
College Basketball · Big East · 2026-27
Providence Friars
1-1 · Coach Bryan Hodgson (new)
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+17.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +16.8 (#54)
Preseason: #54
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-13
- Conference record
- 9-11
- Conference title
- 2%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #54 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #69 in the country (+13.2), 15-18.
- →13% of last season's minutes are back.
- →9 transfers in, led by Ryan Sabol (Buffalo, 18.9 ppg), Devin Vanterpool (Florida Atlantic, 15.8 ppg), Malik Mack (Georgetown, 13.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Stefan Vaaks (15.8 ppg, now at Illinois), Jaylin Sellers (18.3 ppg), Jason Edwards (16.5 ppg).
- →New head coach: Bryan Hodgson, replacing Kim English. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one; his teams have finished 5.9 points above expectations, which counts a little.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Providence
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin HightowerG · Sophomore · #864 ranked | 2 · 0 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 27.3 (3-11) | 0.0 (0-4) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Malik MackG · Senior · #605 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 33.3 (6-18) | 30.0 (3-10) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Devin VanterpoolG · Junior · #268 ranked | 1 · 0 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 27.3 (3-11) | 22.2 (2-9) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Ryan MelaG · Junior · #382 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 34.8 (8-23) | 14.3 (1-7) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Jacob BannarbieF · Junior · #730 ranked | 2 · 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 100.0 (10-10) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Leonardo MarangonF · Freshman · #3025 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 33.3 (7-21) | 28.6 (4-14) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Miles ByrdG · Senior · #392 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 30.8 (4-13) | 30.0 (3-10) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Elijah SaundersF · Graduate Student · #1376 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (4-8) | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) |
| Javon BardwellF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | 50.0 (2-4) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Ryan SabolG · Senior · #493 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Arrinten PageF · Senior · #206 ranked | 1 · 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Samson AletanC · Senior · #331 ranked | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan MelaG · Junior | 26 | 9.9 pts · 5.3 reb · 2 ast | |
| Miles ByrdG · Senior | 24 | 10.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 2.6 ast | |
| Malik MackG · Senior | 23 | 13.6 pts · 3 reb · 4.1 ast | |
| Samson AletanC · Senior | 21 | 7.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Ryan SabolG · Senior | 21 | 18.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.2 ast | |
| Arrinten PageF · Senior | 20 | 10.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Elijah SaundersF · Graduate Student | 20 | 9 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Devin VanterpoolG · Junior | 19 | 15.8 pts · 6.3 reb · 2.4 ast | |
| Jacob BannarbieF · Junior | 17 | 5.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Gavin HightowerG · Sophomore | 15 | 4.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.7 ast |
Gone from last season: Stefan Vaaks (15.8 ppg, to
Illinois), Jaylin Sellers (18.3 ppg), Jason Edwards (16.5 ppg), Jamier Jones (11.9 ppg, to
Missouri), Corey Floyd Jr. (7.6 ppg), Oswin Erhunmwunse (6.9 ppg, to
Creighton)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Arrinten Page | F | Senior | 6-11 · 245 | Atlanta, GA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 10.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.8 ast (29 G) | #206 · +1.41 | |
| 22 | Devin Vanterpool | G | Junior | 6-4 · 195 | Laurel, MD | 11.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 15.8 pts · 6.3 reb · 2.4 ast (24 G) | #268 · +1.25 | |
| 20 | Samson Aletan | C | Senior | 6-10 · 223 | Dallas, TX | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 7.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast (29 G) | #331 · +1.15 | |
| 11 | Ryan Mela | G | Junior | 6-7 · 205 | Natick, MA | 11.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 9.9 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.0 ast (33 G) | #382 · +1.07 | |
| 21 | Miles Byrd | G | Senior | 6-6 · 200 | Stockton, CA | 7.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 10.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 2.6 ast (33 G) | #392 · +1.04 | |
| 2 | Ryan Sabol | G | Senior | 6-3 · 195 | Washington, DC | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 18.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.2 ast (32 G) | #493 · +0.88 | |
| 24 | Malik Mack | G | Senior | 6-2 · 175 | Oxon Hill, MD | 10.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 13.6 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.1 ast (34 G) | #605 · +0.76 | |
| 10 | Jacob Bannarbie | F | Junior | 6-9 · 235 | Anchorage, AK | 10.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.3 ast (30 G) | #730 · +0.63 | |
| 9 | Gavin Hightower | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 165 | Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 4.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.7 ast (26 G) | #864 · +0.49 | |
| 45 | Elijah Saunders | F | Graduate Student | 6-8 · 240 | Phoenix, AZ | 5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 9.0 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast (33 G) | #1376 · +0.16 | |
| 13 | Leonardo Marangon | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 190 | Vigodarzere, Italy | 9.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3025 · -0.50 |
| 4 | Clyde Walters | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 190 | Birmingham, AL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Javon Bardwell | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 198 | Harlem, NY | 6.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | John Jackson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 180 | Ridgewood, NJ | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W83-56Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | L58-67Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 87-59PROV: 99% to winProvidence: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 14 | Projected 81-74PROV: 72% to winProvidence: 72% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 91-63PROV: 99% to winProvidence: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 80-79PROV: 52% to winProvidence: 52% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Southwest Maui InvitationalRound 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 25 | Southwest Maui InvitationalChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 | Projected 86-61PROV: 99% to winProvidence: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 77-74PROV: 61% to winProvidence: 61% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | Projected 87-66PROV: 97% to winProvidence: 97% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 83-76PROV: 72% to winProvidence: 72% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 77-76PROV: 51% to winProvidence: 51% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 75-78PROV: 37% to winProvidence: 37% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 76-77PROV: 49% to winProvidence: 49% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 76-75PROV: 52% to winProvidence: 52% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 70-77PROV: 26% to winProvidence: 26% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 79-78PROV: 51% to winProvidence: 51% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 73-80PROV: 28% to winProvidence: 28% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 72-78PROV: 32% to winProvidence: 32% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 76-77PROV: 48% to winProvidence: 48% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 80-79PROV: 50% to winProvidence: 50% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 73-69PROV: 65% to winProvidence: 65% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 74-76PROV: 41% to winProvidence: 41% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 73-74PROV: 47% to winProvidence: 47% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 78-71PROV: 72% to winProvidence: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 78-75PROV: 59% to winProvidence: 59% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 70-72PROV: 43% to winProvidence: 43% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 79-73PROV: 69% to winProvidence: 69% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 69-81PROV: 15% to winProvidence: 15% to win Compare | |
| Mar 3 | Projected 75-81PROV: 29% to winProvidence: 29% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 77-73PROV: 63% to winProvidence: 63% to win Compare | |
Big East standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 1-1 |