Power Rankings
#100▼26
Who is best right now.
+9.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +12.6 (#74)
Preseason: #73
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-14
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.3
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #73 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #74 in the country (+12.7), 25-12.
- →25% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Grant Randall (Quinnipiac, 11.3 ppg), Zaide Lowery (Marquette, 8.1 ppg), Landen Joseph (Marshall, 7.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →3 ranked freshmen: Aiden Derkack (#78), Cody Peck (#116), Julian Washington (#258).
- →Lost Javon Bennett (15.8 ppg, now at Gonzaga), De'Shayne Montgomery (13.4 ppg, now at Louisville), Keonte Jones (7.8 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Dayton
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden DerkackG · Freshman · #286 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.5 | 20.5 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 64.7 (11-17) | 50.0 (2-4) | 81.0 (17-21) |
| Tristian FordG · Sophomore · #2015 ranked | 2 · 1 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 25.0 (4-16) | 37.5 (3-8) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Grant RandallF · Junior · #659 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 0.0 (0-4) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Amal L'EtangF · Junior · #198 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 61.1 (11-18) | 0.0 (0-5) | 70.0 (14-20) |
| Landen JosephG · Sophomore · #1019 ranked | 2 · 0 | 25.5 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 45.0 (9-20) | 30.0 (3-10) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Zaide LoweryG · Senior · #1083 ranked | 1 · 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Travis PerryG · Junior · #1460 ranked | 2 · 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 (1-10) | 14.3 (1-7) | — (0-0) |
| Jaiun SimonF · Senior · #779 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Malcolm ThomasF · Junior · #1536 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Jalen HaynesF · Senior | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Damon FrieryF · Sophomore · #1600 ranked | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jaron McKieG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Julian WashingtonG · Freshman · #3393 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Cody PeckF · Freshman · #1964 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Evan DickeyG · Senior · #2010 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amal L'EtangF · Junior |  Returning | 24 | 11.9 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Grant RandallF · Junior |  Transfer from Quinnipiac | 19 | 11.3 pts · 6.6 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Jaiun SimonF · Senior | Returning | 19 | 5.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Travis PerryG · Junior |  Transfer from Ole Miss | 18 | 5.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Landen JosephG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Marshall | 16 | 7.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.1 ast |
| Zaide LoweryG · Senior |  Transfer from Marquette | 14 | 8.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Aiden DerkackG · Freshman | Freshman · #78 recruit | 11 | — |
| Malcolm ThomasF · Junior | Returning | 10 | 4 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Cody PeckF · Freshman | Freshman · #116 recruit | 9 | — |
| Julian WashingtonG · Freshman | Freshman · #258 recruit | 8 | — |
| Damon FrieryF · Sophomore | Returning | 7 | 1.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Evan DickeyG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 0.5 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
| Makai GrantG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 0.4 pts · 0 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Javon Bennett (15.8 ppg, to 
Gonzaga), De'Shayne Montgomery (13.4 ppg, to 
Louisville), Keonte Jones (7.8 ppg), Jordan Derkack (9.2 ppg), Bryce Heard (6.6 ppg, to 
Wichita State), Jacob Conner (3.2 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Amal L'Etang | Returning | F | Junior | 7-1 · 242 | Bastia, France | 18.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 11.9 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.6 ast (33 G) | #198 · +1.44 |
| 4 | Aiden Derkack | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 193 | Colonia, NJ | 20.5 pts · 10.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #286 · +1.21 |
| 2 | Grant Randall | Transfer from Quinnipiac | F | Junior | 6-9 · 213 | Queens, NY | 7.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 11.3 pts · 6.6 reb · 0.8 ast (32 G) | #659 · +0.70 |
| 3 | Jaiun Simon | Returning | F | Senior | 6-6 · 235 | Mableton, GA | 2.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast (36 G) | #779 · +0.57 |
| 6 | Landen Joseph | Transfer from Marshall | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 175 | West Palm Beach, FL | 12.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 7.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.1 ast (31 G) | #1019 · +0.36 |
| 7 | Zaide Lowery | Transfer from Marquette | G | Senior | 6-5 · 205 | Springfield, MO | 8.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 8.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast (11 G) | #1083 · +0.32 |
| 11 | Travis Perry | Transfer from Ole Miss | G | Junior | 6-1 · 184 | Eddyville, KY | 1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast (35 G) | #1460 · +0.12 |
| 1 | Malcolm Thomas | Returning | F | Junior | 6-8 · 225 | Mitchellville, MD | 2.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 4.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.3 ast (26 G) | #1536 · +0.08 |
| 22 | Damon Friery | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 218 | Cleveland, OH | 2.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast (16 G) | #1600 · +0.05 |
| 10 | Cody Peck | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 220 | Charlotte, NC | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #1964 · -0.10 |
| 0 | Evan Dickey | Returning | G | Senior | 6-3 · 185 | Dayton, OH | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.5 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #2010 · -0.12 |
| 5 | Tristian Ford | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 178 | Rockford, IL | 9.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2015 · -0.12 |
| 33 | Makai Grant | Returning | G | Senior | 6-1 · 204 | Dayton, OH | Hasn't played | 0.4 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.1 ast (7 G) | #2039 · -0.13 |
| 25 | Will Maxwell | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 220 | Oakwood, OH | Hasn't played | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #2235 · -0.21 |
| 14 | Julian Washington | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 190 | Castalia, OH | 3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3393 · -0.66 |
| 8 | Jaron McKie | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 182 | Gladwyne, PA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Jalen Haynes |  Transfer from Cincinnati | F | Senior | 6-8 · 245 | Fort Lauderdale, FL | 5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsNJIT | W89-58Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  vsNorthern Illinois | L76-81Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsSiena | Projected 83-63DAY: 96% to winDayton: 96% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 | vs#21Cincinnati | Projected 68-76DAY: 24% to winDayton: 24% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vsCentral Michigan | Projected 83-64DAY: 95% to winDayton: 95% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vs (N)UtahShriners Children's Charleston Classic | Projected 73-69DAY: 61% to winDayton: 61% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  vs (N)NorthwesternShriners Children's Charleston Classic | Projected 71-75DAY: 35% to winDayton: 35% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vs (N)MemphisA10/American Showcase | Projected 74-78DAY: 36% to winDayton: 36% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  vsLoyola Maryland | Projected 82-62DAY: 96% to winDayton: 96% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  atFlorida State | Projected 73-83DAY: 19% to winDayton: 19% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vsSouth Florida | Projected 76-79DAY: 39% to winDayton: 39% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  vsUT Rio Grande Valley | Projected 77-66DAY: 84% to winDayton: 84% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atLiberty | Projected 74-69DAY: 66% to winDayton: 66% to win Compare |
| Dec 23 |  vsSE Louisiana | Projected 79-66DAY: 87% to winDayton: 87% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 |  vsLa SalleConference | Projected 80-68DAY: 85% to winDayton: 85% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atDavidsonConference | Projected 71-72DAY: 44% to winDayton: 44% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vsLoyola ChicagoConference | Projected 74-67DAY: 72% to winDayton: 72% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atSaint LouisConference | Projected 71-85DAY: 13% to winDayton: 13% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsRichmondConference | Projected 79-74DAY: 67% to winDayton: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atSt. BonaventureConference | Projected 75-72DAY: 62% to winDayton: 62% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 |  vsVCUConference | Projected 75-77DAY: 43% to winDayton: 43% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  atDuquesneConference | Projected 75-73DAY: 54% to winDayton: 54% to win Compare |
| Jan 29 | vsSaint LouisConference | Projected 75-81DAY: 28% to winDayton: 28% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 | atLoyola ChicagoConference | Projected 71-70DAY: 53% to winDayton: 53% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  atFordhamConference | Projected 72-73DAY: 46% to winDayton: 46% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsDuquesneConference | Projected 78-70DAY: 75% to winDayton: 75% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 |  atGeorge WashingtonConference | Projected 70-77DAY: 27% to winDayton: 27% to win Compare |
| Feb 19 |  vsSaint Joseph'sConference | Projected 76-66DAY: 81% to winDayton: 81% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 |  vsGeorge MasonConference | Projected 70-69DAY: 54% to winDayton: 54% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  atRhode IslandConference | Projected 72-74DAY: 42% to winDayton: 42% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | vsGeorge WashingtonConference | Projected 73-74DAY: 47% to winDayton: 47% to win Compare |
| Mar 5 | atVCUConference | Projected 72-81DAY: 24% to winDayton: 24% to win Compare |
A-10 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Louis | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | George Washington | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | George Mason | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Rhode Island | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Davidson | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Richmond | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Loyola Chicago | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Duquesne | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Saint Joseph's | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | VCU | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Dayton | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 12 | Fordham | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 13 | St. Bonaventure | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 14 | La Salle | 0-0 | 1-1 |