Power Rankings
#82▼19
Who is best right now.
+12.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +15.2 (#63)
Preseason: #63
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-15
- Conference record
- 7-11
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #63 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #42 in the country (+19.6), 20-14.
- →16% of last season's minutes are back.
- →7 transfers in, led by Rowan Brumbaugh (Tulane, 19.2 ppg), David Terrell Jr. (North Texas, 13.5 ppg), Oziyah Sellers (St. John's, 10.3 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Boopie Miller (19.1 ppg), Jaron Pierre Jr. (17.6 ppg), B.J. Edwards (12.7 ppg, now at Oklahoma).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like SMU
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah SellersG · Senior · #526 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 52.6 (10-19) | 60.0 (6-10) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Jaden ToombsF · Sophomore · #214 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 44.4 (8-18) | 25.0 (1-4) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Jakub SzumertG · #1855 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 88.9 (8-9) | 100.0 (3-3) | 85.0 (17-20) |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr.F · Sophomore · #1003 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 58.8 (10-17) | 40.0 (2-5) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Rowan BrumbaughG · Senior · #272 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 28.6 (4-14) | 0.0 (0-7) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Billy White IIIF · Freshman · #3707 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 44.4 (4-9) | 50.0 (4-8) | — (0-0) |
| Johan MunchF · Junior · #954 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| David Terrell Jr.G · Senior · #440 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Nic CodieF · Junior · #841 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jacob PatrickG · Senior · #1500 ranked | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (5-5) | 100.0 (5-5) | — (0-0) |
| Cameron LomaxG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-3) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Gehrig NormandG · Senior | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Nigel WallsF · Sophomore · #1795 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Niccolo Kalischer-StorkG · Junior · #2179 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah SellersG · Senior |  Transfer from St. John's | 25 | 10.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.6 ast |
| David Terrell Jr.G · Senior |  Transfer from North Texas | 20 | 13.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast |
| Rowan BrumbaughG · Senior |  Transfer from Tulane | 19 | 19.2 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.5 ast |
| Jaden ToombsF · Sophomore |  Returning | 18 | 8.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Jaylin StewartF · Senior |  Transfer from UConn | 18 | 4.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Johan MunchF · Junior |  Transfer from Oregon State | 16 | 7.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 1 ast |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr.F · Sophomore | Returning | 16 | 4.5 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Nic CodieF · Junior |  Transfer from Texas | 16 | 4.1 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Jacob PatrickG · Senior |  Transfer from Utah | 13 | 7.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Nigel WallsF · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Niccolo Kalischer-StorkG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Boopie Miller (19.1 ppg), Jaron Pierre Jr. (17.6 ppg), B.J. Edwards (12.7 ppg, to 
Oklahoma), Samet Yigitoglu (10.6 ppg, to 
Indiana), Corey Washington (11.4 ppg), Sam Walters (2.6 ppg, to 
Troy)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaden Toombs | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 230 | Amarillo, TX | 9.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 8.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.1 ast (27 G) | #214 · +1.38 |
| 0 | Rowan Brumbaugh | Transfer from Tulane | G | Senior | 6-4 · 185 | Washington, DC | 6.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 19.2 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.5 ast (33 G) | #272 · +1.25 |
| 5 | David Terrell Jr. | Transfer from North Texas | G | Senior | 6-4 · 195 | Dallas, TX | 3.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 13.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast (33 G) | #440 · +0.96 |
| 6 | Oziyah Sellers | Transfer from St. John's | G | Senior | 6-5 · 190 | Hayward, CA | 17.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 10.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.6 ast (37 G) | #526 · +0.84 |
| 3 | Jaylin Stewart | Transfer from UConn | F | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | Seattle, WA | Hasn't played | 4.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast (32 G) | #707 · +0.65 |
| 10 | Nic Codie | Transfer from Texas | F | Junior | 6-8 · 220 | Dallas, TX | 2.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 4.1 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.8 ast (24 G) | #841 · +0.51 |
| 24 | Johan Munch | Transfer from Oregon State | F | Junior | 6-11 · 225 | Copenhagen, Denmark | 3.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 7.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.0 ast (31 G) | #954 · +0.41 |
| 7 | Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-5 · 185 | Southlake, TX | 14.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 4.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.4 ast (34 G) | #1003 · +0.38 |
| 2 | Jacob Patrick | Transfer from Utah | G | Senior | 6-6 · 195 | Ludwigsburg, Germany | 15.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 7.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.5 ast (10 G) | #1500 · +0.10 |
| 22 | Nigel Walls | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 200 | Houston, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.2 ast (9 G) | #1795 · -0.03 |
| 33 | Niccolo Kalischer-Stork | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 205 | Los Angeles, CA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | #2179 · -0.18 |
| 4 | Billy White III | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 195 | Corpus Christi, TX | 6.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3707 · -0.80 |
| 8 | Cameron Lomax | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 170 | Frisco, TX | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Jakub Szumert | Freshman | Freshman | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet | |||
| 9 | Gehrig Normand |  Transfer from Santa Clara | G | Senior | 6-6 · 190 | North Richland Hills, TX | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| Jakub Szumert | — | G | 18.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1855 · -0.06 |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsSouthern | W85-72Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  vsVMI | W95-70Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsPrairie View A&M | Projected 87-67SMU: 96% to winSMU: 96% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsBall State | Projected 81-65SMU: 92% to winSMU: 92% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vsOral Roberts | Projected 89-65SMU: 98% to winSMU: 98% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vsSouth Alabama | Projected 86-66SMU: 96% to winSMU: 96% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 |  vs (N)Utah StateAcrisure Series | Projected 75-83SMU: 27% to winSMU: 27% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 |  vs (N)LSUAcrisure Series | Projected 77-80SMU: 40% to winSMU: 40% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  vsStephen F. Austin | Projected 81-73SMU: 75% to winSMU: 75% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  atDePaul | Projected 75-78SMU: 40% to winSMU: 40% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  vsUTSA | Projected 90-68SMU: 97% to winSMU: 97% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vs (N)Minnesota | Projected 73-75SMU: 44% to winSMU: 44% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vs (N)UNLVHall of Fame Series - Phoenix | Projected 83-80SMU: 61% to winSMU: 61% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 | vsOklahoma | Projected 79-76SMU: 59% to winSMU: 59% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  at#24VirginiaConference | Projected 73-85SMU: 16% to winSMU: 16% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  vsWake ForestConference | Projected 81-74SMU: 71% to winSMU: 71% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vs#19LouisvilleConference | Projected 77-84SMU: 27% to winSMU: 27% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atNC StateConference | Projected 75-84SMU: 20% to winSMU: 20% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atVirginia TechConference | Projected 74-83SMU: 23% to winSMU: 23% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsGeorgia TechConference | Projected 84-75SMU: 78% to winSMU: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  atNorth CarolinaConference | Projected 76-84SMU: 24% to winSMU: 24% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atNotre DameConference | Projected 75-80SMU: 34% to winSMU: 34% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 |  vsCaliforniaConference | Projected 80-77SMU: 62% to winSMU: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsStanfordConference | Projected 78-75SMU: 61% to winSMU: 61% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 |  vs#1DukeConference | Projected 71-86SMU: 10% to winSMU: 10% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | at#19LouisvilleConference | Projected 74-88SMU: 12% to winSMU: 12% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 |  atBoston CollegeConference | Projected 71-76SMU: 33% to winSMU: 33% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vsSyracuseConference | Projected 79-78SMU: 51% to winSMU: 51% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 |  vsClemsonConference | Projected 79-77SMU: 56% to winSMU: 56% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atGeorgia TechConference | Projected 81-79SMU: 57% to winSMU: 57% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 |  at#23MiamiConference | Projected 72-84SMU: 16% to winSMU: 16% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 |  vsPittsburghConference | Projected 77-76SMU: 54% to winSMU: 54% to win Compare |
ACC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Louisville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Virginia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | NC State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 |  Florida State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | North Carolina | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Syracuse | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Boston College | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Clemson | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | SMU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | Stanford | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | California | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 17 | Miami | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Wake Forest | 0-0 | 1-1 |