Power Rankings
#251▼30
Who is best right now.
-8.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -4.9 (#221)
Preseason: #221
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
19-12
- Conference record
- 13-7
- Conference title
- 20%
- Outright title
- 11%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #221 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #263 in the country (-9.1), 21-13.
- →50% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Qadir Martin (Mercyhurst, 11.6 ppg), Marko Radunovic (Boston College, 2.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Cole Edelen (#294).
- →Lost Braden Sparks (17.2 ppg), Brandon Benjamin (14.2 ppg, now at Boston College), Deuce Turner (8.4 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Fairfield
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan WucherpfennigG · Sophomore · #404 ranked | 1 · 1 | 38.0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 64.3 (9-14) | 33.3 (1-3) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Halon RawlinsG · Sophomore · #2689 ranked | 1 · 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Peyton SmithF · Senior · #3316 ranked | 1 · 1 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 28.6 (2-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Cole EdelenG · Freshman · #3117 ranked | 1 · 0 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 33.3 (3-9) | 25.0 (2-8) | 100.0 (5-5) |
| Jah HatchettG · Freshman · #3812 ranked | 1 · 0 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (4-8) | 0.0 (0-4) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Tony WilliamsG · Sophomore · #2749 ranked | 1 · 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 37.5 (3-8) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Qadir MartinF · Junior · #581 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Eric MejiaG · Junior · #2746 ranked | 1 · 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jaden BrownG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Isaac MunkadiF · Junior · #2215 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Declan WucherpfennigG · Sophomore |  Returning | 31 | 12.1 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Qadir MartinF · Junior |  Transfer from Mercyhurst | 24 | 11.6 pts · 7 reb · 1 ast |
| Tony WilliamsG · Sophomore | Returning | 19 | 6.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Eric MejiaG · Junior | Returning | 19 | 4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Halon RawlinsG · Sophomore | Returning | 17 | 3.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Marko RadunovicF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Boston College | 14 | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Isaac MunkadiF · Junior | Returning | 12 | 2.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Cole EdelenG · Freshman | Freshman · #294 recruit | 8 | — |
| Nasir RodriguezG · Sophomore | Returning | 8 | 2.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Joe GantonG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 1.3 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast |
| Tanner OstopG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Braden Sparks (17.2 ppg), Brandon Benjamin (14.2 ppg, to Boston College), Deuce Turner (8.4 ppg), Cam Estevez (3.5 ppg, to 
Wagner), Ryan Zan (1.1 ppg, to 
New Hampshire), Michael Rogan (1.4 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Declan Wucherpfennig | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 215 | Teaneck, NJ | 25.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 12.1 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.6 ast (34 G) | #404 · +1.02 |
| 12 | Qadir Martin | Transfer from Mercyhurst | F | Junior | 6-5 · 215 | Staten Island, NY | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 11.6 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (34 G) | #581 · +0.79 |
| 15 | Isaac Munkadi | Returning | F | Junior | 6-10 · 200 | Kinshasa, Congo | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 2.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast (34 G) | #2215 · -0.20 |
| 4 | Halon Rawlins | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 220 | Brooklyn, NY | 6.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 3.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast (33 G) | #2689 · -0.37 |
| 1 | Eric Mejia | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 195 | Washington Heights, NY | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.5 ast (34 G) | #2746 · -0.40 |
| 8 | Tony Williams | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 160 | Norwich, CT | 7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 6.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.7 ast (33 G) | #2749 · -0.40 |
| 88 | Marko Radunovic | Transfer from Boston College | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 205 | Podgorica, Montenegro | Hasn't played | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast (18 G) | #2931 · -0.46 |
| 24 | Joe Ganton | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 185 | North Caldwell, NJ | Hasn't played | 1.3 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #3050 · -0.51 |
| 0 | Cole Edelen | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 | Louisville, KY | 13.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3117 · -0.54 |
| 9 | Tanner Ostop | Returning | G | Senior | 6-0 · 165 | West Hartford, CT | Hasn't played | 0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #3134 · -0.55 |
| 5 | Nasir Rodriguez | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 210 | Queensbridge, NY | Hasn't played | 2.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast (22 G) | #3229 · -0.59 |
| 33 | Peyton Smith | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-10 · 245 | Hudson Falls, NY | 8.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3316 · -0.62 |
| 3 | Jah Hatchett | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 | Grand Rapids, MI | 8.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3812 · -0.85 |
| 25 | Brayden Jones | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Wethersfield, CT | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 11 | Jaden Brown | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 | Middletown, NY | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 23 | Oesoemana Sacko | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Far Rockaway, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Noah Best | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 175 | Bronx, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 5 |  vsVermontAmerica East-Metro Challenge | L67-79Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 |  atBryantAmerica East-Metro Challenge | Projected 74-70FAIR: 65% to winFairfield: 65% to win Compare |
| Nov 10 |  atWisconsin | Projected 66-86FAIR: 5% to winFairfield: 5% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  vsNJIT | Projected 79-67FAIR: 84% to winFairfield: 84% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 | vsSt. Joseph's Brooklyn(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 22 |  atLong Island University | Projected 72-76FAIR: 36% to winFairfield: 36% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 |  vsNavyMahoney Classic | Projected 75-68FAIR: 70% to winFairfield: 70% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vsCentral ConnecticutMahoney Classic | Projected 78-68FAIR: 81% to winFairfield: 81% to win Compare |
| Dec 4 |  vsManhattanConference | Projected 80-70FAIR: 80% to winFairfield: 80% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  atMerrimackConference | Projected 71-70FAIR: 51% to winFairfield: 51% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  atProvidence | Projected 66-87FAIR: 3% to winFairfield: 3% to win Compare |
| Dec 13 |  vsLe Moyne | Projected 80-73FAIR: 73% to winFairfield: 73% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 | atNew Hampshire | Projected 70-71FAIR: 47% to winFairfield: 47% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsSienaConference | Projected 79-71FAIR: 77% to winFairfield: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 1 |  atRiderConference | Projected 77-69FAIR: 76% to winFairfield: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 3 |  atIonaConference | Projected 68-75FAIR: 29% to winFairfield: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 10 | vsMerrimackConference | Projected 73-67FAIR: 70% to winFairfield: 70% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 | atSienaConference | Projected 76-74FAIR: 57% to winFairfield: 57% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atMount St. Mary'sConference | Projected 74-73FAIR: 51% to winFairfield: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  vsCanisiusConference | Projected 80-64FAIR: 92% to winFairfield: 92% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 | vsRiderConference | Projected 80-66FAIR: 89% to winFairfield: 89% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 |  atQuinnipiacConference | Projected 73-76FAIR: 39% to winFairfield: 39% to win Compare |
| Jan 31 | vsMount St. Mary'sConference | Projected 76-69FAIR: 72% to winFairfield: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 5 |  atSacred HeartConference | Projected 78-75FAIR: 60% to winFairfield: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 7 |  vsSaint Peter'sConference | Projected 72-66FAIR: 70% to winFairfield: 70% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 |  atMaristConference | Projected 72-74FAIR: 43% to winFairfield: 43% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsQuinnipiacConference | Projected 76-73FAIR: 60% to winFairfield: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 19 | atCanisiusConference | Projected 77-67FAIR: 81% to winFairfield: 81% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 |  atNiagaraConference | Projected 75-69FAIR: 70% to winFairfield: 70% to win Compare |
| Feb 26 | vsIonaConference | Projected 71-72FAIR: 49% to winFairfield: 49% to win Compare |
| Feb 28 | vsSacred HeartConference | Projected 81-72FAIR: 79% to winFairfield: 79% to win Compare |
Metro standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iona | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Marist | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Mount St. Mary's | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Sacred Heart | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Fairfield | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Saint Peter's | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Merrimack | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Siena | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 10 | Manhattan | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Niagara | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Rider | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 13 | Canisius | 0-0 | 0-2 |