College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27
TCU Horned Frogs
2-0 · Coach Jamie Dixon
Power Rankings
#31▲29
Who is best right now.
+22.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +15.4 (#60)
Preseason: #60
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
20-10
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #60 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #44 in the country (+19.1), 23-12.
- →51% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Gavin Sykes (Long Beach State, 19.4 ppg), DJ Thomas (West Virginia, 6.6 ppg), Luke Bamgboye (Texas Tech, 4.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Jayden Pierre (10.1 ppg), David Punch (14.1 ppg, now at Texas), Liutauras Lelevicius (8 ppg, now at Clemson).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like TCU
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ ThomasF · Sophomore · #812 ranked | 2 · 1 | 27.5 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 46.7 (7-15) | 50.0 (2-4) | 100.0 (14-14) |
| Tanner ToolsonG · Senior · #591 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 43.8 (7-16) | 33.3 (2-6) | 77.8 (7-9) |
| Micah RobinsonG · Junior · #316 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 18.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 76.9 (10-13) | 75.0 (6-8) | 73.3 (11-15) |
| Trent LincolnG · Junior · #2591 ranked | 2 · 0 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 42.9 (6-14) | 50.0 (4-8) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Brock HardingG · Senior · #281 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 47.1 (8-17) | 57.1 (4-7) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Xavier EdmondsF · Senior · #91 ranked | 2 · 2 | 17.5 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (9-18) | 50.0 (1-2) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Ryan HuntF · Junior · #2858 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 71.4 (5-7) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Gavin SykesG · Sophomore · #505 ranked | 1 · 0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 28.6 (2-7) | 40.0 (2-5) | 100.0 (5-5) |
| Ricards AizpursG · Freshman · #3328 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 41.7 (5-12) | 25.0 (1-4) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Luke BamgboyeF · Junior · #428 ranked | 1 · 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Milos SojicF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Gavin MurphyG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Drew McElroyG · Senior · #1672 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jack WegmanG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock HardingG · Senior |  Returning | 30 | 8.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 5.5 ast |
| Micah RobinsonG · Junior | Returning | 26 | 10.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Xavier EdmondsF · Senior | Returning | 25 | 12.7 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Tanner ToolsonG · Senior | Returning | 21 | 7.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast |
| DJ ThomasF · Sophomore |  Transfer from West Virginia | 18 | 6.6 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Luke BamgboyeF · Junior |  Transfer from Texas Tech | 17 | 4.5 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Gavin SykesG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Long Beach State | 17 | 19.4 pts · 3 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Drew McElroyG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Jayden Pierre (10.1 ppg), David Punch (14.1 ppg, to 
Texas), Liutauras Lelevicius (8 ppg, to 
Clemson), Jace Posey (4.6 ppg, to 
UT Rio Grande Valley)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Xavier Edmonds | Returning | F | Senior | 6-8 · 252 | Long Beach, CA | 11.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 12.7 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.2 ast (35 G) | #91 · +1.89 |
| 2 | Brock Harding | Returning | G | Senior | 6-0 · 160 | Moline, IL | 13.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 8.5 ast (2 G) | 8.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 5.5 ast (35 G) | #281 · +1.23 |
| 5 | Micah Robinson | Returning | G | Junior | 6-6 · 230 | Kansas City, MO | 18.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 10.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.7 ast (35 G) | #316 · +1.17 |
| 9 | Luke Bamgboye | Transfer from Texas Tech | F | Junior | 6-10 · 223 | London, England | 0.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 4.5 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast (21 G) | #428 · +0.98 |
| 11 | Gavin Sykes | Transfer from Long Beach State | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 215 | Sacramento, CA | 11.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | 19.4 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (28 G) | #505 · +0.87 |
| 55 | Tanner Toolson | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 191 | Vancouver, WA | 11.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 7.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast (35 G) | #591 · +0.78 |
| 15 | DJ Thomas | Transfer from West Virginia | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 237 | Allen, TX | 15.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.6 ast (35 G) | #812 · +0.54 |
| 30 | Drew McElroy | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 178 | Dallas, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #1672 · +0.02 |
| 0 | Trent Lincoln | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-3 · 190 | Baltimore, MD | 10.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2591 · -0.33 |
| 33 | Ryan Hunt | New to Division I | F | Junior | 7-0 · 258 | Perth, WA | 6.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2858 · -0.43 |
| 8 | Ricards Aizpurs | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 220 | Gulbene, Latvia | 7.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3328 · -0.63 |
| 22 | Jack Wegman | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 175 | Fort Worth, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Milos Sojic | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 244 | Belgrade, Serbia | 2.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 23 | Sam Fleming | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 210 | Springfield, MA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 35 | Gavin Murphy | New to Division I | G | Junior | 5-11 · 173 | Calabasas, CA | 1.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsLindenwood | W98-59Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsSouthern | W106-54Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsUL Monroe | Projected 96-60TCU: 99% to winTCU: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsMilwaukee | Projected 90-63TCU: 99% to winTCU: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  vsTexas A&M | Projected 81-77TCU: 64% to winTCU: 64% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)#23MiamiPlayers Era 16 | Projected 75-76TCU: 46% to winTCU: 46% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 5 |  atNotre Dame | Projected 76-74TCU: 57% to winTCU: 57% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  vsAlabama State | Projected 92-61TCU: 99% to winTCU: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 | vsClemson | Projected 80-71TCU: 76% to winTCU: 76% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsHoly Cross | Projected 93-59TCU: 99% to winTCU: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsHouston Christian | Projected 86-61TCU: 99% to winTCU: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsOral Roberts | Projected 90-60TCU: 99% to winTCU: 99% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  at#5HoustonConference | Projected 69-78TCU: 21% to winTCU: 21% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  vsArizona StateConference | Projected 81-73TCU: 75% to winTCU: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 | vs#17Texas TechConference | Projected 73-74TCU: 49% to winTCU: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  at#21CincinnatiConference | Projected 71-76TCU: 32% to winTCU: 32% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atKansas StateConference | Projected 82-75TCU: 72% to winTCU: 72% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  vsBaylorConference | Projected 81-76TCU: 67% to winTCU: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atOklahoma StateConference | Projected 78-82TCU: 38% to winTCU: 38% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  vs#15BYUConference | Projected 81-82TCU: 48% to winTCU: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsColoradoConference | Projected 82-71TCU: 81% to winTCU: 81% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atArizona StateConference | Projected 78-76TCU: 56% to winTCU: 56% to win Compare |
| Feb 8 |  at#10ArizonaConference | Projected 75-83TCU: 23% to winTCU: 23% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsOklahoma StateConference | Projected 82-79TCU: 60% to winTCU: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 |  vsUtahConference | Projected 81-65TCU: 91% to winTCU: 91% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | at#15BYUConference | Projected 78-85TCU: 27% to winTCU: 27% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 |  vs#3KansasConference | Projected 73-78TCU: 32% to winTCU: 32% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  at#16Iowa StateConference | Projected 72-79TCU: 28% to winTCU: 28% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 | at#25West VirginiaConference | Projected 71-74TCU: 38% to winTCU: 38% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 |  vsUCFConference | Projected 85-74TCU: 81% to winTCU: 81% to win Compare |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Houston | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 3 | BYU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Texas Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Cincinnati | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | West Virginia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oklahoma State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | TCU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Baylor | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Arizona State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | UCF | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Utah | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | Arizona | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 14 | Iowa State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 15 | Colorado | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Kansas State | 0-0 | 1-1 |