
College Basketball · Southland · 2026-27
Incarnate Word Cardinals
0-2 · Coach Shane Heirman
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-15.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -10.5 (#276)
Preseason: #276
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
8-25
- Conference record
- 7-15
- Conference title
- 0%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #276 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #256 in the country (-8.5), 12-19.
- →1% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Ismail Habib (Southern Indiana, 14.7 ppg), Mekhi Conner (Sacred Heart, 7.6 ppg), Brandon McCreesh (Bucknell, 7.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Davion Bailey (18.6 ppg), Tahj Staveskie (17.3 ppg, now at Akron), Harold Woods (8.8 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Incarnate Word
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mekhi ConnerG · Junior · #1690 ranked | 2 · 2 | 33.0 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 21.1 (4-19) | 23.1 (3-13) | 75.0 (12-16) |
| Brandon McCreeshG · Senior · #2948 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33.3 (4-12) | 37.5 (3-8) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Godswill ErherieneF · Junior · #1897 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.5 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 58.3 (14-24) | — (0-0) | 28.6 (2-7) |
| Ismail HabibG · Senior · #2755 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 26.3 (5-19) | 27.3 (3-11) | 75.0 (6-8) |
| D'Arrae GoodwinF · Sophomore · #2256 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 15.4 (2-13) | 0.0 (0-5) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Max Garcia-PlataG · Freshman · #3801 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 28.6 (2-7) | 25.0 (1-4) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Krisnan-Cole IoaneF · Freshman · #3857 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Christophe PareC · Freshman · #3620 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| DJ CasonG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| David EmetuF · Junior | 2 · 0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Jayden ThomasG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mekhi ConnerG · Junior | 21 | 7.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 6.3 ast | |
| Ismail HabibG · Senior | 19 | 14.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.8 ast | |
| D'Arrae GoodwinF · Sophomore | 14 | 4.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Brandon McCreeshG · Senior | 14 | 7.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Godswill ErherieneF · Junior | 13 | 0.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 0 ast | |
| Kaleb SpencerF · Sophomore | 12 | 3.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| Drew BarbeeG · Junior | 6 | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast |
Gone from last season: Davion Bailey (18.6 ppg), Tahj Staveskie (17.3 ppg, to
Akron), Harold Woods (8.8 ppg), Jordan Pyke (12.6 ppg, to
Arkansas State), Love Bettis (4.3 ppg), Marcus Glover (3.5 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kaleb Spencer | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 225 | Manteo, NC | Hasn't played | 3.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast (5 G) | #662 · +0.70 | |
| 3 | Mekhi Conner | G | Junior | 6-1 · 183 | New Haven, CT | 11.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 7.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 6.3 ast (31 G) | #1690 · +0.02 | |
| 21 | Godswill Erheriene | F | Junior | 6-9 · 225 | Delta State, Nigeria | 15.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 0.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.0 ast (10 G) | #1897 · -0.07 | |
| 22 | Drew Barbee | G | Junior | 6-5 · 200 | Memphis, TN | Hasn't played | 2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast (5 G) | #2013 · -0.12 | |
| 0 | D'Arrae Goodwin | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 205 | Wheeling, WV | 3.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 4.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast (14 G) | #2256 · -0.21 | |
| 5 | Ismail Habib | G | Senior | 6-0 · 180 | Chicago, IL | 9.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 14.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.8 ast (27 G) | #2755 · -0.40 | |
| 24 | Brandon McCreesh | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Lewisburg, PA | 7.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 7.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.6 ast (8 G) | #2948 · -0.47 | |
| 35 | Christophe Pare | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-0 | L'Assomption, PQ | 3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3620 · -0.77 |
| 1 | Max Garcia-Plata | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 180 | Madrid, Spain | 3.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | #3801 · -0.85 |
| 8 | Krisnan-Cole Ioane | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 | Wellington, New Zealand | 3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3857 · -0.87 |
| 12 | Marc Harvey | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 | Chicago, IL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 15 | Tristan Collins | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 | San Antonio, TX | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | DJ Cason | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-1 | Edmond, OK | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | David Emetu | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-8 | Ohafia, Nigeria | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Jayden Thomas | Transfer from DeSales | G | Junior | 6-5 · 180 | Fogelsville, PA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 4.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L60-91Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | L54-66Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | Projected 66-76UIW: 20% to winIncarnate Word: 20% to win Compare | |
| Nov 11 | Projected 68-79UIW: 16% to winIncarnate Word: 16% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 62-78UIW: 9% to winIncarnate Word: 9% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | vsCentral Baptist(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 25 | Projected 64-81UIW: 7% to winIncarnate Word: 7% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 63-90UIW: 1% to winIncarnate Word: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 67-77UIW: 20% to winIncarnate Word: 20% to win Compare | |
| Dec 7 | Projected 63-84UIW: 4% to winIncarnate Word: 4% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | Projected 58-92UIW: 1% to winIncarnate Word: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 53-86UIW: 1% to winIncarnate Word: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 70-72UIW: 42% to winIncarnate Word: 42% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 74-73UIW: 53% to winIncarnate Word: 53% to win Compare | |
| Dec 28 | Projected 58-94UIW: 1% to winIncarnate Word: 1% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 67-74UIW: 29% to winIncarnate Word: 29% to win Compare | |
| Jan 4 | Projected 68-73UIW: 33% to winIncarnate Word: 33% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 71-73UIW: 44% to winIncarnate Word: 44% to win Compare | |
| Jan 11 | Projected 66-77UIW: 16% to winIncarnate Word: 16% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 69-70UIW: 45% to winIncarnate Word: 45% to win Compare | |
| Jan 18 | Projected 66-74UIW: 25% to winIncarnate Word: 25% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 63-74UIW: 17% to winIncarnate Word: 17% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 65-76UIW: 16% to winIncarnate Word: 16% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 66-71UIW: 33% to winIncarnate Word: 33% to win Compare | |
| Feb 1 | Projected 70-71UIW: 49% to winIncarnate Word: 49% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 66-81UIW: 10% to winIncarnate Word: 10% to win Compare | |
| Feb 8 | Projected 70-74UIW: 37% to winIncarnate Word: 37% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 66-75UIW: 22% to winIncarnate Word: 22% to win Compare | |
| Feb 15 | Projected 71-77UIW: 32% to winIncarnate Word: 32% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 69-71UIW: 45% to winIncarnate Word: 45% to win Compare | |
| Feb 22 | Projected 72-67UIW: 66% to winIncarnate Word: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 68-76UIW: 25% to winIncarnate Word: 25% to win Compare | |
| Mar 1 | Projected 62-80UIW: 6% to winIncarnate Word: 6% to win Compare | |
Southland standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-3 |