CFB HomeTeamsPlayers
Statboy Sports
← Week 13 games

Week 13 · Game preview · Sat · TBA

NC State

4-5 · ACC · Away

at

North Carolina

5-4 · ACC · Home

Statboy projection

North Carolina by 12.0

78% to win

NC State 22%North Carolina 78%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

Export graphic

Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

NC StateNorth Carolina
#86Résumé rank#43
+2.5#75Power rating+12.4#36
+5.3#47Offense+8.7#26
-2.3#105Defense+4.8#49
+1.2#21Special teams-0.3#100

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

NC StateNorth Carolina
28.9#65Points per game27.1#75
27.6#97Points allowed22.8#51
0.20#48Offense EPA/play0.24#36
0.16#107Defense EPA/play-0.01#36
45.6%#46Offense success rate50.7%#15
42.7%#87Defense success rate41.8%#81
5.7#81Yards per play5.8#72
48.5%#183rd down45.9%#27
62.3%#60Red zone TD rate65.0%#27
13.3%#97Havoc created13.5%#85
-1.0#73Turnover margin-1.0#73

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

NC State

North Carolina

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

NC State

North Carolina