College Basketball · Southland · 2026-27
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Preseason · Coach Matt Braeuer
Preseason Power Rankings
#120▼10
Who is best right now.
+6.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +6.2 (#110)
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-7
- Conference record
- 17-5
- Conference title
- 32%
- Outright title
- 19%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #110 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #94 in the country (+9.1), 28-6.
- →24% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by MJ Russell (UL Monroe, 15.3 ppg), Edwin Daniel (La Salle, 3.9 ppg), Kobi Pearson (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, 3.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Manu Manciel (#230).
- →Lost Keon Thompson (18.5 ppg), Chrishawn Christmas (6.3 ppg), Lateef Patrick (15.2 ppg, now at Fordham).
Teams like Stephen F. Austin
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian GreenG · Senior · #2128 ranked | 2 · 2 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| MJ RussellG · Senior · #3000 ranked | 2 · 2 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 40.0 (6-15) | 62.5 (5-8) | 44.4 (4-9) |
| Ashton SimmonsG · Sophomore · #2287 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 36.4 (4-11) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Narit ChotikavanicG · Junior · #861 ranked | 2 · 2 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 66.7 (10-15) | 66.7 (8-12) | — (0-0) |
| Erik MakkeG · Freshman | 2 · 2 | 17.0 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 50.0 (8-16) | 50.0 (7-14) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Gediminas AlisasF · Junior · #933 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 63.6 (7-11) | 0.0 (0-1) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Edwin DanielF · Senior · #2051 ranked | 2 · 2 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 (6-12) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Kobi PearsonF · Sophomore · #2397 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 (5-8) | 100.0 (1-1) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Courterius ScottG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 50.0 (4-8) | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) |
| Marcus ScurryG · Sophomore · #2182 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 47.1 (8-17) | 41.7 (5-12) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Manu MancielG · Freshman · #3218 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 18.8 (3-16) | 25.0 (3-12) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Amari ReedF · Sophomore · #1955 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | 77.8 (7-9) |
| Kensington CandlerG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 33.3 (2-6) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Easton HuppG · Freshman · #3343 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narit ChotikavanicG · Junior |  Returning | 23 | 9.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Gediminas AlisasF · Junior | Returning | 16 | 4.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Edwin DanielF · Senior |  Transfer from La Salle | 15 | 3.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Amari ReedF · Sophomore |  Transfer from UT Arlington | 15 | 2.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.1 ast |
| MJ RussellG · Senior |  Transfer from UL Monroe | 14 | 15.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Kobi PearsonF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 14 | 3.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Ashton SimmonsG · Sophomore |  Transfer from TCU | 12 | 1 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Easton HuppG · Freshman |  Transfer from Charleston Southern | 12 | 2.3 pts · 0.5 reb · 0 ast |
| Marcus ScurryG · Sophomore | Returning | 9 | 3.1 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Christian GreenG · Senior | Returning | 9 | 1 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Manu MancielG · Freshman | Freshman · #230 recruit | 8 | — |
| Bryceson MelvinG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 1.8 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Keon Thompson (18.5 ppg), Chrishawn Christmas (6.3 ppg), Lateef Patrick (15.2 ppg, to 
Fordham), Jerald Colonel (5 ppg, to 
Florida International), Kam Burton (7.9 ppg, to La Salle), Ahamed Mohammed (4.4 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Narit Chotikavanic | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 195 | Plano, TX | 14.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 9.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.6 ast (34 G) | #861 · +0.50 |
| 17 | Gediminas Alisas | Returning | F | Junior | 6-6 · 235 | Vilnius, Lithuania | 9.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 4.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast (34 G) | #933 · +0.43 |
| 2 | Bryceson Melvin | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 200 | Arlington, TX | — | 1.8 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #1610 · +0.04 |
| 33 | Amari Reed | Transfer from UT Arlington | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 210 | Lancaster, TX | 5.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 2.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.1 ast (30 G) | #1955 · -0.10 |
| 32 | Edwin Daniel | Transfer from La Salle | F | Senior | 6-9 · 215 | Washington Heights, NY | 6.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.4 ast (31 G) | #2051 · -0.13 |
| 3 | Christian Green | Returning | G | Senior | 6-6 · 195 | San Antonio, TX | 4.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.2 ast (28 G) | #2128 · -0.16 |
| 4 | Marcus Scurry | Returning | G | Sophomore | 5-11 · 170 | Augusta, GA | 12.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast (28 G) | #2182 · -0.18 |
| 1 | Ashton Simmons | Transfer from TCU | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 200 | Beaumont, TX | 5.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 6.0 ast (2 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast (5 G) | #2287 · -0.22 |
| 0 | Kobi Pearson | Transfer from Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 215 | Lancaster, TX | 7.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast (31 G) | #2397 · -0.26 |
| 21 | MJ Russell | Transfer from UL Monroe | G | Senior | 6-3 · 195 | Coker, AL | 10.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 15.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.9 ast (32 G) | #3000 · -0.49 |
| 99 | Manu Manciel | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 | Detroit, MI | 5.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3218 · -0.58 |
| 24 | Easton Hupp | Transfer from Charleston Southern | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 200 | Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.3 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (6 G) | #3343 · -0.63 |
| 12 | Erik Makke | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 | Keila, Estonia | 12.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 20 | Kensington Candler | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 | Little Elm, TX | 3.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Courterius Scott | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-0 · 190 | Jackson, MS | 5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsLyon(non-D1) | W120-61Box score → |
| Nov 6 | vsTexas Lutheran(non-D1) | W89-32Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  atAbilene Christian | Projected 79-69SFA: 81% to winStephen F. Austin: 81% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  vsRice | Projected 80-67SFA: 87% to winStephen F. Austin: 87% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vs (N)Indiana StateU.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam | Projected 77-70SFA: 74% to winStephen F. Austin: 74% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 | U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise JamMore games Nov 21–23, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 |  atSMU | Projected 73-81SFA: 25% to winStephen F. Austin: 25% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsEast Texas A&MConference | Projected 78-65SFA: 87% to winStephen F. Austin: 87% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 | vsUT Arlington | Projected 78-68SFA: 81% to winStephen F. Austin: 81% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  atLouisiana Tech | Projected 75-68SFA: 72% to winStephen F. Austin: 72% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atUT Rio Grande ValleyConference | Projected 74-70SFA: 61% to winStephen F. Austin: 61% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 | atTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiConference | Projected 71-68SFA: 61% to winStephen F. Austin: 61% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsNorthwestern StateConference | Projected 81-62SFA: 95% to winStephen F. Austin: 95% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsSE LouisianaConference | Projected 79-68SFA: 83% to winStephen F. Austin: 83% to win Compare |
| Jan 4 |  atMcNeeseConference | Projected 72-78SFA: 29% to winStephen F. Austin: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atHouston ChristianConference | Projected 76-68SFA: 76% to winStephen F. Austin: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 11 |  atIncarnate WordConference | Projected 77-66SFA: 84% to winStephen F. Austin: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsNew OrleansConference | Projected 84-68SFA: 92% to winStephen F. Austin: 92% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  vsNichollsConference | Projected 79-66SFA: 86% to winStephen F. Austin: 86% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 | vsMcNeeseConference | Projected 75-76SFA: 50% to winStephen F. Austin: 50% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 | atSE LouisianaConference | Projected 76-71SFA: 66% to winStephen F. Austin: 66% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsLamarConference | Projected 81-67SFA: 87% to winStephen F. Austin: 87% to win Compare |
| Feb 1 | atNorthwestern StateConference | Projected 78-65SFA: 87% to winStephen F. Austin: 87% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atLamarConference | Projected 77-70SFA: 72% to winStephen F. Austin: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 8 | atEast Texas A&MConference | Projected 75-68SFA: 73% to winStephen F. Austin: 73% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsUT Rio Grande ValleyConference | Projected 77-67SFA: 80% to winStephen F. Austin: 80% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 | vsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiConference | Projected 75-65SFA: 79% to winStephen F. Austin: 79% to win Compare |
| Feb 19 | atNichollsConference | Projected 76-70SFA: 70% to winStephen F. Austin: 70% to win Compare |
| Feb 22 | atNew OrleansConference | Projected 81-71SFA: 80% to winStephen F. Austin: 80% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsHouston ChristianConference | Projected 79-65SFA: 89% to winStephen F. Austin: 89% to win Compare |
| Mar 1 | vsIncarnate WordConference | Projected 80-62SFA: 94% to winStephen F. Austin: 94% to win Compare |
Southland standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | East Texas A&M | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Houston Christian | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | McNeese | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | SE Louisiana | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Nicholls | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Lamar | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | New Orleans | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Incarnate Word | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Northwestern State | 0-0 | 0-3 |
No games yet: Power Rankings order until the season tips off.
All conference standings →