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College Basketball · Big East · 2026-27

Providence Friars

1-1 · Coach Bryan Hodgson (new)

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Power Rankings

#53▲1

Who is best right now.

+17.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +16.8 (#54)

Preseason: #54

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

17-13

Conference record
9-11
Conference title
2%
Outright title
1%
Luck
-0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #54 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #69 in the country (+13.2), 15-18.
  • →13% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →9 transfers in, led by Ryan Sabol (Buffalo, 18.9 ppg), Devin Vanterpool (Florida Atlantic, 15.8 ppg), Malik Mack (Georgetown, 13.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Stefan Vaaks (15.8 ppg, now at Illinois), Jaylin Sellers (18.3 ppg), Jason Edwards (16.5 ppg).
  • →New head coach: Bryan Hodgson, replacing Kim English. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one; his teams have finished 5.9 points above expectations, which counts a little.

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Providence

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Gavin HightowerG · Sophomore · #864 ranked2 · 030.05.04.03.527.3 (3-11)0.0 (0-4)66.7 (4-6)
Malik MackG · Senior · #605 ranked2 · 228.010.03.52.533.3 (6-18)30.0 (3-10)83.3 (5-6)
Devin VanterpoolG · Junior · #268 ranked1 · 026.011.06.03.027.3 (3-11)22.2 (2-9)100.0 (3-3)
Ryan MelaG · Junior · #382 ranked2 · 223.511.07.02.034.8 (8-23)14.3 (1-7)62.5 (5-8)
Jacob BannarbieF · Junior · #730 ranked2 · 123.010.05.51.0100.0 (10-10)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Leonardo MarangonF · Freshman · #3025 ranked2 · 222.09.53.52.033.3 (7-21)28.6 (4-14)50.0 (1-2)
Miles ByrdG · Senior · #392 ranked2 · 221.57.53.51.530.8 (4-13)30.0 (3-10)100.0 (4-4)
Elijah SaundersF · Graduate Student · #1376 ranked2 · 014.55.01.00.050.0 (4-8)33.3 (2-6)— (0-0)
Javon BardwellF · Freshman2 · 09.06.02.00.044.4 (4-9)50.0 (2-4)50.0 (2-4)
Ryan SabolG · Senior · #493 ranked2 · 08.50.00.00.00.0 (0-3)0.0 (0-3)— (0-0)
Arrinten PageF · Senior · #206 ranked1 · 17.02.00.00.050.0 (1-2)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
Samson AletanC · Senior · #331 ranked1 · 07.00.02.00.00.0 (0-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Ryan MelaG · JuniorReturning269.9 pts · 5.3 reb · 2 ast
Miles ByrdG · SeniorTransfer from San Diego State2410.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 2.6 ast
Malik MackG · SeniorTransfer from Georgetown2313.6 pts · 3 reb · 4.1 ast
Samson AletanC · SeniorTransfer from Yale217.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast
Ryan SabolG · SeniorTransfer from Buffalo2118.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.2 ast
Arrinten PageF · SeniorTransfer from Northwestern2010.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.8 ast
Elijah SaundersF · Graduate StudentTransfer from Maryland209 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast
Devin VanterpoolG · JuniorTransfer from Florida Atlantic1915.8 pts · 6.3 reb · 2.4 ast
Jacob BannarbieF · JuniorTransfer from UNLV175.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.3 ast
Gavin HightowerG · SophomoreTransfer from South Florida154.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.7 ast

Gone from last season: Stefan Vaaks (15.8 ppg, to Illinois), Jaylin Sellers (18.3 ppg), Jason Edwards (16.5 ppg), Jamier Jones (11.9 ppg, to Missouri), Corey Floyd Jr. (7.6 ppg), Oswin Erhunmwunse (6.9 ppg, to Creighton)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
7Arrinten PageTransfer from NorthwesternFSenior6-11 · 245Atlanta, GA2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)10.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.8 ast (29 G)#206 · +1.41
22Devin VanterpoolTransfer from Florida AtlanticGJunior6-4 · 195Laurel, MD11.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G)15.8 pts · 6.3 reb · 2.4 ast (24 G)#268 · +1.25
20Samson AletanTransfer from YaleCSenior6-10 · 223Dallas, TX0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)7.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.3 ast (29 G)#331 · +1.15
11Ryan MelaReturningGJunior6-7 · 205Natick, MA11.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)9.9 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.0 ast (33 G)#382 · +1.07
21Miles ByrdTransfer from San Diego StateGSenior6-6 · 200Stockton, CA7.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)10.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 2.6 ast (33 G)#392 · +1.04
2Ryan SabolTransfer from BuffaloGSenior6-3 · 195Washington, DC0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)18.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.2 ast (32 G)#493 · +0.88
24Malik MackTransfer from GeorgetownGSenior6-2 · 175Oxon Hill, MD10.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)13.6 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.1 ast (34 G)#605 · +0.76
10Jacob BannarbieTransfer from UNLVFJunior6-9 · 235Anchorage, AK10.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)5.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.3 ast (30 G)#730 · +0.63
9Gavin HightowerTransfer from South FloridaGSophomore6-1 · 165Los Angeles, CA5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G)4.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.7 ast (26 G)#864 · +0.49
45Elijah SaundersTransfer from MarylandFGraduate Student6-8 · 240Phoenix, AZ5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)9.0 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast (33 G)#1376 · +0.16
13Leonardo MarangonFreshmanFFreshman6-7 · 190Vigodarzere, Italy9.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)—#3025 · -0.50
4Clyde WaltersFreshmanFFreshman6-7 · 190Birmingham, ALHasn't played—Not ranked yet
3Javon BardwellFreshmanFFreshman6-7 · 198Harlem, NY6.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
6John JacksonFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 180Ridgewood, NJHasn't played—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsMaineW83-56Box score →
Nov 7vs (N)#7NebraskaHall of Fame Tip-OffL58-67Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10vsBryantProjected 87-59PROV: 99% to win Compare
Nov 14vsColoradoProjected 81-74PROV: 72% to win Compare
Nov 17vsSacred HeartProjected 91-63PROV: 99% to win Compare
Nov 23vs (N)VCUSouthwest Maui InvitationalProjected 80-79PROV: 52% to win Compare
Nov 24Southwest Maui InvitationalRound 2Opponent TBD
Nov 25Southwest Maui InvitationalChampionship or placement gameOpponent TBD
Dec 1vsStonehillProjected 86-61PROV: 99% to win Compare
Dec 5atRhode IslandProjected 77-74PROV: 61% to win Compare
Dec 8vsFairfieldProjected 87-66PROV: 97% to win Compare
Dec 12vsButlerConferenceProjected 83-76PROV: 72% to win Compare
Dec 19vs (N)SyracuseHall of Fame Series - OrlandoProjected 77-76PROV: 51% to win Compare
Dec 22atVillanovaConferenceProjected 75-78PROV: 37% to win Compare
Dec 30vsSt. John'sConferenceProjected 76-77PROV: 49% to win Compare
Jan 2atDePaulConferenceProjected 76-75PROV: 52% to win Compare
Jan 5atMarquetteConferenceProjected 70-77PROV: 26% to win Compare
Jan 9vsXavierConferenceProjected 79-78PROV: 51% to win Compare
Jan 13atSt. John'sConferenceProjected 73-80PROV: 28% to win Compare
Jan 20vs#9UConnConferenceProjected 72-78PROV: 32% to win Compare
Jan 23atGeorgetownConferenceProjected 76-77PROV: 48% to win Compare
Jan 27atButlerConferenceProjected 80-79PROV: 50% to win Compare
Jan 30vsSeton HallConferenceProjected 73-69PROV: 65% to win Compare
Feb 3atCreightonConferenceProjected 74-76PROV: 41% to win Compare
Feb 10vsMarquetteConferenceProjected 73-74PROV: 47% to win Compare
Feb 13vsDePaulConferenceProjected 78-71PROV: 72% to win Compare
Feb 17vsVillanovaConferenceProjected 78-75PROV: 59% to win Compare
Feb 20atSeton HallConferenceProjected 70-72PROV: 43% to win Compare
Feb 23vsGeorgetownConferenceProjected 79-73PROV: 69% to win Compare
Feb 27at#9UConnConferenceProjected 69-81PROV: 15% to win Compare
Mar 3atXavierConferenceProjected 75-81PROV: 29% to win Compare
Mar 6vsCreightonConferenceProjected 77-73PROV: 63% to win Compare

Big East standings

#TeamConfOverall
1UConn0-02-0
2Marquette0-02-0
3St. John's0-01-0
4Xavier0-02-0
5Creighton0-02-0
6Seton Hall0-02-0
7Georgetown0-02-0
8Butler0-02-0
9DePaul0-02-0
10Villanova0-01-1
11Providence0-01-1
All conference standings →