
College Basketball · ACC · 2026-27
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2-0 · Coach Micah Shrewsberry
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+14.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +13.0 (#71)
Preseason: #84
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-12
- Conference record
- 8-10
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.4
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #84 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #89 in the country (+9.8), 13-18.
- →34% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Logan Duncomb (Winthrop, 18.2 ppg), Ethan Roberts (Pennsylvania, 16.9 ppg), Devin Brown (Davidson, 6.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Jonathan Sanderson (#81), Gan-Erdene Solongo (#153).
- →Lost Markus Burton (18.5 ppg, now at Indiana), Cole Certa (12.8 ppg, now at Clemson), Jalen Haralson (16.2 ppg, now at Tennessee).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Notre Dame
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden ShrewsberryG · Senior · #764 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 46.2 (12-26) | 44.4 (8-18) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Braeden SmithG · Senior · #120 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 27.3 (3-11) | 50.0 (2-4) | 86.7 (13-15) |
| Ethan RobertsG · Senior · #879 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 (9-15) | 57.1 (4-7) | 100.0 (7-7) |
| Brady KoehlerF · Sophomore · #883 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 16.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 60.0 (12-20) | 62.5 (5-8) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Logan DuncombC · Senior · #50 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 50.0 (5-10) | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Tommy AhnemanC · Sophomore · #3268 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 33.3 (3-9) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (5-5) |
| Logan ImesG · Senior · #1780 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 25.0 (2-8) | 16.7 (1-6) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Jonathan SandersonG · Freshman · #1517 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.3 (3-11) | 28.6 (2-7) | — (0-0) |
| Yoro DialloF · Senior | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Bryce Ruglass DortchF · Junior · #1647 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Devin BrownG · Sophomore · #1458 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Gan-Erdene SolongoC · Freshman · #2469 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Nick ShrewsberryG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Brady StevensG · Junior · #2193 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Luke DevineF · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jake BurowG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden ShrewsberryG · Senior | 30 | 11.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.9 ast | |
| Braeden SmithG · Senior | 23 | 5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.6 ast | |
| Logan DuncombC · Senior | 22 | 18.2 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Logan ImesG · Senior | 20 | 4.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Devin BrownG · Sophomore | 19 | 6.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Ethan RobertsG · Senior | 19 | 16.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 2.3 ast | |
| Brady KoehlerF · Sophomore | 17 | 5.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Bryce Ruglass DortchF · Junior | 16 | 2.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Jonathan SandersonG · Freshman | Freshman · #81 recruit | 11 | — |
| Gan-Erdene SolongoC · Freshman | Freshman · #153 recruit | 9 | — |
| Brady StevensG · Junior | 5 | 0.6 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Markus Burton (18.5 ppg, to
Indiana), Cole Certa (12.8 ppg, to
Clemson), Jalen Haralson (16.2 ppg, to
Tennessee), Carson Towt (5.9 ppg), Garrett Sundra (3.5 ppg, to
James Madison), Sir Mohammed (5.7 ppg, to
Pennsylvania)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Logan Duncomb | C | Senior | 6-10 · 250 | Cincinnati, OH | 5.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 18.2 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.6 ast (32 G) | #50 · +2.12 | |
| 3 | Braeden Smith | G | Senior | 6-0 · 180 | Seattle, WA | 10.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 6.5 ast (2 G) | 5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.6 ast (35 G) | #120 · +1.74 | |
| 11 | Braeden Shrewsberry | G | Senior | 6-4 · 205 | Granger, IN | 16.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 11.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.9 ast (31 G) | #764 · +0.59 | |
| 23 | Ethan Roberts | G | Senior | 6-5 · 200 | Arlington Heights, IL | 14.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 16.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 2.3 ast (23 G) | #879 · +0.48 | |
| 6 | Brady Koehler | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 220 | Fishers, IN | 16.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast (30 G) | #883 · +0.48 | |
| 5 | Devin Brown | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 215 | Lewis Center, OH | 1.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 6.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast (34 G) | #1458 · +0.12 | |
| 10 | Jonathan Sanderson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 195 | Ann Arbor, MI | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1517 · +0.09 |
| 4 | Bryce Ruglass Dortch | F | Junior | 6-9 · 210 | Somerville, MA | 1.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.1 ast (31 G) | #1647 · +0.03 | |
| 2 | Logan Imes | G | Senior | 6-4 · 200 | Zionsville, IN | 3.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 4.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast (31 G) | #1780 · -0.03 | |
| 0 | Brady Stevens | G | Junior | 6-4 · 190 | Boston, MA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.6 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.2 ast (5 G) | #2193 · -0.19 | |
| 44 | Gan-Erdene Solongo | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-0 · 275 | Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2469 · -0.29 |
| 15 | Tommy Ahneman | New to Division I | C | Sophomore | 6-10 · 255 | Fargo, ND | 5.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3268 · -0.61 |
| 8 | Jake Burow | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 200 | Slinger, WI | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 12 | Nick Shrewsberry | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 200 | Granger, IN | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | Luke Devine | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 220 | Moraga, CA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 7 | Yoro Diallo | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-9 · 215 | Cincinnati, OH | 0.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 1 | W74-72Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | W83-56Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | Projected 87-57ND: 99% to winNotre Dame: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 11 | Projected 88-60ND: 99% to winNotre Dame: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 69-83ND: 10% to winNotre Dame: 10% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Players Era 8Round 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 19 | Players Era 8Championship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 24 | Projected 86-64ND: 97% to winNotre Dame: 97% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 84-61ND: 98% to winNotre Dame: 98% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 70-77ND: 26% to winNotre Dame: 26% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 74-76ND: 43% to winNotre Dame: 43% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | Projected 83-64ND: 94% to winNotre Dame: 94% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 76-77ND: 48% to winNotre Dame: 48% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 87-64ND: 98% to winNotre Dame: 98% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 76-71ND: 66% to winNotre Dame: 66% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 75-76ND: 48% to winNotre Dame: 48% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 78-75ND: 62% to winNotre Dame: 62% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 75-73ND: 55% to winNotre Dame: 55% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 78-73ND: 67% to winNotre Dame: 67% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 75-72ND: 59% to winNotre Dame: 59% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 65-84ND: 5% to winNotre Dame: 5% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 76-83ND: 29% to winNotre Dame: 29% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 80-75ND: 66% to winNotre Dame: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 78-77ND: 50% to winNotre Dame: 50% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 69-72ND: 38% to winNotre Dame: 38% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 71-81ND: 20% to winNotre Dame: 20% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 78-70ND: 75% to winNotre Dame: 75% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 70-79ND: 21% to winNotre Dame: 21% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 72-80ND: 25% to winNotre Dame: 25% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 76-74ND: 56% to winNotre Dame: 56% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 73-76ND: 40% to winNotre Dame: 40% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 72-69ND: 58% to winNotre Dame: 58% to win Compare | |
ACC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 18 | 0-0 | 1-1 |