College Basketball · MVC · 2026-27
Murray State Racers
2-0 · Coach Ryan Miller
Power Rankings
#103▲18
Who is best right now.
+8.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +4.3 (#121)
Preseason: #121
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
22-9
- Conference record
- 13-7
- Conference title
- 24%
- Outright title
- 13%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #121 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #119 in the country (+5.0), 20-13.
- →28% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Christian Jones (George Washington, 10 ppg), Brigham Rogers (Belmont, 7.1 ppg), Shon Tupuola (Valparaiso, 6.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Navon Shabazz (#294).
- →Lost Javon Jackson (16.5 ppg), Layne Taylor (8 ppg, now at Arkansas State), Fred King (13.1 ppg, now at Creighton).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Murray State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman DomonG · Sophomore · #236 ranked | 2 · 2 | 30.5 | 19.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 37.5 (12-32) | 9.1 (1-11) | 87.5 (14-16) |
| Brigham RogersF · Senior · #300 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 55.6 (5-9) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Brayden ShorterG · Senior · #2090 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 (15-25) | 57.9 (11-19) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Christian JonesG · Junior · #786 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 36.4 (4-11) | 25.0 (2-8) | — (0-0) |
| Talis SoulhacG · Freshman · #2723 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.5 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 40.0 (4-10) | 0.0 (0-2) | 81.8 (9-11) |
| Mathis CourbonG · Sophomore · #1572 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 100.0 (5-5) | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Lachlan CrateG · Freshman · #3423 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 0.0 (0-1) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Ben ShtolzbergG · Senior · #3821 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Kaden MagwoodG · Sophomore · #1099 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 45.5 (5-11) | 20.0 (1-5) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Jonas BoulefaaF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 100.0 (6-6) | 100.0 (4-4) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Pavle NikolicF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Shon TupuolaF · Senior · #796 ranked | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Dillon ButlerG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Navon ShabazzG | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roman DomonG · Sophomore |  Returning | 27 | 14.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Christian JonesG · Junior |  Transfer from George Washington | 23 | 10 pts · 3 reb · 3.1 ast |
| Brigham RogersF · Senior |  Transfer from Belmont | 21 | 7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Shon TupuolaF · Senior |  Transfer from Valparaiso | 21 | 6.4 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.8 ast |
| Mathis CourbonG · Sophomore | Returning | 17 | 4.6 pts · 2 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Brayden ShorterG · Senior | Returning | 15 | 5.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Kaden MagwoodG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Auburn | 15 | 3.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 1.8 ast |
| Navon ShabazzFreshman | Freshman · #294 recruit | 8 | — |
Gone from last season: Javon Jackson (16.5 ppg), Layne Taylor (8 ppg, to 
Arkansas State), Fred King (13.1 ppg, to 
Creighton), Mason Miller (5.9 ppg), JJ Traynor (7.4 ppg), KJ Tenner (6 ppg, to 
UTSA)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | Roman Domon | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-9 · 225 | Dreuil Les Amiens, France | 19.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 14.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.6 ast (33 G) | #236 · +1.32 |
| 11 | Brigham Rogers | Transfer from Belmont | F | Senior | 6-9 · 240 | Woodstock, GA | 7.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast (32 G) | #300 · +1.19 |
| 6 | Christian Jones | Transfer from George Washington | G | Junior | 6-4 · 200 | Stratford, CT | 5.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 10.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.1 ast (34 G) | #786 · +0.56 |
| 23 | Shon Tupuola | Transfer from Valparaiso | F | Senior | 6-10 · 245 | Brownsburg, IN | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 6.4 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.8 ast (33 G) | #796 · +0.55 |
| 0 | Kaden Magwood | Transfer from Auburn | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 175 | Louisville, KY | 7.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 1.8 ast (20 G) | #1099 · +0.31 |
| 2 | Mathis Courbon | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 190 | Lyon, France | 6.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 4.6 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #1572 · +0.06 |
| 34 | Brayden Shorter | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 210 | Springfield, MO | 21.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 5.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G) | #2090 · -0.15 |
| 8 | Talis Soulhac | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 | Charenlen-le-pont, France | 8.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2723 · -0.39 |
| 14 | Lachlan Crate | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-8 · 215 | Feilding, New Zealand | 3.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3423 · -0.68 |
| 13 | Navon Shabazz | Freshman | Freshman | Hasn't played | — | #3591 · -0.76 | |||
| 7 | Ben Shtolzberg | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-4 · 195 | Northridge, CA | 4.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3821 · -0.86 |
| 25 | Dillon Butler | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 192 | Memphis, TN | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 16 | Jonas Boulefaa | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 235 | Saint Sauveur de Meihan, France | 9.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Mark Padjen | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 | Ljubljana, Slovenia | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Pavle Nikolic | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Cacak, Serbia | 1.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| Navon Shabazz | — | G | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vs (N)Tennessee State | W94-64Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  vsNorthwestern State | W93-71Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  vsAlcorn State | Projected 93-70MUR: 98% to winMurray State: 98% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsTexas Southern | Projected 93-70MUR: 98% to winMurray State: 98% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vs (N)Hofstra | Projected 79-73MUR: 71% to winMurray State: 71% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  vs (N)NC StateBaha Mar Championship | Projected 76-86MUR: 21% to winMurray State: 21% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 | Baha Mar ChampionshipChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 30 |  vsWashington State | Projected 86-75MUR: 83% to winMurray State: 83% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  vsChicago State | Projected 89-67MUR: 97% to winMurray State: 97% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  vs (N)Georgia TechBad Boy Mowers Series | Projected 83-80MUR: 59% to winMurray State: 59% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 |  vsArkansas-Pine Bluff | Projected 95-67MUR: 99% to winMurray State: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vs (N)Santa ClaraJack Jones Classic | Projected 82-85MUR: 39% to winMurray State: 39% to win Compare |
| Dec 17 |  vsIllinois StateConference | Projected 80-78MUR: 58% to winMurray State: 58% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atIndiana StateConference | Projected 82-76MUR: 70% to winMurray State: 70% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsUICConference | Projected 79-78MUR: 53% to winMurray State: 53% to win Compare |
| Jan 1 |  vsDrakeConference | Projected 85-76MUR: 78% to winMurray State: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 4 |  atBradleyConference | Projected 80-73MUR: 73% to winMurray State: 73% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsEvansvilleConference | Projected 88-69MUR: 95% to winMurray State: 95% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 85-79MUR: 68% to winMurray State: 68% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 | vsIndiana StateConference | Projected 86-73MUR: 86% to winMurray State: 86% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  atNorthern IowaConference | Projected 79-78MUR: 51% to winMurray State: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 | atDrakeConference | Projected 81-79MUR: 58% to winMurray State: 58% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | vsBradleyConference | Projected 84-70MUR: 88% to winMurray State: 88% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | vsValparaisoConference | Projected 80-73MUR: 72% to winMurray State: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | atUICConference | Projected 75-81MUR: 31% to winMurray State: 31% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsBelmontConference | Projected 82-78MUR: 64% to winMurray State: 64% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 | atEvansvilleConference | Projected 84-72MUR: 86% to winMurray State: 86% to win Compare |
| Feb 12 | atIllinois StateConference | Projected 77-81MUR: 36% to winMurray State: 36% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 | vsSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 88-76MUR: 85% to winMurray State: 85% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atBelmontConference | Projected 79-81MUR: 41% to winMurray State: 41% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | vsNorthern IowaConference | Projected 82-75MUR: 72% to winMurray State: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atValparaisoConference | Projected 78-77MUR: 51% to winMurray State: 51% to win Compare |
MVC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UIC | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Murray State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Belmont | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Valparaiso | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Drake | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Evansville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Illinois State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Northern Iowa | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Southern Illinois | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Indiana State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Bradley | 0-0 | 1-1 |