: 23% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | vsJohnson & Wales(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 15 | vsLesley(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 17 | Projected 62-97HC: 1% to winHoly Cross: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 59-93HC: 1% to winHoly Cross: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 73-75HC: 41% to winHoly Cross: 41% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 66-84HC: 7% to winHoly Cross: 7% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 70-74HC: 38% to winHoly Cross: 38% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 70-78HC: 23% to winHoly Cross: 23% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 67-80HC: 12% to winHoly Cross: 12% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 73-81HC: 25% to winHoly Cross: 25% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 74-77HC: 38% to winHoly Cross: 38% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 73-79HC: 33% to winHoly Cross: 33% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 70-79HC: 22% to winHoly Cross: 22% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 73-75HC: 43% to winHoly Cross: 43% to win Compare | |
| Feb 1 | Projected 69-76HC: 29% to winHoly Cross: 29% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 67-77HC: 20% to winHoly Cross: 20% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 77-74HC: 59% to winHoly Cross: 59% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 70-77HC: 26% to winHoly Cross: 26% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 70-84HC: 11% to winHoly Cross: 11% to win Compare | |
| Feb 21 | Projected 70-82HC: 16% to winHoly Cross: 16% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 73-72HC: 50% to winHoly Cross: 50% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 69-81HC: 17% to winHoly Cross: 17% to win Compare | |
Patriot standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 |