Power Rankings
#9▲5
Who is best right now.
+29.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +28.1 (#14)
Preseason: #14
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
24-8
- Conference record
- 15-5
- Conference title
- 76%
- Outright title
- 62%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #14 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #9 in the country (+31.8), 34-6.
- →34% of last season's minutes are back.
- →7 transfers in, led by Nils Machowski (Wofford, 17.2 ppg), Isaiah Shaw (Northern Arizona, 8.1 ppg), Na'jai Hines (Seton Hall, 6.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Colben Landrew (#27), Junior County (#42).
- →Lost Alex Karaban (13.2 ppg), Tarris Reed Jr. (14.7 ppg), Jaylin Stewart (4.2 ppg, now at SMU).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like UConn
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Demary Jr.G · Senior · #13 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 40.0 (8-20) | 40.0 (2-5) | 72.7 (8-11) |
| Jayden RossF · Senior · #631 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 38.5 (5-13) | 28.6 (2-7) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Braylon MullinsG · Sophomore · #255 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 21.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (12-24) | 41.2 (7-17) | 92.3 (12-13) |
| Nik KhameniaF · Sophomore · #482 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 56.2 (9-16) | 37.5 (3-8) | — (0-0) |
| Colben LandrewF · Freshman · #163 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.0 | 12.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 57.1 (8-14) | 33.3 (2-6) | 70.0 (7-10) |
| Na'jai HinesC · Sophomore · #191 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 62.5 (5-8) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (9-12) |
| Oskar GiltayC · Sophomore · #716 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 (4-6) | — (0-0) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Junior CountyG · Freshman · #815 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Nils MachowskiG · Senior · #516 ranked | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-5) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Egor AmosovF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Jacob RossF · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jaye NashG · Junior · #1579 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Elmir DzaficC · Sophomore · #1885 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Isaiah ShawF · Senior · #2625 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Demary Jr.G · Senior |  Returning | 29 | 10.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.9 ast |
| Braylon MullinsG · Sophomore | Returning | 23 | 12 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Nik KhameniaF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Duke | 21 | 5.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast |
| Jayden RossF · Senior | Returning | 18 | 4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Na'jai HinesC · Sophomore |  Transfer from Seton Hall | 17 | 6.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Oskar GiltayC · Sophomore |  Transfer from Stanford | 15 | 3.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Junior CountyG · Freshman | Freshman · #42 recruit | 15 | — |
| Colben LandrewF · Freshman | Freshman · #27 recruit | 15 | — |
| Nils MachowskiG · Senior |  Transfer from Wofford | 14 | 17.2 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.6 ast |
| Jaye NashG · Junior |  Transfer from Jacksonville State | 13 | 5.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 4 ast |
| Elmir DzaficC · Sophomore |  Transfer from Arkansas | 12 | 0.4 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast |
| Isaiah ShawF · Senior |  Transfer from Northern Arizona | 11 | 8.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.6 ast |
Gone from last season: Alex Karaban (13.2 ppg), Tarris Reed Jr. (14.7 ppg), Jaylin Stewart (4.2 ppg, to 
SMU), Malachi Smith (3.6 ppg), Eric Reibe (5.9 ppg, to 
USC)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Silas Demary Jr. | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 191 | Raleigh, NC | 13.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 6.0 ast (2 G) | 10.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.9 ast (39 G) | #13 · +2.89 |
| 3 | Colben Landrew | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 236 | Mccomb, MS | 12.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #163 · +1.54 |
| 9 | Na'jai Hines | Transfer from Seton Hall | C | Sophomore | 6-11 · 278 | Plainfield, NJ | 9.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 6.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.6 ast (31 G) | #191 · +1.47 |
| 24 | Braylon Mullins | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 198 | Greenfield, IN | 21.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 12.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast (33 G) | #255 · +1.28 |
| 4 | Nik Khamenia | Transfer from Duke | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 225 | Tarzana, CA | 10.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 5.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.0 ast (38 G) | #482 · +0.90 |
| 21 | Nils Machowski | Transfer from Wofford | G | Senior | 6-4 · 190 | Berlin, Germany | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 17.2 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.6 ast (32 G) | #516 · +0.85 |
| 23 | Jayden Ross | Returning | F | Senior | 6-7 · 210 | Bristow, VA | 8.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast (38 G) | #631 · +0.73 |
| 18 | Oskar Giltay | Transfer from Stanford | C | Sophomore | 6-11 · 240 | Bilzen, Belgium | 4.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 3.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.3 ast (32 G) | #716 · +0.64 |
| 0 | Junior County | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 205 | Highland, UT | 3.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #815 · +0.54 |
| 7 | Jaye Nash | Transfer from Jacksonville State | G | Junior | 6-2 · 193 | Memphis, TN | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 5.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.0 ast (32 G) | #1579 · +0.06 |
| 29 | Elmir Dzafic | Transfer from Arkansas | C | Sophomore | 7-0 · 276 | Tinja, Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.4 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #1885 · -0.07 |
| 33 | Isaiah Shaw | Transfer from Northern Arizona | F | Senior | 6-8 · 207 | Phoenix, AZ | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 8.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.6 ast (29 G) | #2625 · -0.35 |
| 17 | Egor Amosov | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 236 | Samara, Russia | 5.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Jacob Ross | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 203 | Bristow, VA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Solo BallOut for season | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 190 | Leesburg, VA | Hasn't played | 12.8 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (39 G) | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsGardner-Webb | W86-46Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vs (N)#13MichiganHall of Fame Series - Boston | W85-77Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsWagner | Projected 87-55CONN: 99% to winUConn: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsOhio State | Projected 80-71CONN: 79% to winUConn: 79% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  at#10Arizona | Projected 76-79CONN: 40% to winUConn: 40% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 | vs (N)#1Duke | Projected 71-77CONN: 32% to winUConn: 32% to win Compare |
| Nov 30 |  vsRider | Projected 91-51CONN: 99% to winUConn: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 4 |  vs (N)#4IllinoisBad Boy Mowers Series | Projected 76-79CONN: 40% to winUConn: 40% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  vsMississippi Valley State | Projected 95-49CONN: 99% to winUConn: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vs#3Kansas | Projected 74-75CONN: 50% to winUConn: 50% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  vsDelaware State | Projected 89-50CONN: 99% to winUConn: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 20 |  vs (N)#24Virginia | Projected 76-73CONN: 63% to winUConn: 63% to win Compare |
| Dec 23 |  vsGeorgetownConference | Projected 80-66CONN: 88% to winUConn: 88% to win Compare |
| Dec 31 |  atButlerConference | Projected 81-72CONN: 78% to winUConn: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 3 |  atCreightonConference | Projected 75-69CONN: 70% to winUConn: 70% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vsDePaulConference | Projected 80-65CONN: 90% to winUConn: 90% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 | atSeton HallConference | Projected 71-65CONN: 71% to winUConn: 71% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  vsMarquetteConference | Projected 75-67CONN: 75% to winUConn: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsXavierConference | Projected 80-70CONN: 79% to winUConn: 79% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  atProvidenceConference | Projected 78-72CONN: 68% to winUConn: 68% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 | vsButlerConference | Projected 84-69CONN: 90% to winUConn: 90% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 | atGeorgetownConference | Projected 77-69CONN: 75% to winUConn: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 29 |  atSt. John'sConference | Projected 75-73CONN: 57% to winUConn: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 |  vsVillanovaConference | Projected 79-68CONN: 83% to winUConn: 83% to win Compare |
| Feb 7 | vsCreightonConference | Projected 78-66CONN: 85% to winUConn: 85% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 | atDePaulConference | Projected 76-68CONN: 78% to winUConn: 78% to win Compare |
| Feb 14 | atVillanovaConference | Projected 76-71CONN: 66% to winUConn: 66% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 | vsSeton HallConference | Projected 74-62CONN: 86% to winUConn: 86% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atMarquetteConference | Projected 72-70CONN: 55% to winUConn: 55% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsProvidenceConference | Projected 81-69CONN: 85% to winUConn: 85% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | vsSt. John'sConference | Projected 78-70CONN: 77% to winUConn: 77% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atXavierConference | Projected 76-74CONN: 59% to winUConn: 59% to win Compare |
Big East standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UConn | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Marquette | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | St. John's | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Xavier | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Creighton | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Seton Hall | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Georgetown | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Butler | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | DePaul | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Villanova | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Providence | 0-0 | 1-1 |