
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+6.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +4.9 (#117)
Preseason: #117
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
19-13
- Conference record
- 8-10
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #117 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #143 in the country (+1.8), 15-17.
- →22% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Amon Dorries (Bucknell, 16.2 ppg), Derin Saran (UC Irvine, 11.5 ppg), Jamie Kaiser Jr. (Butler, 9.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Sam Simmons Jr. (#266).
- →Lost Will Johnston (9.7 ppg), AJ Lopez (13.4 ppg), Mike Walz (7.9 ppg, now at Charlotte).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Richmond
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden ArgabrightG · Sophomore · #416 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 36.4 (4-11) | 60.0 (3-5) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Derin SaranG · Senior · #741 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 7.5 | 50.0 (7-14) | 37.5 (3-8) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Dominick StewartG · Junior · #1058 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 80.0 (16-20) | 71.4 (5-7) | 90.0 (9-10) |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr.F · Senior · #738 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 (12-21) | 63.6 (7-11) | — (0-0) |
| Amon DorriesC · Sophomore · #1275 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 80.0 (8-10) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Andrew BallF · Senior · #1205 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 75.0 (9-12) | 50.0 (2-4) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Collin TannerG · Senior · #1508 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 53.3 (8-15) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Will Harper IIIG · Sophomore · #2019 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 75.0 (3-4) | — (0-0) |
| Chad CookF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 55.6 (5-9) | 0.0 (0-2) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Donovan RichardsonG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
| Dylan HomenickC · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Kirby MooneyG · Junior · #3119 ranked | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Sam Simmons Jr.G · Freshman · #3438 ranked | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Kaiser Jr.F · Senior | 25 | 9.5 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast | |
| Aiden ArgabrightG · Sophomore | 24 | 10.8 pts · 2 reb · 2 ast | |
| Derin SaranG · Senior | 24 | 11.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 3.4 ast | |
| Dominick StewartG · Junior | 20 | 6.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Andrew BallF · Senior | 19 | 7.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Amon DorriesC · Sophomore | 19 | 16.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| Collin TannerG · Senior | 18 | 5.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Jack McCafferyF · Sophomore | 13 | 2.8 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Sam Simmons Jr.G · Freshman | Freshman · #266 recruit | 8 | — |
| Will Harper IIIG · Sophomore | 8 | 3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Kirby MooneyG · Junior | 5 | 0.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.3 ast |
Gone from last season: Will Johnston (9.7 ppg), AJ Lopez (13.4 ppg), Mike Walz (7.9 ppg, to
Charlotte), Mikkel Tyne (6.2 ppg, to
Buffalo), Jaden Daughtry (8.9 ppg, to
Stony Brook), Apostolos Roumoglou (2.9 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aiden Argabright | G | Sophomore | 6-0 · 155 | Richmond, VA | 7.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 10.8 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (31 G) | #416 · +1.00 | |
| 7 | Jamie Kaiser Jr. | F | Senior | 6-6 · 205 | Burke, VA | 15.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 9.5 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.0 ast (30 G) | #738 · +0.62 | |
| 13 | Derin Saran | G | Senior | 6-5 · 190 | Istanbul, Türkiye | 9.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 7.5 ast (2 G) | 11.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 3.4 ast (35 G) | #741 · +0.61 | |
| 1 | Dominick Stewart | G | Junior | 6-5 · 195 | Ocean Springs, MS | 23.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.6 ast (32 G) | #1058 · +0.34 | |
| 4 | Andrew Ball | F | Senior | 6-9 · 215 | Marlton, NJ | 11.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 7.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.6 ast (34 G) | #1205 · +0.25 | |
| 21 | Amon Dorries | C | Sophomore | 6-11 · 233 | Potsdam, Germany | 9.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.5 ast (2 G) | 16.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast (33 G) | #1275 · +0.21 | |
| 5 | Collin Tanner | G | Senior | 6-6 · 205 | Creedmoor, NC | 8.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast (29 G) | #1508 · +0.10 | |
| 6 | Jack McCaffery | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 215 | Iowa City, IA | Hasn't played | 2.8 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast (9 G) | #1524 · +0.08 | |
| 11 | Will Harper III | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 185 | Bowie, MD | 7.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast (14 G) | #2019 · -0.12 | |
| 15 | Kirby Mooney | G | Junior | 6-3 · 205 | Southampton, PA | 4.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | #3119 · -0.54 | |
| 2 | Sam Simmons Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-9 · 165 | Kansas City, KS | 3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3438 · -0.69 |
| 0 | Chad Cook | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 220 | Syracuse, NY | 6.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | Dane Caldwell | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 190 | Sellersburg, IN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Jaden Shoultz | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 175 | Columbus, OH | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Donovan Richardson | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 190 | Richmond, VA | 7.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 16 | Dylan Homenick | C | Sophomore | 6-11 · 220 | Surrey, BC | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W100-77Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | vsSouthern Virginia(non-D1) | W107-46Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | Projected 77-74RICH: 59% to winRichmond: 59% to win Compare | |
| Nov 12 | Projected 82-78RICH: 63% to winRichmond: 63% to win Compare | |
| Nov 16 | Projected 72-85RICH: 13% to winRichmond: 13% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 79-78RICH: 54% to winRichmond: 54% to win Compare | |
| Nov 22 | Projected 79-72RICH: 71% to winRichmond: 71% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 83-75RICH: 76% to winRichmond: 76% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 88-67RICH: 97% to winRichmond: 97% to win Compare | |
| Dec 1 | Projected 81-75RICH: 70% to winRichmond: 70% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 76-74RICH: 59% to winRichmond: 59% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 82-73RICH: 80% to winRichmond: 80% to win Compare | |
| Dec 18 | Projected 85-76RICH: 78% to winRichmond: 78% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 85-64RICH: 96% to winRichmond: 96% to win Compare | |
| Dec 30 | Projected 70-77RICH: 27% to winRichmond: 27% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 77-72RICH: 67% to winRichmond: 67% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 78-87RICH: 23% to winRichmond: 23% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 74-77RICH: 38% to winRichmond: 38% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 74-79RICH: 33% to winRichmond: 33% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 78-76RICH: 57% to winRichmond: 57% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 81-75RICH: 70% to winRichmond: 70% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 73-82RICH: 21% to winRichmond: 21% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 75-86RICH: 18% to winRichmond: 18% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 77-74RICH: 59% to winRichmond: 59% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 78-77RICH: 56% to winRichmond: 56% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 76-79RICH: 40% to winRichmond: 40% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 79-83RICH: 37% to winRichmond: 37% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 75-79RICH: 35% to winRichmond: 35% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 82-73RICH: 76% to winRichmond: 76% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 80-77RICH: 63% to winRichmond: 63% to win Compare | |
| Mar 3 | Projected 76-74RICH: 57% to winRichmond: 57% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 78-75RICH: 61% to winRichmond: 61% to win Compare | |
A-10 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |