
College Basketball · American · 2026-27
Memphis Tigers
2-0 · Coach Anfernee Hardaway
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+15.1points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +12.0 (#79)
Preseason: #78
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-10
- Conference record
- 13-5
- Conference title
- 32%
- Outright title
- 17%
- Luck
- +0.8
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #78 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #125 in the country (+4.5), 13-19.
- →11% of last season's minutes are back.
- →9 transfers in, led by Tylik Weeks (Southern Miss, 19.7 ppg), Luke Almodovar (Southeast Missouri State, 14.1 ppg), Brandin Cummings (Pittsburgh, 12.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Fred Smith Jr. (#102), Cello Jackson Jr. (#196).
- →Lost Dug McDaniel (13.9 ppg), Curtis Givens III (9.4 ppg, now at Ohio State), Hasan Abdul Hakim (6.2 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Memphis
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rihards VaversF · Senior · #593 ranked | 2 · 2 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 52.9 (9-17) | 58.3 (7-12) | 70.0 (7-10) |
| Jayden ReidG · Senior · #221 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 53.1 (17-32) | 45.5 (5-11) | 82.6 (19-23) |
| Tylik WeeksF · Senior · #715 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 37.5 (6-16) | 0.0 (0-3) | 65.0 (13-20) |
| Luke AlmodovarG · Senior · #1111 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 46.7 (7-15) | 44.4 (4-9) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Corneilous WilliamsF · Senior · #819 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-5) |
| Josh HollowayG · Senior · #1091 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | 66.7 (2-3) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Julius ThedfordG · Junior · #647 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 (1-5) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Maxim LogueF · Junior · #1001 ranked | 2 · 2 | 11.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| William WhortonF · Senior · #2099 ranked | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jerry DengF · Senior · #880 ranked | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 (2-6) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Brandin CummingsG · Junior · #825 ranked | 2 · 0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Cello Jackson Jr.G · Freshman · #2943 ranked | 2 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden ReidG · Senior | 25 | 10.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 5 ast | |
| Tylik WeeksF · Senior | 22 | 19.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast | |
| Rihards VaversF · Senior | 20 | 11.5 pts · 4 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Luke AlmodovarG · Senior | 19 | 14.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Julius ThedfordG · Junior | 19 | 8.4 pts · 5 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Josh HollowayG · Senior | 19 | 4.6 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Brandin CummingsG · Junior | 18 | 12.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.1 ast | |
| Corneilous WilliamsF · Senior | 18 | 12.2 pts · 9.3 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Maxim LogueF · Junior | 16 | 4.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0 ast | |
| Jerry DengF · Senior | 13 | 6.1 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Cello Jackson Jr.G · Freshman | Freshman · #196 recruit | 9 | — |
| Fred Smith Jr.F · Freshman | Freshman · #102 recruit | 9 | — |
| William WhortonF · Senior | 9 | 1.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Dug McDaniel (13.9 ppg), Curtis Givens III (9.4 ppg, to
Ohio State), Hasan Abdul Hakim (6.2 ppg), Zach Davis (7.2 ppg), Ashton Hardaway (5.6 ppg, to
Coastal Carolina), Sincere Parker (11.4 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jayden Reid | G | Senior | 5-10 · 175 | Westbury, NY | 29.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 10.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 5.0 ast (34 G) | #221 · +1.35 | |
| 15 | Rihards Vavers | F | Senior | 6-7 · 205 | Adazi, Latvia | 16.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 11.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.4 ast (29 G) | #593 · +0.78 | |
| 5 | Julius Thedford | G | Junior | 6-5 · 210 | Memphis, TN | 3.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 8.4 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.7 ast (27 G) | #647 · +0.72 | |
| 4 | Tylik Weeks | F | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | New York, NY | 12.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 19.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast (34 G) | #715 · +0.64 | |
| 2 | Corneilous Williams | F | Senior | 6-10 · 220 | Beaumont, MS | 3.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 12.2 pts · 9.3 reb · 0.8 ast (29 G) | #819 · +0.54 | |
| 3 | Brandin Cummings | G | Junior | 6-3 · 175 | Midland, PA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 12.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.1 ast (19 G) | #825 · +0.53 | |
| 7 | Jerry Deng | F | Senior | 6-9 · 225 | Rochester, NY | 5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 6.1 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.4 ast (8 G) | #880 · +0.48 | |
| 77 | Maxim Logue | F | Junior | 6-9 · 232 | Lyon, France | 1.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 4.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.0 ast (28 G) | #1001 · +0.38 | |
| 1 | Josh Holloway | G | Senior | 6-2 · 185 | Memphis, TN | 5.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 4.6 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast (34 G) | #1091 · +0.32 | |
| 10 | Luke Almodovar | G | Senior | 6-3 · 195 | Noblesville, IN | 12.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 14.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.7 ast (33 G) | #1111 · +0.31 | |
| 30 | Fred Smith Jr. | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 210 | Memphis, TN | Hasn't played | — | #1751 · -0.01 |
| 12 | William Whorton | F | Senior | 6-8 · 210 | Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.2 ast (19 G) | #2099 · -0.15 | |
| 11 | Cello Jackson Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 205 | Memphis, TN | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2943 · -0.47 |
| 17 | Nemanja Popovic | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 215 | Topola, Serbia | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Parker Pounds | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 190 | Memphis, TN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W80-76Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | W89-88Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 70-84MEM: 12% to winMemphis: 12% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | Projected 78-83MEM: 33% to winMemphis: 33% to win Compare | |
| Nov 22 | Projected 88-65MEM: 98% to winMemphis: 98% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 85-78MEM: 73% to winMemphis: 73% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | Battle 4 Atlantis - Championship BracketChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 29 | Projected 78-74MEM: 64% to winMemphis: 64% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 91-65MEM: 99% to winMemphis: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 77-84MEM: 29% to winMemphis: 29% to win Compare | |
| Dec 11 | Projected 82-81MEM: 55% to winMemphis: 55% to win Compare | |
| Dec 16 | Projected 74-86MEM: 15% to winMemphis: 15% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 88-69MEM: 95% to winMemphis: 95% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 88-69MEM: 95% to winMemphis: 95% to win Compare | |
| Jan 3 | Projected 79-85MEM: 32% to winMemphis: 32% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 87-67MEM: 96% to winMemphis: 96% to win Compare | |
| Jan 10 | Projected 82-74MEM: 76% to winMemphis: 76% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 79-75MEM: 62% to winMemphis: 62% to win Compare | |
| Jan 17 | Projected 84-74MEM: 79% to winMemphis: 79% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 79-74MEM: 65% to winMemphis: 65% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 79-70MEM: 78% to winMemphis: 78% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 75-78MEM: 41% to winMemphis: 41% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 86-74MEM: 85% to winMemphis: 85% to win Compare | |
| Feb 7 | Projected 87-71MEM: 91% to winMemphis: 91% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 82-71MEM: 82% to winMemphis: 82% to win Compare | |
| Feb 14 | Projected 87-70MEM: 93% to winMemphis: 93% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 76-73MEM: 59% to winMemphis: 59% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 78-80MEM: 44% to winMemphis: 44% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 83-78MEM: 68% to winMemphis: 68% to win Compare | |
| Feb 28 | Projected 83-82MEM: 54% to winMemphis: 54% to win Compare | |
| Mar 4 | Projected 78-73MEM: 69% to winMemphis: 69% to win Compare | |
| Mar 7 | Projected 89-71MEM: 95% to winMemphis: 95% to win Compare | |
American standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 |