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College Basketball · Southland · 2026-27

Incarnate Word Cardinals

0-2 · Coach Shane Heirman

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Power Rankings

#317▼41

Who is best right now.

-15.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -10.5 (#276)

Preseason: #276

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

8-25

Conference record
7-15
Conference title
0%
Outright title
0%
Luck
-0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #276 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #256 in the country (-8.5), 12-19.
  • →1% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →6 transfers in, led by Ismail Habib (Southern Indiana, 14.7 ppg), Mekhi Conner (Sacred Heart, 7.6 ppg), Brandon McCreesh (Bucknell, 7.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Davion Bailey (18.6 ppg), Tahj Staveskie (17.3 ppg, now at Akron), Harold Woods (8.8 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Incarnate Word

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Mekhi ConnerG · Junior · #1690 ranked2 · 233.011.52.54.021.1 (4-19)23.1 (3-13)75.0 (12-16)
Brandon McCreeshG · Senior · #2948 ranked2 · 231.07.00.51.533.3 (4-12)37.5 (3-8)100.0 (3-3)
Godswill ErherieneF · Junior · #1897 ranked2 · 230.515.07.00.558.3 (14-24)— (0-0)28.6 (2-7)
Ismail HabibG · Senior · #2755 ranked2 · 228.09.51.51.026.3 (5-19)27.3 (3-11)75.0 (6-8)
D'Arrae GoodwinF · Sophomore · #2256 ranked2 · 223.53.05.01.015.4 (2-13)0.0 (0-5)50.0 (2-4)
Max Garcia-PlataG · Freshman · #3801 ranked2 · 017.03.05.00.528.6 (2-7)25.0 (1-4)50.0 (1-2)
Krisnan-Cole IoaneF · Freshman · #3857 ranked2 · 012.03.03.01.0100.0 (2-2)— (0-0)50.0 (2-4)
Christophe PareC · Freshman · #3620 ranked2 · 011.53.03.00.050.0 (2-4)— (0-0)100.0 (2-2)
DJ CasonG · Junior2 · 07.51.00.00.025.0 (1-4)— (0-0)— (0-0)
David EmetuF · Junior2 · 04.51.00.50.0— (0-0)— (0-0)66.7 (2-3)
Jayden ThomasG · Junior1 · 03.00.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Mekhi ConnerG · JuniorTransfer from Sacred Heart217.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 6.3 ast
Ismail HabibG · SeniorTransfer from Southern Indiana1914.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.8 ast
D'Arrae GoodwinF · SophomoreTransfer from San Diego144.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast
Brandon McCreeshG · SeniorTransfer from Bucknell147.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.6 ast
Godswill ErherieneF · JuniorTransfer from Seton Hall130.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 0 ast
Kaleb SpencerF · SophomoreTransfer from William & Mary123.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Drew BarbeeG · JuniorReturning62.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast

Gone from last season: Davion Bailey (18.6 ppg), Tahj Staveskie (17.3 ppg, to Akron), Harold Woods (8.8 ppg), Jordan Pyke (12.6 ppg, to Arkansas State), Love Bettis (4.3 ppg), Marcus Glover (3.5 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
11Kaleb SpencerTransfer from William & MaryFSophomore6-9 · 225Manteo, NCHasn't played3.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast (5 G)#662 · +0.70
3Mekhi ConnerTransfer from Sacred HeartGJunior6-1 · 183New Haven, CT11.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)7.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 6.3 ast (31 G)#1690 · +0.02
21Godswill ErherieneTransfer from Seton HallFJunior6-9 · 225Delta State, Nigeria15.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)0.8 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.0 ast (10 G)#1897 · -0.07
22Drew BarbeeReturningGJunior6-5 · 200Memphis, TNHasn't played2.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast (5 G)#2013 · -0.12
0D'Arrae GoodwinTransfer from San DiegoFSophomore6-7 · 205Wheeling, WV3.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)4.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast (14 G)#2256 · -0.21
5Ismail HabibTransfer from Southern IndianaGSenior6-0 · 180Chicago, IL9.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)14.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.8 ast (27 G)#2755 · -0.40
24Brandon McCreeshTransfer from BucknellGSenior6-3 · 190Lewisburg, PA7.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)7.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.6 ast (8 G)#2948 · -0.47
35Christophe PareFreshmanCFreshman7-0L'Assomption, PQ3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#3620 · -0.77
1Max Garcia-PlataFreshmanGFreshman6-4 · 180Madrid, Spain3.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)#3801 · -0.85
8Krisnan-Cole IoaneFreshmanFFreshman6-6Wellington, New Zealand3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)—#3857 · -0.87
12Marc HarveyFreshmanGFreshman6-3Chicago, ILHasn't played—Not ranked yet
15Tristan CollinsFreshmanFFreshman6-6San Antonio, TXHasn't played—Not ranked yet
10DJ CasonNew to Division IGJunior6-1Edmond, OK1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
7David EmetuNew to Division IFJunior6-8Ohafia, Nigeria1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
6Jayden ThomasTransfer from DeSalesGJunior6-5 · 180Fogelsville, PA0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)4.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G)Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2atOklahoma StateL60-91Box score →
Nov 5vsChicago StateL54-66Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 8atUTEPProjected 66-76UIW: 20% to win Compare
Nov 11atUC DavisProjected 68-79UIW: 16% to win Compare
Nov 18atTexas StateProjected 62-78UIW: 9% to win Compare
Nov 20vsCentral Baptist(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 25atHawai'iProjected 64-81UIW: 7% to win Compare
Nov 29atGrand CanyonProjected 63-90UIW: 1% to win Compare
Dec 5atSE LouisianaConferenceProjected 67-77UIW: 20% to win Compare
Dec 7atMcNeeseConferenceProjected 63-84UIW: 4% to win Compare
Dec 9at#11GonzagaProjected 58-92UIW: 1% to win Compare
Dec 15at#17Texas TechProjected 53-86UIW: 1% to win Compare
Dec 19vsNichollsConferenceProjected 70-72UIW: 42% to win Compare
Dec 21vsNew OrleansConferenceProjected 74-73UIW: 53% to win Compare
Dec 28at#10ArizonaProjected 58-94UIW: 1% to win Compare
Jan 2atHouston ChristianConferenceProjected 67-74UIW: 29% to win Compare
Jan 4vsUT Rio Grande ValleyConferenceProjected 68-73UIW: 33% to win Compare
Jan 9vsLamarConferenceProjected 71-73UIW: 44% to win Compare
Jan 11vsStephen F. AustinConferenceProjected 66-77UIW: 16% to win Compare
Jan 16atNorthwestern StateConferenceProjected 69-70UIW: 45% to win Compare
Jan 18atEast Texas A&MConferenceProjected 66-74UIW: 25% to win Compare
Jan 23atTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiConferenceProjected 63-74UIW: 17% to win Compare
Jan 26atUT Rio Grande ValleyConferenceProjected 65-76UIW: 16% to win Compare
Jan 30vsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiConferenceProjected 66-71UIW: 33% to win Compare
Feb 1vsHouston ChristianConferenceProjected 70-71UIW: 49% to win Compare
Feb 6vsMcNeeseConferenceProjected 66-81UIW: 10% to win Compare
Feb 8vsSE LouisianaConferenceProjected 70-74UIW: 37% to win Compare
Feb 13atNichollsConferenceProjected 66-75UIW: 22% to win Compare
Feb 15atNew OrleansConferenceProjected 71-77UIW: 32% to win Compare
Feb 20vsEast Texas A&MConferenceProjected 69-71UIW: 45% to win Compare
Feb 22vsNorthwestern StateConferenceProjected 72-67UIW: 66% to win Compare
Feb 27atLamarConferenceProjected 68-76UIW: 25% to win Compare
Mar 1atStephen F. AustinConferenceProjected 62-80UIW: 6% to win Compare