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College Basketball · UAC · 2026-27

UT Arlington Mavericks

2-0 · Coach K.T. Turner

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Power Rankings

#199▲19

Who is best right now.

-3.9points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -4.7 (#218)

Preseason: #218

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

20-13

Conference record
9-7
Conference title
12%
Outright title
5%
Luck
+0.4

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #218 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #167 in the country (+0.2), 18-14.
  • →6% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →5 transfers in, led by Tycen McDaniels (Alcorn State, 12.1 ppg), Bryson McGlothin (Richmond, 1.3 ppg), Noah Shelby (Texas A&M, 1.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Raysean Seamster (12.2 ppg), Marcell McCreary (12.6 ppg), Cash Chavis (10.5 ppg, now at North Texas).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like UT Arlington

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Mier PanoamG · Senior · #1155 ranked2 · 233.013.57.54.047.8 (11-23)20.0 (1-5)66.7 (4-6)
Noah ShelbyG · Senior · #1548 ranked2 · 232.013.03.02.043.8 (7-16)42.9 (6-14)75.0 (6-8)
Tristan HankinsG · Sophomore · #2296 ranked2 · 229.03.53.55.516.7 (2-12)25.0 (2-8)50.0 (1-2)
Teodor SimicF · Junior · #3466 ranked2 · 021.520.07.00.551.7 (15-29)50.0 (4-8)85.7 (6-7)
Tycen McDanielsF · Senior · #2006 ranked2 · 021.03.55.01.550.0 (2-4)— (0-0)42.9 (3-7)
Niko BundaloF · Sophomore · #2470 ranked2 · 220.515.58.50.559.1 (13-22)0.0 (0-2)50.0 (5-10)
Jerimiyah SmithG · Junior2 · 017.58.05.53.043.8 (7-16)20.0 (1-5)100.0 (1-1)
Miles GoodmanF · Junior · #2772 ranked2 · 215.56.01.51.550.0 (5-10)— (0-0)50.0 (2-4)
Trevaun ClarkF · Freshman1 · 013.012.00.00.0100.0 (4-4)100.0 (4-4)— (0-0)
Jayden ParkerG · Freshman1 · 05.00.00.00.00.0 (0-1)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
Josh MontgomeryG · Freshman1 · 01.00.00.01.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Tycen McDanielsF · SeniorTransfer from Alcorn State1712.1 pts · 6.1 reb · 1 ast
Miles GoodmanF · JuniorReturning143.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast
Mier PanoamG · SeniorTransfer from Xavier120.9 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.7 ast
Niko BundaloF · SophomoreTransfer from Ole Miss120.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0 ast
Noah ShelbyG · SeniorTransfer from Texas A&M121.1 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast
Bryson McGlothinF · SophomoreTransfer from Richmond121.3 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast

Gone from last season: Raysean Seamster (12.2 ppg), Marcell McCreary (12.6 ppg), Cash Chavis (10.5 ppg, to North Texas), Bahsil Laster (7.3 ppg, to Norfolk State), Marcus Rigsby Jr. (4.6 ppg), Cameron Jackson (4 ppg, to Radford)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
3Mier PanoamTransfer from XavierGSenior6-2 · 200Anchorage, AK13.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G)0.9 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.7 ast (7 G)#1155 · +0.28
2Noah ShelbyTransfer from Texas A&MGSenior6-3 · 190McKinney, TX13.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)1.1 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (9 G)#1548 · +0.07
8Tycen McDanielsTransfer from Alcorn StateFSenior6-8 · 200Columbus, GA3.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)12.1 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.0 ast (32 G)#2006 · -0.12
35Bryson McGlothinTransfer from RichmondFSophomore6-8 · 190Plano, TXHasn't played1.3 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G)#2154 · -0.17
4Tristan HankinsNew to Division IGSophomore6-2 · 185Idabel, OK3.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G)—#2296 · -0.23
11Niko BundaloTransfer from Ole MissFSophomore6-10 · 215Canton, OH15.5 pts · 8.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)0.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (11 G)#2470 · -0.29
5Miles GoodmanReturningFJunior7-0 · 225Seattle, WA6.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)3.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast (30 G)#2772 · -0.40
15Teodor SimicNew to Division IFJunior7-1 · 250Gevgelija, Macedonia20.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#3466 · -0.70
10Jayden ParkerFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 165Plano, TX0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
16Josh MontgomeryFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 170San Antonio, TX0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
1Kajus MikalauskasFreshmanGFreshman6-3 · 185Klaipeda, LithuaniaHasn't played—Not ranked yet
0Trevaun ClarkFreshmanFFreshman6-7 · 180San Antonio, TX12.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
21Stoney HadnotReturningFSophomore6-6 · 200Houston, TXHasn't played—Not ranked yet
7Jerimiyah SmithNew to Division IGJunior6-5 · 215Los Angeles, CA8.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsUNT Dallas(non-D1)W89-56Box score →
Nov 6vs (N)PortlandRainbow ClassicW89-85Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 8atHawai'iRainbow ClassicProjected 69-79UTA: 22% to win Compare
Nov 9vs (N)Bethesda(non-D1)Rainbow ClassicUpcoming
Nov 14vsUT Rio Grande ValleyProjected 73-71UTA: 59% to win Compare
Nov 17atSouthern MissProjected 73-74UTA: 48% to win Compare
Nov 20atNorthwestern StateProjected 74-68UTA: 71% to win Compare
Nov 24vsOral RobertsProjected 79-67UTA: 84% to win Compare
Dec 1atColorado StateProjected 67-80UTA: 14% to win Compare
Dec 9atStephen F. AustinProjected 68-78UTA: 19% to win Compare
Dec 13at#18ArkansasProjected 66-91UTA: 1% to win Compare
Dec 15vsLeTourneau(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 19vsNorth FloridaProjected 83-71UTA: 85% to win Compare
Dec 21vsArlington Baptist(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 31vsJacksonvilleProjected 74-69UTA: 66% to win Compare
Jan 2atStetsonProjected 76-72UTA: 61% to win Compare
Jan 5atFlorida Gulf CoastProjected 74-75UTA: 46% to win Compare
Jan 9vsCentral ArkansasConferenceProjected 73-74UTA: 47% to win Compare
Jan 13vsAustin PeayConferenceProjected 74-73UTA: 50% to win Compare
Jan 16atAbilene ChristianConferenceProjected 76-72UTA: 61% to win Compare
Jan 20atWest GeorgiaConferenceProjected 74-71UTA: 60% to win Compare
Jan 23atNorth AlabamaConferenceProjected 74-71UTA: 62% to win Compare
Jan 27vsLittle RockConferenceProjected 78-72UTA: 68% to win Compare
Jan 30vsAbilene ChristianConferenceProjected 79-69UTA: 80% to win Compare
Feb 3atEastern KentuckyConferenceProjected 76-73UTA: 61% to win Compare
Feb 6atAustin PeayConferenceProjected 70-77UTA: 29% to win Compare
Feb 13vsTarleton StateConferenceProjected 76-75UTA: 53% to win Compare
Feb 17vsWest GeorgiaConferenceProjected 77-67UTA: 79% to win Compare
Feb 20vsNorth AlabamaConferenceProjected 78-68UTA: 80% to win Compare
Feb 24atLittle RockConferenceProjected 74-75UTA: 47% to win Compare
Feb 27atTarleton StateConferenceProjected 73-78UTA: 32% to win Compare
Mar 3atCentral ArkansasConferenceProjected 70-77UTA: 27% to win Compare
Mar 6vsEastern KentuckyConferenceProjected 80-70UTA: 79% to win Compare