
College Basketball · Patriot · 2026-27
American University Eagles
0-2 · Coach Duane Simpkins
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-1.9points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -2.7 (#191)
Preseason: #191
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
20-12
- Conference record
- 13-5
- Conference title
- 65%
- Outright title
- 49%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #191 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #247 in the country (-7.7), 16-16.
- →85% of last season's minutes are back.
- →Lost Geoff Sprouse (9.2 ppg, now at Mercyhurst).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like American University
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madden CollinsG · Sophomore · #634 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.0 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 45.5 (15-33) | 37.5 (3-8) | 76.9 (10-13) |
| Julen IturbeF · Junior · #1211 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 37.5 (6-16) | 30.8 (4-13) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Greg JonesF · Senior · #1094 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 25.0 (3-12) | 50.0 (2-4) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Matt MayockF · Senior · #1675 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 50.0 (3-6) | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) |
| Wyatt NausadisG · Junior · #2647 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 26.7 (4-15) | 30.8 (4-13) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Eric MichaelsF · Junior · #4000 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Dean HogansG · Sophomore · #2994 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 31.2 (5-16) | 36.4 (4-11) | — (0-0) |
| Merrick SmithF · Freshman · #3687 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Kade SebastianG · Sophomore · #1943 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| DJ SandiG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Chris EaganF · Sophomore · #3336 ranked | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Noah JonesF · Senior | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greg JonesF · Senior | 29 | 12.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 2 ast | |
| Matt MayockF · Senior | 27 | 8.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Julen IturbeF · Junior | 26 | 10.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.3 ast | |
| Madden CollinsG · Sophomore | 24 | 13.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 2 ast | |
| Kade SebastianG · Sophomore | 22 | 5.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Wyatt NausadisG · Junior | 22 | 7.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Chris EaganF · Sophomore | 13 | 3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Dean HogansG · Sophomore | 9 | 2.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Carson McDonaldF · Sophomore | 6 | 7.2 pts · 5 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Matthew CaseyG · Sophomore | 5 | 0.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Jack AndersonG · Sophomore | 5 | 0.3 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Geoff Sprouse (9.2 ppg, to
Mercyhurst)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Madden Collins | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 190 | Columbia, SC | 21.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 13.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.0 ast (32 G) | #634 · +0.73 | |
| 13 | Carson McDonald | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 225 | Denver, CO | Hasn't played | 7.2 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.2 ast (4 G) | #1055 · +0.34 | |
| 23 | Greg Jones | F | Senior | 6-6 · 205 | Alexandria, VA | 7.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 12.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.0 ast (32 G) | #1094 · +0.32 | |
| 32 | Julen Iturbe | F | Junior | 6-7 · 225 | Greenville, SC | 10.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 10.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.3 ast (32 G) | #1211 · +0.25 | |
| 33 | Matt Mayock | F | Senior | 6-7 · 195 | Berwyn, PA | 4.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 8.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.6 ast (31 G) | #1675 · +0.02 | |
| 4 | Kade Sebastian | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 190 | Fairfax, VA | 0.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 5.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.3 ast (32 G) | #1943 · -0.09 | |
| 7 | Wyatt Nausadis | G | Junior | 6-4 · 205 | Traverse City, MI | 7.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 7.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.7 ast (32 G) | #2647 · -0.35 | |
| 3 | Dean Hogans | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 205 | White Plains, NY | 7.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.3 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.2 ast (23 G) | #2994 · -0.49 | |
| 9 | Matthew Casey | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 185 | Miami, FL | Hasn't played | 0.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.1 ast (7 G) | #3004 · -0.49 | |
| 8 | Jack Anderson | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 190 | Menlo Park, CA | Hasn't played | 0.3 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.0 ast (6 G) | #3147 · -0.55 | |
| 35 | Chris Eagan | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 220 | Charlotte, NC | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.1 ast (32 G) | #3336 · -0.63 | |
| 15 | Merrick Smith | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-11 · 225 | Belgrade, ME | 1.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3687 · -0.80 |
| 25 | Eric Michaels | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-9 · 240 | Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #4000 · -0.97 |
| 0 | DJ Sandi | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 185 | Fort Lauderdale, FL | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Alexander Bryant | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 200 | New York, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Kamran Prince | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 185 | Goldsboro, NC | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 21 | Noah Jones | F | Senior | 6-6 · 200 | Manchester, MD | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L53-79Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | L73-82Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 | Projected 73-71AMER: 56% to winAmerican University: 56% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | Projected 72-71AMER: 53% to winAmerican University: 53% to win Compare | |
| Nov 19 | vsMary Baldwin(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 22 | Projected 73-68AMER: 66% to winAmerican University: 66% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | Projected 79-72AMER: 72% to winAmerican University: 72% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 79-69AMER: 81% to winAmerican University: 81% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 74-68AMER: 71% to winAmerican University: 71% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 70-82AMER: 15% to winAmerican University: 15% to win Compare | |
| Dec 6 | Projected 72-85AMER: 13% to winAmerican University: 13% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | Projected 67-82AMER: 10% to winAmerican University: 10% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 73-64AMER: 79% to winAmerican University: 79% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 74-80AMER: 29% to winAmerican University: 29% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 73-72AMER: 51% to winAmerican University: 51% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 84-66AMER: 93% to winAmerican University: 93% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 76-77AMER: 50% to winAmerican University: 50% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 78-64AMER: 89% to winAmerican University: 89% to win Compare | |
| Jan 11 | Projected 76-70AMER: 69% to winAmerican University: 69% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 76-74AMER: 58% to winAmerican University: 58% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 76-65AMER: 82% to winAmerican University: 82% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 75-67AMER: 76% to winAmerican University: 76% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 83-66AMER: 93% to winAmerican University: 93% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 79-70AMER: 77% to winAmerican University: 77% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 75-70AMER: 68% to winAmerican University: 68% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 79-67AMER: 85% to winAmerican University: 85% to win Compare | |
| Feb 8 | Projected 76-69AMER: 72% to winAmerican University: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 73-68AMER: 64% to winAmerican University: 64% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 79-67AMER: 84% to winAmerican University: 84% to win Compare | |
| Feb 21 | Projected 79-73AMER: 71% to winAmerican University: 71% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 79-69AMER: 82% to winAmerican University: 82% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 81-69AMER: 83% to winAmerican University: 83% to win Compare | |
Patriot standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 |