College Basketball · OVC · 2026-27
Morehead State Eagles
1-2 · Coach Jonathan Mattox
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-20.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -17.2 (#341)
Preseason: #341
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
12-20
- Conference record
- 6-10
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #341 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #290 in the country (-12.2), 20-13.
- →39% of last season's minutes are back.
- →Lost George Marshall (13.7 ppg), Anouar Mellouk (8 ppg), Jon Carroll (11.3 ppg, now at Drake).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Morehead State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase DawsonG · Junior · #2744 ranked | 3 · 3 | 26.3 | 10.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 54.5 (12-22) | 37.5 (3-8) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Clayton ParkerF · Sophomore · #2378 ranked | 3 · 2 | 25.3 | 18.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 62.1 (18-29) | 72.7 (8-11) | 100.0 (11-11) |
| Vince Dawson IIIG · Sophomore · #3023 ranked | 3 · 3 | 22.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 23.8 (5-21) | 16.7 (2-12) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Dalman AlexanderF · Senior · #3789 ranked | 3 · 3 | 21.3 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 47.1 (8-17) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Izaiah DayG · Senior · #3548 ranked | 3 · 3 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 38.1 (8-21) | 30.8 (4-13) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Tayvion TangioraF · Sophomore · #3946 ranked | 3 · 1 | 18.7 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 61.5 (8-13) | — (0-0) | 16.7 (1-6) |
| Justin PayneG · Junior · #3745 ranked | 3 · 0 | 18.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 21.4 (3-14) | 0.0 (0-11) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Kyrell ShawG · Junior · #3640 ranked | 3 · 0 | 15.3 | 12.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 46.4 (13-28) | 46.2 (6-13) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Jarvis WrightG · Freshman | 3 · 0 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 41.7 (5-12) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Davion CunninghamG · Senior · #2346 ranked | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-4) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Jaden PriesterF · Freshman · #3930 ranked | 3 · 0 | 11.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 37.5 (3-8) | 100.0 (1-1) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Jace WinklemanG · Sophomore · #3435 ranked | 3 · 0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 60.0 (3-5) | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) |
| Malik GillespieG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Kenyata CarbonG · Senior | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Davion CunninghamG · Senior |  Returning | 25 | 11.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Chase DawsonG · Junior | Returning | 24 | 8.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.8 ast |
| Vince Dawson IIIG · Sophomore | Returning | 17 | 3.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Clayton ParkerF · Sophomore | Returning | 12 | 3.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1 ast |
| Jace WinklemanG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 2 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: George Marshall (13.7 ppg), Anouar Mellouk (8 ppg), Jon Carroll (11.3 ppg, to 
Drake), Josiah LeGree (7.5 ppg, to 
UTSA), Tamaury Releford (5.8 ppg), Tyonne Farrell (4 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Davion Cunningham | Returning | G | Senior | 6-3 · 185 | Charlotte, NC | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 11.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.9 ast (32 G) | #2346 · -0.24 |
| 33 | Clayton Parker | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 230 | Montgomery City, MO | 18.3 pts · 4.7 reb · 2.0 ast (3 G) | 3.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.0 ast (21 G) | #2378 · -0.25 |
| 10 | Chase Dawson | Returning | G | Junior | 6-0 · 170 | Durham, NC | 10.3 pts · 0.3 reb · 3.0 ast (3 G) | 8.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.8 ast (33 G) | #2744 · -0.40 |
| 5 | Vince Dawson III | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 215 | Georgetown, KY | 4.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | 3.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.4 ast (33 G) | #3023 · -0.50 |
| 12 | Jace Winkleman | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 170 | Morehead, KY | 2.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #3435 · -0.68 |
| 23 | Izaiah Day | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-3 · 175 | Middletown, OH | 7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3548 · -0.74 |
| 7 | Kyrell Shaw | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-5 · 175 | Charlotte, NC | 12.0 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3640 · -0.78 |
| 1 | Justin Payne | New to Division I | G | Junior | 5-11 · 170 | Athens, GA | 3.0 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3745 · -0.82 |
| 25 | Dalman Alexander | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-8 · 215 | Fort Wayne, IN | 6.0 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3789 · -0.84 |
| 15 | Jaden Priester | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 215 | Augusta, GA | 2.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3930 · -0.91 |
| 42 | Tayvion Tangiora | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 190 | Swansboro, NC | 5.7 pts · 6.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3946 · -0.92 |
| 11 | Jarvis Wright | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 185 | Folkston, GA | 4.0 pts · 2.3 reb · 3.0 ast (3 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Malik Gillespie | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 185 | Warner Robins, GA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Kenyata Carbon | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Owensboro, KY | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atWestern Kentucky | L58-83Box score → |
| Nov 5 | vsVirginia-Lynchburg(non-D1) | W114-60Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  at#19Louisville | L57-107Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 14 |  vsIU Indianapolis | Projected 77-78MORE: 48% to winMorehead State: 48% to win Compare |
| Nov 16 | vsMiami (OH) Hamilton(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 18 |  atOhio | Projected 68-84MORE: 8% to winMorehead State: 8% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  atElon | Projected 67-82MORE: 10% to winMorehead State: 10% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  vs (N)Charleston SouthernETSU MTE | Projected 73-80MORE: 27% to winMorehead State: 27% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  atEast Tennessee StateETSU MTE | Projected 64-80MORE: 8% to winMorehead State: 8% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  vsBellarmine | Projected 73-76MORE: 40% to winMorehead State: 40% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsPresbyterian | Projected 71-78MORE: 29% to winMorehead State: 29% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  vsNorth Alabama | Projected 72-74MORE: 44% to winMorehead State: 44% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  at#12Tennessee | Projected 55-91MORE: 1% to winMorehead State: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atUNC Asheville | Projected 70-79MORE: 20% to winMorehead State: 20% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 | vsKentucky Christian(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 30 |  atUT MartinConference | Projected 67-76MORE: 22% to winMorehead State: 22% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 | vsAsbury(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 7 |  vsEastern IllinoisConference | Projected 74-69MORE: 68% to winMorehead State: 68% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsLindenwoodConference | Projected 75-76MORE: 45% to winMorehead State: 45% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsSouthern IndianaConference | Projected 70-72MORE: 43% to winMorehead State: 43% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atTennessee StateConference | Projected 69-82MORE: 13% to winMorehead State: 13% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  vsWestern IllinoisConference | Projected 77-68MORE: 79% to winMorehead State: 79% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsSIU EdwardsvilleConference | Projected 69-75MORE: 29% to winMorehead State: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 | atLindenwoodConference | Projected 72-80MORE: 25% to winMorehead State: 25% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atSouthern IndianaConference | Projected 67-75MORE: 24% to winMorehead State: 24% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 |  vsSoutheast Missouri StateConference | Projected 72-78MORE: 32% to winMorehead State: 32% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsTennessee StateConference | Projected 72-79MORE: 28% to winMorehead State: 28% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atSIU EdwardsvilleConference | Projected 66-78MORE: 14% to winMorehead State: 14% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atWestern IllinoisConference | Projected 74-71MORE: 60% to winMorehead State: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsUT MartinConference | Projected 70-73MORE: 40% to winMorehead State: 40% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | atSoutheast Missouri StateConference | Projected 69-81MORE: 15% to winMorehead State: 15% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atEastern IllinoisConference | Projected 71-72MORE: 48% to winMorehead State: 48% to win Compare |
OVC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southeast Missouri State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | SIU Edwardsville | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 3 | Lindenwood | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 4 | Tennessee State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Southern Indiana | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 6 | Morehead State | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 7 | UT Martin | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Eastern Illinois | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Western Illinois | 0-0 | 0-2 |