Power Rankings
#291▼62
Who is best right now.
-12.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -6.0 (#229)
Preseason: #229
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
13-18
- Conference record
- 11-9
- Conference title
- 4%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #229 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #188 in the country (-2.4), 23-11.
- →36% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Denver Anglin (Iona, 9.3 ppg), Elijah Wilborn (James Madison, 2.4 ppg), Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano (Fresno State, 2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Ernest Shelton (15.9 ppg, now at Boston College), Kevair Kennedy (18.4 ppg, now at Wake Forest), Andrés Marrero (7.9 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Merrimack
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Lesburt Jr.G · Senior · #3360 ranked | 2 · 2 | 33.5 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 21.7 (5-23) | 18.2 (2-11) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Denver AnglinG · Senior · #2731 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 29.6 (8-27) | 18.8 (3-16) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Ayden JohnsonG · Freshman · #3266 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 40.0 (4-10) | 20.0 (1-5) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Jeremiah AndersonG · Senior · #3419 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.5 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (10-20) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Todd BrognaF · Senior · #1351 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 (4-10) | 0.0 (0-4) | — (0-0) |
| Elijah WilbornF · Senior · #2052 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 66.7 (4-6) | — (0-0) | 33.3 (5-15) |
| Jacob MooreF · Freshman · #3743 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Dylan VeilletteF · Sophomore · #2242 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Rocco WestfieldG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) |
| JP SkoricF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-3) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tye DorsetG · Junior |  Returning | 33 | 11.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.2 ast |
| Todd BrognaF · Senior | Returning | 27 | 6.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 2.4 ast |
| Denver AnglinG · Senior |  Transfer from Iona | 20 | 9.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Elijah WilbornF · Senior |  Transfer from James Madison | 15 | 2.4 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Aram Vladimir Soqui UrbanoG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Fresno State | 13 | 2 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Dylan VeilletteF · Sophomore | Returning | 11 | 1.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Ernest Shelton (15.9 ppg, to 
Boston College), Kevair Kennedy (18.4 ppg, to 
Wake Forest), Andrés Marrero (7.9 ppg), KC Ugwuakazi (5.2 ppg, to 
Robert Morris), Malik Edmead (1.1 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tye Dorset | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 175 | Mount Laurel, NJ | Hasn't played | 11.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.2 ast (34 G) | #1260 · +0.22 |
| 20 | Todd Brogna | Returning | F | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | Southborough, MA | 4.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 6.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 2.4 ast (34 G) | #1351 · +0.17 |
| 5 | Elijah Wilborn | Transfer from James Madison | F | Senior | 6-8 · 255 | Middletown, CT | 6.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 2.4 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.3 ast (31 G) | #2052 · -0.13 |
| 0 | Dylan Veillette | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 230 | Ridgefield, CT | 3.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast (33 G) | #2242 · -0.21 |
| 7 | Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano | Transfer from Fresno State | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 185 | Rosarito Beach, Mexico | Hasn't played | 2.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.2 ast (14 G) | #2673 · -0.36 |
| 2 | Denver Anglin | Transfer from Iona | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Montclair, NJ | 10.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 9.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.9 ast (31 G) | #2731 · -0.39 |
| 3 | Ayden Johnson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-10 · 165 | Summerfield, NC | 5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3266 · -0.60 |
| 33 | AJ Lesburt Jr. | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-5 · 195 | East Kingston, NH | 8.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3360 · -0.64 |
| 1 | Jeremiah Anderson | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-1 · 175 | Brooklyn, NY | 11.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3419 · -0.68 |
| 14 | Jacob Moore | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 200 | Hamilton, VA | 1.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3743 · -0.82 |
| 24 | Amare Guerra | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-10 · 170 | San Antonio, TX | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 12 | David Munro | Returning | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 245 | Neptune, NJ | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | JP Skoric | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 200 | Ridgewood, NJ | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 11 | Quinn Kwasniak | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 185 | Chesterland, OH | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Rocco Westfield | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 180 | Philadelphia, PA | 3.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vs (N)App StateField of 68 Opening Day Marathon | L49-63Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  vsUMass LowellAmerica East-Metro Challenge | L61-71Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 |  atUAlbanyAmerica East-Metro Challenge | Projected 67-69MRMK: 45% to winMerrimack: 45% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  at#2Florida | Projected 53-89MRMK: 1% to winMerrimack: 1% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vsBoston University | Projected 70-69MRMK: 54% to winMerrimack: 54% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 |  vs (N)VermontThe Island Invitational | Projected 62-70MRMK: 26% to winMerrimack: 26% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  atHofstraThe Island Invitational | Projected 61-72MRMK: 18% to winMerrimack: 18% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vs (N)ColgateThe Island Invitational | Projected 69-73MRMK: 36% to winMerrimack: 36% to win Compare |
| Dec 4 |  atSienaConference | Projected 69-70MRMK: 46% to winMerrimack: 46% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  vsFairfieldConference | Projected 70-71MRMK: 49% to winMerrimack: 49% to win Compare |
| Dec 10 | vsVermont | Projected 64-68MRMK: 35% to winMerrimack: 35% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  at#6Michigan State | Projected 54-86MRMK: 1% to winMerrimack: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  atMaine | Projected 65-67MRMK: 46% to winMerrimack: 46% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 | vsIonaConference | Projected 64-68MRMK: 38% to winMerrimack: 38% to win Compare |
| Jan 1 |  atManhattanConference | Projected 70-69MRMK: 51% to winMerrimack: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 3 |  vsQuinnipiacConference | Projected 68-69MRMK: 49% to winMerrimack: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 8 |  vsMaristConference | Projected 68-67MRMK: 53% to winMerrimack: 53% to win Compare |
| Jan 10 | atFairfieldConference | Projected 67-73MRMK: 30% to winMerrimack: 30% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  atSaint Peter'sConference | Projected 62-65MRMK: 40% to winMerrimack: 40% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsCanisiusConference | Projected 73-60MRMK: 86% to winMerrimack: 86% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  vsNiagaraConference | Projected 71-62MRMK: 77% to winMerrimack: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 | atMaristConference | Projected 65-70MRMK: 33% to winMerrimack: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 | vsManhattanConference | Projected 72-66MRMK: 70% to winMerrimack: 70% to win Compare |
| Jan 29 |  atMount St. Mary'sConference | Projected 66-69MRMK: 40% to winMerrimack: 40% to win Compare |
| Feb 5 | vsSaint Peter'sConference | Projected 65-62MRMK: 59% to winMerrimack: 59% to win Compare |
| Feb 7 |  atRiderConference | Projected 70-65MRMK: 65% to winMerrimack: 65% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | vsSienaConference | Projected 72-67MRMK: 66% to winMerrimack: 66% to win Compare |
| Feb 19 | atNiagaraConference | Projected 68-65MRMK: 59% to winMerrimack: 59% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 | atCanisiusConference | Projected 70-63MRMK: 72% to winMerrimack: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 26 |  vsSacred HeartConference | Projected 73-68MRMK: 68% to winMerrimack: 68% to win Compare |
| Feb 28 | atQuinnipiacConference | Projected 65-72MRMK: 29% to winMerrimack: 29% to win Compare |
Metro standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iona | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Marist | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Mount St. Mary's | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Sacred Heart | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Fairfield | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Saint Peter's | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Merrimack | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Siena | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 10 | Manhattan | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Niagara | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Rider | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 13 | Canisius | 0-0 | 0-2 |