
College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27
Cincinnati Bearcats
2-0 · Coach Jerrod Calhoun
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+25.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +25.2 (#19)
Preseason: #19
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-9
- Conference record
- 11-7
- Conference title
- 6%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #19 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #45 in the country (+18.9), 18-15.
- →0% of last season's minutes are back.
- →12 transfers in, led by Javontae Campbell (Bowling Green, 18.7 ppg), Tyler Tejada (Towson, 17.7 ppg), MJ Collins Jr. (Utah State, 17.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Baba Miller (13 ppg), Day Day Thomas (11.5 ppg), Jizzle James (10.9 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Cincinnati
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr.G · Senior · #77 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 50.0 (8-16) | 36.4 (4-11) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Myles ColvinG · Senior · #475 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 47.6 (10-21) | 40.0 (6-15) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Tyler TejadaF · Senior · #489 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 29.4 (5-17) | 30.0 (3-10) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Tylen RileyG · Senior · #174 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 30.8 (4-13) | 0.0 (0-4) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Eric MahaffeyG · Junior · #232 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.0 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 66.7 (6-9) | 25.0 (1-4) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| David IwezeF · Sophomore · #2657 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 42.9 (3-7) | 100.0 (1-1) | 70.0 (7-10) |
| Akai FlemingG · Sophomore · #1559 ranked | 1 · 0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 50.0 (4-8) | 100.0 (1-1) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Amani LylesF · Senior · #62 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 61.5 (8-13) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Adlan ElaminF · Sophomore · #678 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-4) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Trevian CarsonG · Senior · #313 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Riley AllenspachF · Senior · #259 ranked | 2 · 1 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 80.0 (4-5) | 100.0 (1-1) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Elijah PerrymanG · Sophomore · #601 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Jayden HastingsF · Senior · #674 ranked | 1 · 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Deshaun VadenF · Junior | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr.G · Senior | 26 | 17.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Tylen RileyG · Senior | 23 | 15 pts · 3.9 reb · 4.4 ast | |
| Javontae CampbellG · Senior | 22 | 18.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.1 ast | |
| Trevian CarsonG · Senior | 21 | 11.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.9 ast | |
| Myles ColvinG · Senior | 21 | 11.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| Adlan ElaminF · Sophomore | 20 | 6.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Riley AllenspachF · Senior | 20 | 13.6 pts · 6 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Eric MahaffeyG · Junior | 20 | 7.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.5 ast | |
| Tyler TejadaF · Senior | 20 | 17.7 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.3 ast | |
| Elijah PerrymanG · Sophomore | 18 | 4.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.1 ast | |
| Jayden HastingsF · Senior | 18 | 6.7 pts · 5.6 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Akai FlemingG · Sophomore | 17 | 10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Grant DarbyshireG · Senior | 5 | 0 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Baba Miller (13 ppg), Day Day Thomas (11.5 ppg), Jizzle James (10.9 ppg), Moustapha Thiam (12.8 ppg, to
Michigan), Jalen Celestine (8.6 ppg), Kerr Kriisa (5.8 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Amani Lyles | F | Senior | 6-9 · 240 | Columbus, OH | 8.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 14.9 pts · 7.9 reb · 2.2 ast (35 G) | #62 · +2.02 | |
| 3 | Javontae Campbell | G | Senior | 6-3 · 185 | Muskogee, OK | Hasn't played | 18.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.1 ast (32 G) | #76 · +1.93 | |
| 2 | MJ Collins Jr. | G | Senior | 6-4 · 195 | Clover, SC | 13.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 17.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.6 ast (36 G) | #77 · +1.92 | |
| 10 | Tylen Riley | G | Senior | 6-3 · 195 | Las Vegas, NV | 5.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 15.0 pts · 3.9 reb · 4.4 ast (38 G) | #174 · +1.51 | |
| 20 | Eric Mahaffey | G | Junior | 6-6 · 210 | Cincinnati, OH | 8.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 7.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.5 ast (34 G) | #232 · +1.33 | |
| 35 | Riley Allenspach | F | Senior | 6-11 · 245 | Charlotte, NC | 5.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 13.6 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.8 ast (32 G) | #259 · +1.27 | |
| 0 | Trevian Carson | G | Senior | 6-3 · 205 | West Des Moines, IA | 3.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 11.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.9 ast (35 G) | #313 · +1.18 | |
| 6 | Myles Colvin | G | Senior | 6-5 · 215 | Indianapolis, IN | 15.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 11.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast (35 G) | #475 · +0.91 | |
| 8 | Tyler Tejada | F | Senior | 6-9 · 230 | Teaneck, NJ | 6.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 17.7 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.3 ast (32 G) | #489 · +0.88 | |
| 1 | Elijah Perryman | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 190 | San Francisco, CA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 4.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.1 ast (36 G) | #601 · +0.76 | |
| 22 | Jayden Hastings | F | Senior | 6-10 · 245 | Orlando, FL | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 6.7 pts · 5.6 reb · 0.7 ast (31 G) | #674 · +0.68 | |
| 9 | Adlan Elamin | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 200 | Arlington, VA | 2.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 6.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast (35 G) | #678 · +0.67 | |
| 5 | Akai Fleming | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 200 | Marietta, GA | 9.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast (30 G) | #1559 · +0.06 | |
| 13 | Grant Darbyshire | G | Senior | 6-2 · 190 | Cincinnati, OH | Hasn't played | 0.0 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #2066 · -0.14 | |
| 11 | David Iweze | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 245 | Roanoke, TX | 7.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2657 · -0.36 |
| 32 | Deshaun Vaden | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-11 · 225 | Cleveland, OH | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W79-53Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | W81-64Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | Projected 74-64CIN: 81% to winCincinnati: 81% to win Compare | |
| Nov 14 | Projected 76-68CIN: 76% to winCincinnati: 76% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 84-61CIN: 98% to winCincinnati: 98% to win Compare | |
| Nov 22 | Projected 88-59CIN: 99% to winCincinnati: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 26 | Projected 80-74CIN: 70% to winCincinnati: 70% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | Projected 72-66CIN: 72% to winCincinnati: 72% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 83-61CIN: 97% to winCincinnati: 97% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 78-71CIN: 71% to winCincinnati: 71% to win Compare | |
| Dec 14 | Projected 88-59CIN: 99% to winCincinnati: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 77-69CIN: 74% to winCincinnati: 74% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 85-57CIN: 99% to winCincinnati: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 85-63CIN: 97% to winCincinnati: 97% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 71-69CIN: 56% to winCincinnati: 56% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 76-81CIN: 34% to winCincinnati: 34% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 76-65CIN: 84% to winCincinnati: 84% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 76-71CIN: 68% to winCincinnati: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 69-71CIN: 45% to winCincinnati: 45% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 72-75CIN: 40% to winCincinnati: 40% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 77-71CIN: 70% to winCincinnati: 70% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 79-69CIN: 81% to winCincinnati: 81% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 77-76CIN: 51% to winCincinnati: 51% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 77-78CIN: 45% to winCincinnati: 45% to win Compare | |
| Feb 9 | Projected 76-75CIN: 53% to winCincinnati: 53% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 83-71CIN: 86% to winCincinnati: 86% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 71-75CIN: 35% to winCincinnati: 35% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 83-68CIN: 91% to winCincinnati: 91% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 73-68CIN: 66% to winCincinnati: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 68-72CIN: 35% to winCincinnati: 35% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 71-72CIN: 46% to winCincinnati: 46% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 80-71CIN: 78% to winCincinnati: 78% to win Compare | |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 1-1 |