College Basketball · ACC · 2026-27
Florida State Seminoles
2-0 · Coach Luke Loucks
Power Rankings
#47▲19
Who is best right now.
+19.0points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +14.1 (#66)
Preseason: #66
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
20-12
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #66 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #65 in the country (+13.8), 18-15.
- →16% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Kam Taylor (UNC Asheville, 18.9 ppg), Sebastian Rancik (Colorado, 12.3 ppg), Anthony Robinson II (Missouri, 8.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →5 ranked freshmen: Marcis Ponder (#44), Martay Barnes (#89), Brandon Bass Jr. (#115).
- →Lost Lajae Jones (12.7 ppg), Robert McCray V (16.3 ppg), Chauncey Wiggins (13.3 ppg, now at Gonzaga).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Florida State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian RancikF · Junior · #237 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.0 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 57.1 (12-21) | 36.4 (4-11) | 93.8 (15-16) |
| Shon AbaevF · Sophomore · #568 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 34.6 (9-26) | 22.2 (2-9) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| Kam TaylorG · Junior · #335 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 58.3 (7-12) | 33.3 (2-6) | 93.3 (14-15) |
| Anthony Robinson IIG · Senior · #398 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 50.0 (10-20) | 25.0 (1-4) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Marcis PonderC · Freshman · #519 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 80.0 (8-10) | — (0-0) | 69.2 (9-13) |
| Alex SteenF · Senior · #231 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Brandon Bass Jr.G · Freshman · #1889 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 63.6 (7-11) | 57.1 (4-7) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Elise AssuiG · Freshman · #3369 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 25.0 (1-4) | 0.0 (0-3) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Cooper SchwiegerF · Senior · #1125 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 40.0 (2-5) | 0.0 (0-3) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Martay BarnesG · Freshman · #1816 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 41.7 (5-12) | 25.0 (2-8) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Amare RobinsonG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| JD JonesG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jalen CrawfordG · Junior · #2293 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Robinson IIG · Senior |  Transfer from Missouri | 23 | 8.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 3 ast |
| Alex SteenF · Senior |  Returning | 22 | 6.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Sebastian RancikF · Junior |  Transfer from Colorado | 21 | 12.3 pts · 5.5 reb · 2 ast |
| Kam TaylorG · Junior |  Transfer from UNC Asheville | 19 | 18.9 pts · 5 reb · 3 ast |
| Cooper SchwiegerF · Senior |  Transfer from Wake Forest | 19 | 5.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Shon AbaevF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Cincinnati | 16 | 7 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Marcis PonderC · Freshman | Freshman · #44 recruit | 15 | — |
| AJ SwintonF · Junior | Returning | 14 | 4.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Martay BarnesG · Freshman | Freshman · #89 recruit | 11 | — |
| Brandon Bass Jr.G · Freshman | Freshman · #115 recruit | 9 | — |
| Jasen LopezG · Sophomore | Freshman · #152 recruit | 9 | — |
| Collin PaulF · Freshman | Freshman · #132 recruit | 9 | — |
| Jalen CrawfordG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Lajae Jones (12.7 ppg), Robert McCray V (16.3 ppg), Chauncey Wiggins (13.3 ppg, to 
Gonzaga), Martin Somerville (8 ppg, to 
West Virginia), Kobe MaGee (7.9 ppg), Thomas Bassong (5.9 ppg, to 
Mississippi State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Alex Steen | Returning | F | Senior | 6-9 · 230 | Panama City Beach, FL | 6.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #231 · +1.33 |
| 22 | Sebastian Rancik | Transfer from Colorado | F | Junior | 6-11 · 230 | Bratislava, Slovakia | 21.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 12.3 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.0 ast (29 G) | #237 · +1.32 |
| 3 | Kam Taylor | Transfer from UNC Asheville | G | Junior | 6-7 · 195 | Charlotte, NC | 15.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 18.9 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.0 ast (32 G) | #335 · +1.15 |
| 2 | Anthony Robinson II | Transfer from Missouri | G | Senior | 6-3 · 190 | Tallahassee, FL | 11.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 8.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.0 ast (33 G) | #398 · +1.02 |
| 11 | Marcis Ponder | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-0 · 285 | Miami, FL | 12.5 pts · 10.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #519 · +0.85 |
| 1 | Shon Abaev | Transfer from Cincinnati | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 215 | Fort Lauderdale, FL | 13.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 6.0 ast (2 G) | 7.0 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast (24 G) | #568 · +0.79 |
| 31 | Cooper Schwieger | Transfer from Wake Forest | F | Senior | 6-10 · 235 | Overland Park, KS | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast (34 G) | #1125 · +0.29 |
| 19 | AJ Swinton | Returning | F | Junior | 6-6 · 220 | Cabin John, MD | Hasn't played | 4.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.4 ast (26 G) | #1329 · +0.18 |
| 0 | Martay Barnes | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 175 | Palm Bay, FL | 7.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #1816 · -0.04 |
| 30 | Brandon Bass Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 200 | Windermere, FL | 10.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1889 · -0.07 |
| 5 | Collin Paul | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 240 | West Palm Beach, FL | Hasn't played | — | #2206 · -0.19 |
| 15 | Jalen Crawford | Returning | G | Junior | 6-0 · 160 | Tallahassee, FL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (6 G) | #2293 · -0.22 |
| 7 | Jasen Lopez | Freshman | G | Sophomore | 6-0 · 180 | Miami, FL | Hasn't played | — | #2486 · -0.29 |
| 10 | Elise Assui | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 230 | Varese, Italy | 2.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3369 · -0.65 |
| 14 | JD Jones | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 210 | Phoenix, AZ | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 00 | Amare Robinson | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 170 | Tallahassee, FL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vs (N)Florida A&M | W112-69Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsTroy | W91-68Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vs#2Florida | Projected 77-86FSU: 22% to winFlorida State: 22% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsTexas A&M-Corpus Christi | Projected 85-66FSU: 95% to winFlorida State: 95% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vsBall State | Projected 85-64FSU: 96% to winFlorida State: 96% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vsGreen Bay | Projected 87-70FSU: 93% to winFlorida State: 93% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 | vsUNC Asheville | Projected 92-68FSU: 98% to winFlorida State: 98% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vs (N)West FloridaBattle at the Bay | Projected 93-66FSU: 99% to winFlorida State: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  at#12TennesseeACC/SEC Men's Challenge | Projected 74-84FSU: 20% to winFlorida State: 20% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsDayton | Projected 83-73FSU: 81% to winFlorida State: 81% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vs (N)Texas A&MHouston Hoopfest | Projected 83-84FSU: 45% to winFlorida State: 45% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsJacksonville | Projected 88-67FSU: 96% to winFlorida State: 96% to win Compare |
| Dec 20 |  vs (N)#5HoustonJacksonville Hoops Showdown | Projected 73-82FSU: 23% to winFlorida State: 23% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsBethune-Cookman | Projected 89-72FSU: 93% to winFlorida State: 93% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsSyracuseConference | Projected 82-78FSU: 66% to winFlorida State: 66% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  atCaliforniaConference | Projected 81-79FSU: 56% to winFlorida State: 56% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atStanfordConference | Projected 79-78FSU: 55% to winFlorida State: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsNorth CarolinaConference | Projected 84-80FSU: 61% to winFlorida State: 61% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 | atWake ForestConference | Projected 82-77FSU: 66% to winFlorida State: 66% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  vsVirginia TechConference | Projected 82-79FSU: 59% to winFlorida State: 59% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atClemsonConference | Projected 79-80FSU: 50% to winFlorida State: 50% to win Compare |
| Jan 26 |  vsNotre DameConference | Projected 83-76FSU: 71% to winFlorida State: 71% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsPittsburghConference | Projected 81-76FSU: 69% to winFlorida State: 69% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 |  atNC StateConference | Projected 79-84FSU: 34% to winFlorida State: 34% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  at#23MiamiConference | Projected 76-83FSU: 28% to winFlorida State: 28% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsClemsonConference | Projected 83-76FSU: 71% to winFlorida State: 71% to win Compare |
| Feb 16 |  at#1DukeConference | Projected 72-88FSU: 8% to winFlorida State: 8% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 |  vs#19LouisvilleConference | Projected 82-84FSU: 43% to winFlorida State: 43% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 |  vsGeorgia TechConference | Projected 89-75FSU: 88% to winFlorida State: 88% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  at#24VirginiaConference | Projected 77-84FSU: 28% to winFlorida State: 28% to win Compare |
| Mar 3 |  atBoston CollegeConference | Projected 75-76FSU: 48% to winFlorida State: 48% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vs#23MiamiConference | Projected 80-81FSU: 49% to winFlorida State: 49% to win Compare |
ACC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Louisville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Virginia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | NC State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Florida State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | North Carolina | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Syracuse | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Boston College | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Clemson | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 |  SMU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | Stanford | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | California | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 17 | Miami | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Wake Forest | 0-0 | 1-1 |