
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-12.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -5.4 (#223)
Preseason: #223
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-15
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 3%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- +0.3
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #223 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #149 in the country (+1.4), 26-8.
- →40% of last season's minutes are back.
- →Lost Austin Benigni (18 ppg), Aidan Kehoe (15.2 ppg), Donovan Draper (8.8 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Navy
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan PennickG · Senior · #2221 ranked | 1 · 1 | 38.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 35.7 (5-14) | 42.9 (3-7) | 78.6 (11-14) |
| Jinwoo KimG · Senior · #1576 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 10.5 (2-19) | 12.5 (1-8) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| David BurnettG · Junior · #1669 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 12.5 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 47.1 (8-17) | 75.0 (3-4) | 42.9 (6-14) |
| Cam ColeG · Senior · #1924 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 30.8 (4-13) | 20.0 (1-5) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Jerry Ashley Jr.F · Sophomore · #2253 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 45.5 (5-11) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (3-6) |
| Luke MayberryG · Freshman · #3988 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Sean GriffinF · Freshman · #3592 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 30.8 (4-13) | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Justin NordinG · Freshman · #3703 ranked | 2 · 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 14.3 (1-7) | 0.0 (0-5) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Drew TimmonsF · Freshman · #3838 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 0.0 (0-2) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Julian GabbidonG · Senior · #2452 ranked | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Akim IscandariG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 20.0 (1-5) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Matt GaffneyG · Sophomore · #2577 ranked | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Cooper JacksonF · Junior · #2564 ranked | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jinwoo KimG · Senior | 28 | 9.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Jordan PennickG · Senior | 23 | 7.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| Cam ColeG · Senior | 20 | 6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| David BurnettG · Junior | 7 | 1.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Cooper JacksonF · Junior | 6 | 0.9 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Jerry Ashley Jr.F · Sophomore | 5 | 1.1 pts · 1.3 reb · 0 ast | |
| Julian GabbidonG · Senior | 5 | 1.1 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast | |
| Matt GaffneyG · Sophomore | 5 | 0.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Tobi RajiF · Junior | 5 | 0 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Austin Benigni (18 ppg), Aidan Kehoe (15.2 ppg), Donovan Draper (8.8 ppg), Mike Woods (6.5 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jinwoo Kim | G | Senior | 6-3 · 204 | Overland Park, KS | 3.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 9.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.8 ast (34 G) | #1576 · +0.06 | |
| 7 | David Burnett | G | Junior | 6-4 · 212 | Albany, GA | 12.5 pts · 9.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast (19 G) | #1669 · +0.02 | |
| 2 | Cam Cole | G | Senior | 6-2 · 170 | Bristow, VA | 5.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.6 ast (34 G) | #1924 · -0.08 | |
| 21 | Jordan Pennick | G | Senior | 6-0 · 185 | Randallstown, MD | 24.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 7.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.4 ast (34 G) | #2221 · -0.20 | |
| 11 | Jerry Ashley Jr. | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 229 | Cape Coral, FL | 6.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.1 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.0 ast (9 G) | #2253 · -0.21 | |
| 33 | Tobi Raji | F | Junior | 6-7 · 214 | Greenbelt, MD | Hasn't played | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | #2342 · -0.24 | |
| 3 | Julian Gabbidon | G | Senior | 6-3 · 183 | Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.1 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #2452 · -0.28 | |
| 42 | Cooper Jackson | F | Junior | 6-7 · 223 | Lewisville, NC | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.9 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.1 ast (17 G) | #2564 · -0.32 | |
| 24 | Matt Gaffney | G | Sophomore | 5-11 · 160 | Wakefield, MA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 0.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (4 G) | #2577 · -0.33 | |
| 17 | Sean Griffin | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 219 | Coatesville, PA | 5.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3592 · -0.76 |
| 18 | Justin Nordin | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 191 | Knoxville, TN | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3703 · -0.80 |
| 22 | Drew Timmons | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 229 | Covington, LA | 2.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3838 · -0.86 |
| 55 | Luke Mayberry | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 188 | Jacksonville, FL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3988 · -0.95 |
| 6 | Akim Iscandari | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-10 · 183 | Bowie, MD | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 19 | Bryce Reynierson | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-5 · 196 | Sparta, GA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 25 | Charlie Crane | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-10 · 215 | West Des Moines, IA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 34 | Dylan Gassaway | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 207 | Mount Airy, MD | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 23 | JP Baldwin | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 215 | Madison, MS | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Marlon Williams | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-11 · 163 | Baltimore, MD | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 35 | RJ Roche | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-5 · 183 | Ijamsville, MD | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 20 | Sam Pitrof | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 193 | Racine, WI | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Wayne Fletcher II | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 194 | Harrisburg, PA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Colin Pollock | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 210 | Ashburn, VA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L39-91Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | W66-60Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | vsCentral Penn(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 11 | Projected 70-77NAVY: 27% to winNavy: 27% to win Compare | |
| Nov 14 | Projected 67-68NAVY: 47% to winNavy: 47% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 61-81NAVY: 4% to winNavy: 4% to win Compare | |
| Nov 21 | Projected 71-66NAVY: 67% to winNavy: 67% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | vsPenn State Berks(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 27 | Projected 68-75NAVY: 30% to winNavy: 30% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 71-67NAVY: 64% to winNavy: 64% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 70-68NAVY: 58% to winNavy: 58% to win Compare | |
| Dec 6 | Projected 73-70NAVY: 58% to winNavy: 58% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 72-70NAVY: 55% to winNavy: 55% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 71-72NAVY: 47% to winNavy: 47% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 71-65NAVY: 73% to winNavy: 73% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 76-66NAVY: 79% to winNavy: 79% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 74-70NAVY: 62% to winNavy: 62% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 69-74NAVY: 34% to winNavy: 34% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 72-73NAVY: 47% to winNavy: 47% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 69-70NAVY: 48% to winNavy: 48% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 65-76NAVY: 18% to winNavy: 18% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 69-71NAVY: 43% to winNavy: 43% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 72-67NAVY: 66% to winNavy: 66% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 69-76NAVY: 27% to winNavy: 27% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 72-69NAVY: 61% to winNavy: 61% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 77-67NAVY: 80% to winNavy: 80% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 69-70NAVY: 44% to winNavy: 44% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 68-73NAVY: 36% to winNavy: 36% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 69-68NAVY: 52% to winNavy: 52% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 72-67NAVY: 64% to winNavy: 64% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 72-71NAVY: 55% to winNavy: 55% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 66-72NAVY: 28% to winNavy: 28% to win Compare | |
Patriot standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 |