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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 7:00 PM ET

Minnesota

5-4 · Big Ten · Away

at

Penn State

5-4 · Big Ten · Home

Statboy projection

Penn State by 2.0

56% to win

Minnesota 44%Penn State 56%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

MinnesotaPenn State
#53Résumé rank#55
+8.8#49Power rating+9.0#48
-0.4#88Offense+4.0#56
+7.6#29Defense+6.9#34
+2.4#1Special teams-0.8#124

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

MinnesotaPenn State
24.7#93Points per game28.9#65
22.0#47Points allowed19.3#28
0.12#86Offense EPA/play0.20#46
-0.04#27Defense EPA/play-0.00#41
40.4%#94Offense success rate42.0%#85
37.2%#36Defense success rate36.3%#30
4.9#127Yards per play5.9#58
31.5%#1293rd down37.7%#90
59.3%#102Red zone TD rate61.3%#78
17.3%#25Havoc created18.2%#12
6.0#18Turnover margin7.0#14

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Minnesota

Penn State

  • Tony Rojas#4 LB

    66 tackles · 11.5 TFL · 5 sacks · 2 INT

  • Rocco Becht#54 QB

    1836 pass yds · 6 TD · 4 INT · 164 rush yds

  • Chase Sowell#17 WR

    36 catches · 614 yds · 3 TD

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Minnesota

Penn State