Power Rankings
#308▼36
Who is best right now.
-14.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -9.7 (#272)
Preseason: #272
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
15-17
- Conference record
- 8-8
- Conference title
- 11%
- Outright title
- 5%
- Luck
- -0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #272 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #288 in the country (-12.0), 17-17.
- →22% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Tennessee Rainwater (Le Moyne, 9.8 ppg), Geoff Sprouse (American University, 9.2 ppg), Daemar Kelly (Northern Illinois, 5.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Qadir Martin (11.6 ppg, now at Fairfield), Bernie Blunt III (17.6 ppg), Deshaun Jackson Jr. (6 ppg, now at South Carolina State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Mercyhurst
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff SprouseG · Senior · #2218 ranked | 3 · 3 | 32.0 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 32.4 (11-34) | 24.0 (6-25) | — (0-0) |
| Jake LemelmanG · Junior · #1725 ranked | 3 · 3 | 30.0 | 15.7 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 41.0 (16-39) | 31.6 (6-19) | 100.0 (9-9) |
| Cameron JohnsonF · Senior · #3173 ranked | 3 · 3 | 25.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 42.3 (11-26) | 20.0 (2-10) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Deraje AgbaosiF · Senior · #3675 ranked | 3 · 3 | 24.7 | 8.0 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 47.6 (10-21) | 0.0 (0-2) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Hunter Te RatanaG · Freshman · #3671 ranked | 3 · 0 | 24.7 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 33.3 (9-27) | 0.0 (0-10) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Markus Maxwell-GrimesG · Freshman · #3460 ranked | 3 · 1 | 19.0 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 57.1 (8-14) | 42.9 (3-7) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Shane KirkerF · Freshman · #3656 ranked | 3 · 0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 50.0 (3-6) | 0.0 (0-1) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Or FaranG · Sophomore · #3383 ranked | 3 · 2 | 17.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 20.0 (2-10) | 0.0 (0-5) | — (0-0) |
| Chris LemanF · Sophomore · #3396 ranked | 3 · 0 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake LemelmanG · Junior |  Returning | 28 | 14 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.1 ast |
| Geoff SprouseG · Senior |  Transfer from American University | 23 | 9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Tennessee RainwaterF · Senior |  Transfer from Le Moyne | 21 | 9.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Daemar KellyG · Senior |  Transfer from Northern Illinois | 17 | 5.6 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Cameron JohnsonF · Senior | Returning | 14 | 3.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Marcus JacksonG · Senior |  Transfer from Siena | 12 | 0.5 pts · 2 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Or FaranG · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 1.1 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Brady ConnerG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.3 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Chris LemanF · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 1.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Qadir Martin (11.6 ppg, to 
Fairfield), Bernie Blunt III (17.6 ppg), Deshaun Jackson Jr. (6 ppg, to 
South Carolina State), Christian Gamble (3.9 ppg), Mykolas Ivanauskas (7.4 ppg, to Northern Illinois), Sean Lang (0.8 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tennessee Rainwater | Transfer from Le Moyne | F | Senior | 6-7 · 215 | Davenport, WA | Hasn't played | 9.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.7 ast (32 G) | #1384 · +0.15 |
| 11 | Jake Lemelman | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 165 | Newton, MA | 15.7 pts · 3.0 reb · 6.0 ast (3 G) | 14.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.1 ast (34 G) | #1725 · 0.00 |
| 44 | Marcus Jackson | Transfer from Siena | G | Senior | 6-1 · 195 | Amsterdam, NY | Hasn't played | 0.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.7 ast (6 G) | #1848 · -0.06 |
| 12 | Geoff Sprouse | Transfer from American University | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Pembroke Pines, FL | 9.3 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | 9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.9 ast (32 G) | #2218 · -0.20 |
| 3 | Cameron Johnson | Returning | F | Senior | 6-5 · 200 | Shepherdstown, WV | 9.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 3.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast (33 G) | #3173 · -0.56 |
| 2 | Brady Conner | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 200 | Bellbrook, OH | Hasn't played | 0.3 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.1 ast (7 G) | #3320 · -0.62 |
| 32 | Or Faran | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 203 | Giv'atayim, Israel | 1.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | 1.1 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast (10 G) | #3383 · -0.65 |
| 13 | Chris Leman | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 220 | New Orleans, LA | 1.3 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | 1.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.0 ast (6 G) | #3396 · -0.66 |
| 1 | Markus Maxwell-Grimes | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 170 | Harlem, NY | 7.7 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3460 · -0.70 |
| 7 | Daemar Kelly | Transfer from Northern Illinois | G | Senior | 6-5 · 190 | Pittsburgh, PA | Hasn't played | 5.6 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast (29 G) | #3483 · -0.70 |
| 0 | Shane Kirker | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 220 | East Berne, NY | 3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3656 · -0.78 |
| 5 | Hunter Te Ratana | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 190 | Auckland, New Zealand | 7.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.7 ast (3 G) | — | #3671 · -0.79 |
| 23 | Deraje Agbaosi | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-7 · 215 | Union, NJ | 8.0 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3675 · -0.79 |
| 8 | Johnathon Pierce | New to Division I | Junior | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atMarquette | L43-78Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  atNotre Dame | L56-83Box score → |
| Nov 7 | vsPenn State-Shenango(non-D1) | W89-50Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 12 |  atPenn State | Projected 67-83MERC: 8% to winMercyhurst: 8% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  atJames Madison | Projected 66-78MERC: 15% to winMercyhurst: 15% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  atCanisiusQueen City Classic | Projected 71-65MERC: 70% to winMercyhurst: 70% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vs (N)Western IllinoisQueen City Classic | Projected 74-64MERC: 81% to winMercyhurst: 81% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  vs (N)UAlbanyQueen City Classic | Projected 70-69MERC: 52% to winMercyhurst: 52% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 | vsSUNY Fredonia(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 1 |  at#25West Virginia | Projected 54-82MERC: 1% to winMercyhurst: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  atMorgan State | Projected 73-72MERC: 50% to winMercyhurst: 50% to win Compare |
| Dec 7 |  atCoppin State | Projected 69-67MERC: 56% to winMercyhurst: 56% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  atSyracuse | Projected 59-83MERC: 2% to winMercyhurst: 2% to win Compare |
| Dec 14 | vsMount Aloysius(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 16 |  atNorthwestern | Projected 59-82MERC: 3% to winMercyhurst: 3% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atSt. Bonaventure | Projected 65-77MERC: 15% to winMercyhurst: 15% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atNew HavenConference | Projected 66-67MERC: 46% to winMercyhurst: 46% to win Compare |
| Jan 4 | atLe MoyneConference | Projected 70-74MERC: 38% to winMercyhurst: 38% to win Compare |
| Jan 8 |  vsStonehillConference | Projected 70-67MERC: 61% to winMercyhurst: 61% to win Compare |
| Jan 10 |  vsCentral ConnecticutConference | Projected 71-66MERC: 69% to winMercyhurst: 69% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  atWagnerConference | Projected 67-70MERC: 38% to winMercyhurst: 38% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atFairleigh DickinsonConference | Projected 71-70MERC: 55% to winMercyhurst: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  atLong Island UniversityConference | Projected 66-74MERC: 24% to winMercyhurst: 24% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 | vsLe MoyneConference | Projected 73-71MERC: 59% to winMercyhurst: 59% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsChicago StateConference | Projected 72-67MERC: 66% to winMercyhurst: 66% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | vsLong Island UniversityConference | Projected 69-71MERC: 43% to winMercyhurst: 43% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atStonehillConference | Projected 67-70MERC: 40% to winMercyhurst: 40% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atCentral ConnecticutConference | Projected 68-69MERC: 50% to winMercyhurst: 50% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 | atChicago StateConference | Projected 69-70MERC: 45% to winMercyhurst: 45% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsNew HavenConference | Projected 68-64MERC: 66% to winMercyhurst: 66% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | vsFairleigh DickinsonConference | Projected 74-67MERC: 74% to winMercyhurst: 74% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsWagnerConference | Projected 70-67MERC: 58% to winMercyhurst: 58% to win Compare |
NEC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stonehill | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2 | Chicago State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 4 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 5 | Long Island University | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| 6 | Wagner | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Le Moyne | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 8 | New Haven | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Central Connecticut | 0-0 | 0-2 |