
College Basketball · Metro · 2026-27
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
1-1 · Coach Donny Lind
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-13.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -11.5 (#285)
Preseason: #285
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
16-15
- Conference record
- 11-9
- Conference title
- 5%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #285 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #281 in the country (-11.3), 15-17.
- →33% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Redd Thompson Jr. (Longwood, 10.3 ppg), Wilguens Jr. Exacte (Drake, 7.3 ppg), Cade Orness (Gonzaga, 0.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Xavier Lipscomb (9.4 ppg), Arlandus Keyes (12.3 ppg), Trey Deveaux (11.2 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Mount St. Mary's
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redd Thompson Jr.G · Junior · #2354 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 23.3 (7-30) | 15.4 (2-13) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Abdou Khadre KebeG · Junior · #1782 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 47.8 (11-23) | 20.0 (2-10) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Wilguens Jr. ExacteF · Senior · #1140 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 45.5 (10-22) | 28.6 (2-7) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Yakhya DiopF · Sophomore · #2812 ranked | 1 · 1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Anthony Arrington Jr.G · Senior · #3763 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 42.9 (6-14) | 50.0 (3-6) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Cade OrnessG · Sophomore · #2108 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | 0.0 (0-2) | 28.6 (2-7) |
| Anastasios RozakeasG · Junior · #3089 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 33.3 (2-6) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Julien SmithG · Freshman · #3629 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 11.1 (1-9) | 0.0 (0-3) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Noah LimolF · Freshman · #3755 ranked | 2 · 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Crue GardF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Miquel LlompartG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-5) | 0.0 (0-5) | — (0-0) |
| Ryan BrzezanskiF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Noah RogersG · Junior · #3273 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jaxon HartmanG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Redd Thompson Jr.G · Junior | 20 | 10.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 2 ast | |
| Mason SoG · Senior | 18 | 3.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.2 ast | |
| Abdou Khadre KebeG · Junior | 17 | 7.7 pts · 5.6 reb · 1 ast | |
| Wilguens Jr. ExacteF · Senior | 17 | 7.3 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Anthony Arrington Jr.G · Senior | 14 | 5.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Anastasios RozakeasG · Junior | 13 | 3.8 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Cade OrnessG · Sophomore | 12 | 0.4 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Yakhya DiopF · Sophomore | 11 | 1.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Noah RogersG · Junior | 5 | 0 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Xavier Lipscomb (9.4 ppg), Arlandus Keyes (12.3 ppg), Trey Deveaux (11.2 ppg), Luke McEldon (11.7 ppg, to
Northwestern), Justin Amadi (7.3 ppg), Patrick Haigh (3.3 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wilguens Jr. Exacte | F | Senior | 6-6 · 225 | Montreal, CA | 13.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 7.3 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast (18 G) | #1140 · +0.28 | |
| 9 | Abdou Khadre Kebe | G | Junior | 6-7 · 195 | Dakar, Senegal | 14.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 7.7 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.0 ast (22 G) | #1782 · -0.03 | |
| 10 | Cade Orness | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 190 | Poulsbo, WA | 4.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.4 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast (8 G) | #2108 · -0.16 | |
| 2 | Redd Thompson Jr. | G | Junior | 5-11 · 190 | Richmond, VA | 11.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 10.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.0 ast (32 G) | #2354 · -0.25 | |
| 23 | Yakhya Diop | F | Sophomore | 7-0 · 220 | Dakar, Senegal | 0.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 1.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.1 ast (31 G) | #2812 · -0.42 | |
| 1 | Anastasios Rozakeas | G | Junior | 6-8 · 210 | Athens, Greece | 3.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 3.8 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (24 G) | #3089 · -0.53 | |
| 4 | Mason So | G | Senior | 6-2 · 185 | Burke, VA | Hasn't played | 3.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.2 ast (31 G) | #3148 · -0.55 | |
| 5 | Noah Rogers | G | Junior | 5-11 · 175 | Waldorf, MD | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #3273 · -0.61 | |
| 3 | Julien Smith | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 180 | Indianapolis, IN | 2.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3629 · -0.77 |
| 12 | Noah Limol | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 202 | Martinique, France | 3.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3755 · -0.82 |
| 30 | Anthony Arrington Jr. | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Atlanta, GA | 8.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 5.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.1 ast (22 G) | #3763 · -0.83 | |
| 16 | Crue Gard | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-11 · 242 | Winnipeg, MB | 2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 11 | Ryan Brzezanski | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 210 | Ashburn, VA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Jaxon Hartman | G | Junior | 6-3 · 200 | Staunton, VA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 22 | Miquel Llompart | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-4 · 210 | Alcúdia, Spain | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 21 | Liam Joyce | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-6 · 220 | Allentown, PA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L52-97Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | W68-57Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 13 | Projected 60-87MSM: 1% to winMount St. Mary's: 1% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 70-71MSM: 46% to winMount St. Mary's: 46% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 68-72MSM: 36% to winMount St. Mary's: 36% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Projected 74-73MSM: 53% to winMount St. Mary's: 53% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 71-70MSM: 51% to winMount St. Mary's: 51% to win Compare | |
| Dec 4 | Projected 70-68MSM: 59% to winMount St. Mary's: 59% to win Compare | |
| Dec 6 | Projected 73-66MSM: 73% to winMount St. Mary's: 73% to win Compare | |
| Dec 10 | Projected 71-68MSM: 59% to winMount St. Mary's: 59% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 59-83MSM: 2% to winMount St. Mary's: 2% to win Compare | |
| Dec 17 | Projected 54-88MSM: 1% to winMount St. Mary's: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 20 | vsCentral Penn(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 29 | Projected 71-70MSM: 52% to winMount St. Mary's: 52% to win Compare | |
| Jan 3 | Projected 75-68MSM: 71% to winMount St. Mary's: 71% to win Compare | |
| Jan 8 | Projected 72-68MSM: 66% to winMount St. Mary's: 66% to win Compare | |
| Jan 10 | Projected 74-69MSM: 67% to winMount St. Mary's: 67% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 73-74MSM: 48% to winMount St. Mary's: 48% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 73-74MSM: 49% to winMount St. Mary's: 49% to win Compare | |
| Jan 18 | Projected 68-65MSM: 59% to winMount St. Mary's: 59% to win Compare | |
| Jan 22 | Projected 73-72MSM: 50% to winMount St. Mary's: 50% to win Compare | |
| Jan 24 | Projected 63-74MSM: 19% to winMount St. Mary's: 19% to win Compare | |
| Jan 29 | Projected 69-66MSM: 60% to winMount St. Mary's: 60% to win Compare | |
| Jan 31 | Projected 69-76MSM: 28% to winMount St. Mary's: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 5 | Projected 71-73MSM: 45% to winMount St. Mary's: 45% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 76-64MSM: 83% to winMount St. Mary's: 83% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 76-70MSM: 69% to winMount St. Mary's: 69% to win Compare | |
| Feb 19 | Projected 67-73MSM: 31% to winMount St. Mary's: 31% to win Compare | |
| Feb 21 | Projected 68-75MSM: 28% to winMount St. Mary's: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 26 | Projected 76-62MSM: 88% to winMount St. Mary's: 88% to win Compare | |
| Feb 28 | Projected 73-64MSM: 78% to winMount St. Mary's: 78% to win Compare | |
Metro standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 0-2 |