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College Basketball · OVC · 2026-27

Tennessee State Tigers

1-1 · Coach Nolan Smith

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Power Rankings

#224▼37

Who is best right now.

-6.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -2.2 (#187)

Preseason: #187

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

17-10

Conference record
11-5
Conference title
41%
Outright title
26%
Luck
-0.0

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #187 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #192 in the country (-2.6), 23-10.
  • →7% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →7 transfers in, led by Ty-Laur Johnson (San Diego, 14.6 ppg), Arterio Morris (Bethune-Cookman, 11.5 ppg), Aaron Bradshaw (Memphis, 8.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →Lost Dante Harris (11.5 ppg), Travis Harper II (17.2 ppg), Aaron Nkrumah (17.6 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Tennessee State

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Deondrea LindseyF · Sophomore · #3701 ranked2 · 226.511.02.50.042.9 (6-14)0.0 (0-4)100.0 (10-10)
Ty-Laur JohnsonG · Senior · #946 ranked2 · 122.512.02.03.546.7 (7-15)33.3 (2-6)80.0 (8-10)
Aaron BradshawF · Senior · #1254 ranked2 · 222.510.08.00.545.0 (9-20)33.3 (1-3)50.0 (1-2)
Jayden JonesG · Sophomore · #2646 ranked2 · 121.011.55.01.071.4 (10-14)0.0 (0-2)60.0 (3-5)
Arterio MorrisG · Senior · #2588 ranked2 · 220.510.03.04.531.6 (6-19)22.2 (2-9)75.0 (6-8)
Kavien JonesF · Junior · #2175 ranked2 · 018.57.54.50.563.6 (7-11)33.3 (1-3)0.0 (0-2)
Christian AlstonG · Junior · #2832 ranked2 · 216.08.05.03.038.5 (5-13)20.0 (1-5)50.0 (5-10)
Presley PattersonG · Senior · #2954 ranked2 · 014.55.02.01.021.4 (3-14)25.0 (3-12)50.0 (1-2)
Maddux BodenhamerG · Junior2 · 011.56.01.02.550.0 (4-8)66.7 (2-3)100.0 (2-2)
Daniel Vieira-TuckG · Sophomore2 · 08.54.01.00.550.0 (3-6)— (0-0)100.0 (2-2)
Ajayi SimmonsG · Junior2 · 08.07.06.00.080.0 (4-5)100.0 (1-1)71.4 (5-7)
Isaiah StewartG · Sophomore · #3358 ranked2 · 07.52.00.50.025.0 (2-8)0.0 (0-6)— (0-0)
Garrett SheltonG · Freshman1 · 05.03.01.02.050.0 (1-2)50.0 (1-2)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Aaron BradshawF · SeniorTransfer from Memphis208.6 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast
Arterio MorrisG · SeniorTransfer from Bethune-Cookman1911.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.8 ast
Ty-Laur JohnsonG · SeniorTransfer from San Diego1914.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 4.3 ast
Joshua RiveraF · SeniorTransfer from Seton Hall183.3 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast
Christian AlstonG · JuniorTransfer from Abilene Christian154.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast
Kavien JonesF · JuniorReturning122.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.2 ast
Isaiah StewartG · SophomoreTransfer from Northern Illinois121.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast
Presley PattersonG · SeniorTransfer from Rice120 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast
Damon Howard Jr.G · SophomoreReturning81.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.9 ast
Jayden JonesG · SophomoreReturning51.8 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast

Gone from last season: Dante Harris (11.5 ppg), Travis Harper II (17.2 ppg), Aaron Nkrumah (17.6 ppg), Jalen Pitre (6.4 ppg, to Buffalo), Antoine Lorick III (9.8 ppg, to Buffalo), Carlous Williams (5.6 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
10Ty-Laur JohnsonTransfer from San DiegoGSenior6-0 · 150Brooklyn, NY12.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G)14.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 4.3 ast (23 G)#946 · +0.41
15Joshua RiveraTransfer from Seton HallFSenior6-6 · 225New Brunswick, NJHasn't played3.3 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (30 G)#1222 · +0.25
2Aaron BradshawTransfer from MemphisFSenior7-1 · 225Rahway, NJ10.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)8.6 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast (29 G)#1254 · +0.23
23Kavien JonesReturningFJunior6-7 · 260Franklin, TN7.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)2.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.2 ast (30 G)#2175 · -0.18
11Damon Howard Jr.ReturningGSophomore6-1 · 160Indianapolis, INHasn't played1.7 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.9 ast (21 G)#2582 · -0.33
1Arterio MorrisTransfer from Bethune-CookmanGSenior6-4 · 200Dallas, TX10.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G)11.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.8 ast (30 G)#2588 · -0.33
20Jayden JonesReturningGSophomore6-4 · 195Madison, TN11.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)1.8 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G)#2646 · -0.35
7Christian AlstonTransfer from Abilene ChristianGJunior6-7 · 200Memphis, TN8.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G)4.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast (30 G)#2832 · -0.43
4Presley PattersonTransfer from RiceGSenior5-11 · 180Knoxville, TN5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)0.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)#2954 · -0.47
16Isaiah StewartTransfer from Northern IllinoisGSophomore6-6 · 190Rockwall, TX2.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)1.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast (13 G)#3358 · -0.64
0Deondrea LindseyNew to Division IFSophomore6-8 · 212Knoxville, TN11.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—#3701 · -0.80
6Garrett SheltonFreshmanGFreshman6-0 · 165St. Louis, MO3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
3Daniel Vieira-TuckNew to Division IGSophomore6-5 · 175Arlington, TX4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
24Ajayi SimmonsNew to Division IGJunior6-8Seattle, WA7.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
5Maddux BodenhamerReturningGJunior6-2 · 190Nashville, TN6.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vs (N)Murray StateL64-94Box score →
Nov 5vsEast-West University(non-D1)W127-61Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 9vsFisk(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 13at#12TennesseeProjected 61-90TNST: 1% to win Compare
Nov 17atSouth FloridaProjected 70-92TNST: 3% to win Compare
Nov 29atOklahoma StateProjected 68-94TNST: 1% to win Compare
Dec 4vs (N)GramblingChris Paul HBCU ClassicProjected 79-75TNST: 63% to win Compare
Dec 5vs (N)Florida A&MChris Paul HBCU ClassicProjected 81-73TNST: 75% to win Compare
Dec 9vsOakwood(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 11atWestern IllinoisConferenceProjected 81-68TNST: 88% to win Compare
Dec 19vsAlabama A&MProjected 80-71TNST: 78% to win Compare
Dec 31atSouthern IndianaConferenceProjected 74-73TNST: 55% to win Compare
Jan 2atEastern IllinoisConferenceProjected 78-69TNST: 79% to win Compare
Jan 7vsWestern IllinoisConferenceProjected 84-64TNST: 96% to win Compare
Jan 9vsSIU EdwardsvilleConferenceProjected 76-73TNST: 61% to win Compare
Jan 16vsMorehead StateConferenceProjected 82-69TNST: 87% to win Compare
Jan 21atLindenwoodConferenceProjected 79-77TNST: 57% to win Compare
Jan 23atSoutheast Missouri StateConferenceProjected 76-78TNST: 43% to win Compare
Jan 28vsSouthern IndianaConferenceProjected 77-69TNST: 75% to win Compare
Jan 30vsUT MartinConferenceProjected 77-70TNST: 72% to win Compare
Feb 4vsLindenwoodConferenceProjected 82-73TNST: 78% to win Compare
Feb 6atMorehead StateConferenceProjected 79-72TNST: 72% to win Compare
Feb 11vsEastern IllinoisConferenceProjected 82-66TNST: 92% to win Compare
Feb 17atSIU EdwardsvilleConferenceProjected 72-76TNST: 39% to win Compare
Feb 20vs (N)HowardNBA HBCU ClassicProjected 75-80TNST: 32% to win Compare
Feb 25atUT MartinConferenceProjected 74-73TNST: 51% to win Compare
Feb 27vsSoutheast Missouri StateConferenceProjected 79-75TNST: 65% to win Compare