Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-9.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -6.9 (#239)
Preseason: #239
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-13
- Conference record
- 13-7
- Conference title
- 16%
- Outright title
- 8%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #239 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #198 in the country (-2.9), 19-12.
- →27% of last season's minutes are back.
- →1 transfer in, led by Jack Graham (New Hampshire, 11.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Dywane Chess (#346).
- →Lost Rhyjon Blackwell (12.1 ppg), Elijah Lewis (12 ppg), Justin Menard (12.9 ppg, now at Colorado State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Marist
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-RobertsG · Senior · #1281 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 21.4 (3-14) | 0.0 (0-2) | 85.2 (23-27) |
| Dywane ChessG · Freshman · #2970 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.5 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 38.1 (8-21) | 45.5 (5-11) | 63.6 (7-11) |
| Jack GrahamG · Senior · #2904 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 46.7 (7-15) | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) |
| Jordan GabrielC · Sophomore · #2103 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 50.0 (8-16) | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Myles ParkerF · Sophomore · #1741 ranked | 2 · 0 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 30.8 (4-13) | 36.4 (4-11) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Brandon ArnoldG · Freshman · #3645 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 75.0 (3-4) | 100.0 (2-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Edward OnyiaF · Sophomore · #3511 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Brady MacAdamsG · Freshman · #3547 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 45.5 (5-11) | 37.5 (3-8) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| Logan RodriguezF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Tarik WatsonC · Junior · #1944 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 20.0 (1-5) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Cameron SweeneyG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-RobertsG · Senior |  Returning | 28 | 7.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.2 ast |
| Jack GrahamG · Senior |  Transfer from New Hampshire | 17 | 11.2 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast |
| Myles ParkerF · Sophomore | Returning | 16 | 5.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Jordan GabrielC · Sophomore | Returning | 9 | 2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Dywane ChessG · Freshman | Freshman · #346 recruit | 8 | — |
| Tarik WatsonC · Junior | Returning | 8 | 6.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.3 ast |
Gone from last season: Rhyjon Blackwell (12.1 ppg), Elijah Lewis (12 ppg), Justin Menard (12.9 ppg, to 
Colorado State), Jaden Daughtry (5.3 ppg), Parby Kabamba (5.4 ppg, to 
Radford), Jason Schofield (8 ppg, to 
Loyola Chicago)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jadin Collins-Roberts | Returning | G | Senior | 6-1 · 175 | Edison, NJ | 14.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 7.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.2 ast (31 G) | #1281 · +0.21 |
| 5 | Myles Parker | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 205 | Plainfield, NJ | 8.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 5.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.7 ast (31 G) | #1741 · -0.01 |
| 25 | Tarik Watson | Returning | C | Junior | 6-8 · 225 | Middletown, NY | 2.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 6.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.3 ast (10 G) | #1944 · -0.09 |
| 21 | Jordan Gabriel | Returning | C | Sophomore | 6-9 · 230 | Mineola, NY | 8.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast (25 G) | #2103 · -0.16 |
| 1 | Jack Graham | Transfer from New Hampshire | G | Senior | 6-3 · 185 | Smithfield, RI | 8.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 11.2 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (30 G) | #2904 · -0.45 |
| 13 | Dywane Chess | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 200 | Bethlehem, PA | 14.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2970 · -0.48 |
| 10 | Edward Onyia | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 215 | Leicester, England | 3.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3511 · -0.72 |
| 23 | Brady MacAdams | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 200 | Doylestown, PA | 9.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3547 · -0.74 |
| 11 | Brandon Arnold | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 190 | Baldwin, NY | 4.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3645 · -0.78 |
| 2 | Cameron Sweeney | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 185 | Hershey, PA | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 31 | Drew Diaz | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 175 | Bronx, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 15 | Logan Franz | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-11 · 220 | Randolph, NJ | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 24 | Logan Rodriguez | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 220 | Plattsburgh, NY | 4.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsDartmouth | L62-69Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  vsUMBCAmerica East-Metro Challenge | W88-80Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 |  atUMass LowellAmerica East-Metro Challenge | Projected 72-74MRST: 44% to winMarist: 44% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  atLehigh | Projected 68-73MRST: 33% to winMarist: 33% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  atArmy | Projected 71-72MRST: 50% to winMarist: 50% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vsBryant | Projected 75-65MRST: 80% to winMarist: 80% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  atGeorge Mason | Projected 60-78MRST: 6% to winMarist: 6% to win Compare |
| Dec 4 |  vsSacred HeartConference | Projected 78-70MRST: 76% to winMarist: 76% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  atIonaConference | Projected 65-73MRST: 26% to winMarist: 26% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 | vsSUNY Oneonta(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 20 |  at#12Tennessee | Projected 57-87MRST: 1% to winMarist: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  at#21Cincinnati | Projected 57-85MRST: 1% to winMarist: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  atMount St. Mary'sConference | Projected 70-71MRST: 48% to winMarist: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 1 |  vsCanisiusConference | Projected 77-62MRST: 91% to winMarist: 91% to win Compare |
| Jan 3 |  vsNiagaraConference | Projected 75-64MRST: 84% to winMarist: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 8 |  atMerrimackConference | Projected 67-68MRST: 47% to winMarist: 47% to win Compare |
| Jan 10 |  atQuinnipiacConference | Projected 70-74MRST: 36% to winMarist: 36% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsManhattanConference | Projected 77-68MRST: 78% to winMarist: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  atRiderConference | Projected 74-67MRST: 73% to winMarist: 73% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 | vsMerrimackConference | Projected 70-65MRST: 68% to winMarist: 68% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 | atSacred HeartConference | Projected 75-73MRST: 56% to winMarist: 56% to win Compare |
| Jan 29 | vsIonaConference | Projected 68-70MRST: 46% to winMarist: 46% to win Compare |
| Jan 31 |  vsSienaConference | Projected 76-69MRST: 74% to winMarist: 74% to win Compare |
| Feb 5 | atNiagaraConference | Projected 72-67MRST: 67% to winMarist: 67% to win Compare |
| Feb 7 | atCanisiusConference | Projected 74-65MRST: 79% to winMarist: 79% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 |  vsFairfieldConference | Projected 74-72MRST: 57% to winMarist: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  atSaint Peter'sConference | Projected 66-67MRST: 47% to winMarist: 47% to win Compare |
| Feb 19 | vsMount St. Mary'sConference | Projected 73-67MRST: 69% to winMarist: 69% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 | vsRiderConference | Projected 77-64MRST: 88% to winMarist: 88% to win Compare |
| Feb 28 | atSienaConference | Projected 73-72MRST: 54% to winMarist: 54% to win Compare |
Metro standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iona | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Marist | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Mount St. Mary's | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Sacred Heart | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Fairfield | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Saint Peter's | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Merrimack | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Siena | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 10 | Manhattan | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Niagara | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Rider | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 13 | Canisius | 0-0 | 0-2 |