
College Basketball · OVC · 2026-27
Tennessee State Tigers
1-1 · Coach Nolan Smith
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-6.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -2.2 (#187)
Preseason: #187
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-10
- Conference record
- 11-5
- Conference title
- 41%
- Outright title
- 26%
- Luck
- -0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #187 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #192 in the country (-2.6), 23-10.
- →7% of last season's minutes are back.
- →7 transfers in, led by Ty-Laur Johnson (San Diego, 14.6 ppg), Arterio Morris (Bethune-Cookman, 11.5 ppg), Aaron Bradshaw (Memphis, 8.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Dante Harris (11.5 ppg), Travis Harper II (17.2 ppg), Aaron Nkrumah (17.6 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Tennessee State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deondrea LindseyF · Sophomore · #3701 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 42.9 (6-14) | 0.0 (0-4) | 100.0 (10-10) |
| Ty-Laur JohnsonG · Senior · #946 ranked | 2 · 1 | 22.5 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 46.7 (7-15) | 33.3 (2-6) | 80.0 (8-10) |
| Aaron BradshawF · Senior · #1254 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 45.0 (9-20) | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jayden JonesG · Sophomore · #2646 ranked | 2 · 1 | 21.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 71.4 (10-14) | 0.0 (0-2) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Arterio MorrisG · Senior · #2588 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 31.6 (6-19) | 22.2 (2-9) | 75.0 (6-8) |
| Kavien JonesF · Junior · #2175 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 63.6 (7-11) | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Christian AlstonG · Junior · #2832 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 38.5 (5-13) | 20.0 (1-5) | 50.0 (5-10) |
| Presley PattersonG · Senior · #2954 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 21.4 (3-14) | 25.0 (3-12) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Maddux BodenhamerG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 50.0 (4-8) | 66.7 (2-3) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Daniel Vieira-TuckG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Ajayi SimmonsG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | 100.0 (1-1) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Isaiah StewartG · Sophomore · #3358 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 (2-8) | 0.0 (0-6) | — (0-0) |
| Garrett SheltonG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron BradshawF · Senior | 20 | 8.6 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Arterio MorrisG · Senior | 19 | 11.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.8 ast | |
| Ty-Laur JohnsonG · Senior | 19 | 14.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 4.3 ast | |
| Joshua RiveraF · Senior | 18 | 3.3 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Christian AlstonG · Junior | 15 | 4.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Kavien JonesF · Junior | 12 | 2.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Isaiah StewartG · Sophomore | 12 | 1.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Presley PattersonG · Senior | 12 | 0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Damon Howard Jr.G · Sophomore | 8 | 1.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Jayden JonesG · Sophomore | 5 | 1.8 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Dante Harris (11.5 ppg), Travis Harper II (17.2 ppg), Aaron Nkrumah (17.6 ppg), Jalen Pitre (6.4 ppg, to
Buffalo), Antoine Lorick III (9.8 ppg, to
Buffalo), Carlous Williams (5.6 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ty-Laur Johnson | G | Senior | 6-0 · 150 | Brooklyn, NY | 12.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 14.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 4.3 ast (23 G) | #946 · +0.41 | |
| 15 | Joshua Rivera | F | Senior | 6-6 · 225 | New Brunswick, NJ | Hasn't played | 3.3 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (30 G) | #1222 · +0.25 | |
| 2 | Aaron Bradshaw | F | Senior | 7-1 · 225 | Rahway, NJ | 10.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 8.6 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast (29 G) | #1254 · +0.23 | |
| 23 | Kavien Jones | F | Junior | 6-7 · 260 | Franklin, TN | 7.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.2 ast (30 G) | #2175 · -0.18 | |
| 11 | Damon Howard Jr. | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 160 | Indianapolis, IN | Hasn't played | 1.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.9 ast (21 G) | #2582 · -0.33 | |
| 1 | Arterio Morris | G | Senior | 6-4 · 200 | Dallas, TX | 10.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 11.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.8 ast (30 G) | #2588 · -0.33 | |
| 20 | Jayden Jones | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 195 | Madison, TN | 11.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 1.8 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #2646 · -0.35 | |
| 7 | Christian Alston | G | Junior | 6-7 · 200 | Memphis, TN | 8.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 4.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast (30 G) | #2832 · -0.43 | |
| 4 | Presley Patterson | G | Senior | 5-11 · 180 | Knoxville, TN | 5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 0.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | #2954 · -0.47 | |
| 16 | Isaiah Stewart | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 190 | Rockwall, TX | 2.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast (13 G) | #3358 · -0.64 | |
| 0 | Deondrea Lindsey | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 212 | Knoxville, TN | 11.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3701 · -0.80 |
| 6 | Garrett Shelton | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 165 | St. Louis, MO | 3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Daniel Vieira-Tuck | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 175 | Arlington, TX | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 24 | Ajayi Simmons | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-8 | Seattle, WA | 7.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Maddux Bodenhamer | G | Junior | 6-2 · 190 | Nashville, TN | 6.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L64-94Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | vsEast-West University(non-D1) | W127-61Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | vsFisk(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 13 | Projected 61-90TNST: 1% to winTennessee State: 1% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 70-92TNST: 3% to winTennessee State: 3% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 68-94TNST: 1% to winTennessee State: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 4 | Projected 79-75TNST: 63% to winTennessee State: 63% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 81-73TNST: 75% to winTennessee State: 75% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | vsOakwood(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 11 | Projected 81-68TNST: 88% to winTennessee State: 88% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 80-71TNST: 78% to winTennessee State: 78% to win Compare | |
| Dec 31 | Projected 74-73TNST: 55% to winTennessee State: 55% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 78-69TNST: 79% to winTennessee State: 79% to win Compare | |
| Jan 7 | Projected 84-64TNST: 96% to winTennessee State: 96% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 76-73TNST: 61% to winTennessee State: 61% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 82-69TNST: 87% to winTennessee State: 87% to win Compare | |
| Jan 21 | Projected 79-77TNST: 57% to winTennessee State: 57% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 76-78TNST: 43% to winTennessee State: 43% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 77-69TNST: 75% to winTennessee State: 75% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 77-70TNST: 72% to winTennessee State: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 4 | Projected 82-73TNST: 78% to winTennessee State: 78% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 79-72TNST: 72% to winTennessee State: 72% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 82-66TNST: 92% to winTennessee State: 92% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 72-76TNST: 39% to winTennessee State: 39% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 75-80TNST: 32% to winTennessee State: 32% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 74-73TNST: 51% to winTennessee State: 51% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 79-75TNST: 65% to winTennessee State: 65% to win Compare | |
OVC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 |