Power Rankings
#143▼11
Who is best right now.
+1.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +2.9 (#132)
Preseason: #132
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-8
- Conference record
- 12-2
- Conference title
- 97%
- Outright title
- 93%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #132 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #195 in the country (-2.7), 24-11.
- →65% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Gasper Kocevar (Fresno State, 3.3 ppg), James Brown (North Carolina, 1.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Bryce Harris (17.3 ppg), Travelle Bryson (8.8 ppg, now at Western Carolina), Danas Kazakevicius (3.7 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Howard
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam GillusG · Senior · #566 ranked | 2 · 2 | 37.0 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 57.9 (11-19) | 60.0 (6-10) | 55.6 (5-9) |
| Cedric Taylor IIIG · Senior · #356 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 19.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 48.0 (12-25) | 42.9 (3-7) | 73.3 (11-15) |
| James BrownC · Junior · #656 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 62.5 (10-16) | 0.0 (0-2) | 37.5 (3-8) |
| Alex CottonG · Senior · #1870 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 17.6 (3-17) | 15.4 (2-13) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Josiah LawsonF · Junior · #3223 ranked | 2 · 0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 33.3 (6-18) | 25.0 (2-8) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Gasper KocevarC · Sophomore · #1395 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | 0.0 (0-1) | 100.0 (5-5) |
| Drew HarrisF · Freshman · #3195 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 60.0 (6-10) | 0.0 (0-1) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Jeremiah JohnsonG · Sophomore · #2604 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 25.0 (1-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Calvin Robins Jr.F · Junior · #2666 ranked | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| BJ PowellG · Sophomore · #2822 ranked | 2 · 0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Isaiah BrownG · Junior · #2561 ranked | 2 · 0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cam GillusG · Senior |  Returning | 31 | 11 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.6 ast |
| Ose OkojieG · Senior | Returning | 26 | 10.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.7 ast |
| Alex CottonG · Senior | Returning | 24 | 8.2 pts · 3 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Cedric Taylor IIIG · Senior | Returning | 23 | 17 pts · 6.7 reb · 3.1 ast |
| Gasper KocevarC · Sophomore |  Transfer from Fresno State | 17 | 3.3 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast |
| James BrownC · Junior |  Transfer from North Carolina | 13 | 1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Isaiah BrownG · Junior | Returning | 12 | 2.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Calvin Robins Jr.F · Junior | Returning | 9 | 1.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Jeremiah JohnsonG · Sophomore | Returning | 8 | 1.3 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast |
| BJ PowellG · Sophomore | Returning | 7 | 1.6 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Julian JohnsonF · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 1.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Shane FrazierG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.8 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast |
| River SmithG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Bryce Harris (17.3 ppg), Travelle Bryson (8.8 ppg, to 
Western Carolina), Danas Kazakevicius (3.7 ppg), Ed Holland III (1.8 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cedric Taylor III | Returning | G | Senior | 6-7 · 210 | Atlanta, GA | 19.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 17.0 pts · 6.7 reb · 3.1 ast (24 G) | #356 · +1.09 |
| 2 | Cam Gillus | Returning | G | Senior | 5-11 · 180 | Falls Church, VA | 16.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 11.0 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.6 ast (34 G) | #566 · +0.80 |
| 13 | James Brown | Transfer from North Carolina | C | Junior | 6-10 · 240 | Aurora, IL | 11.5 pts · 6.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast (9 G) | #656 · +0.70 |
| 11 | Ose Okojie | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 191 | Brampton, ON | Hasn't played | 10.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.7 ast (35 G) | #664 · +0.69 |
| 6 | Gasper Kocevar | Transfer from Fresno State | C | Sophomore | 6-10 · 229 | Novo Mesto, Slovenia | 6.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 3.3 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast (26 G) | #1395 · +0.15 |
| 4 | Alex Cotton | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 200 | Carrollton, TX | 5.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 8.2 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.2 ast (33 G) | #1870 · -0.06 |
| 0 | Isaiah Brown | Returning | G | Junior | 6-1 · 170 | Ramsey, NJ | 1.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 2.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.4 ast (33 G) | #2561 · -0.32 |
| 10 | Jeremiah Johnson | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 152 | Potomac, MD | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.3 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast (22 G) | #2604 · -0.34 |
| 21 | Calvin Robins Jr. | Returning | F | Junior | 6-5 · 185 | Chicago, IL | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast (33 G) | #2666 · -0.36 |
| 7 | Julian Johnson | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 215 | Charlotte, NC | Hasn't played | 1.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.1 ast (15 G) | #2713 · -0.38 |
| 3 | BJ Powell | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-0 · 160 | Charlotte, NC | 2.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.6 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.3 ast (22 G) | #2822 · -0.42 |
| 5 | Shane Frazier | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 164 | Los Angeles, CA | Hasn't played | 0.8 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.1 ast (11 G) | #2861 · -0.43 |
| 9 | River Smith | Returning | G | Sophomore | 5-10 · 141 | Englewood, NJ | Hasn't played | 0.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast (11 G) | #3166 · -0.56 |
| 1 | Drew Harris | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 190 | Westminster, MD | 6.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3195 · -0.57 |
| 8 | Josiah Lawson | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-7 · 220 | Stone Mountain, GA | 8.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 11.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | #3223 · -0.58 |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atYale | L62-72Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  atAlcorn State | W94-83Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  atPennsylvania | Projected 77-81HOW: 37% to winHoward: 37% to win Compare |
| Nov 12 |  vsStetson | Projected 82-70HOW: 86% to winHoward: 86% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  atDavidson | Projected 71-78HOW: 27% to winHoward: 27% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vs (N)DuquesneSunshine Slam | Projected 76-77HOW: 46% to winHoward: 46% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 | vsNotre Dame (MD)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 29 |  atCharleston | Projected 73-80HOW: 28% to winHoward: 28% to win Compare |
| Dec 3 |  vsGrambling | Projected 82-70HOW: 85% to winHoward: 85% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vs (N)HamptonChris Paul HBCU Classic | Projected 75-70HOW: 68% to winHoward: 68% to win Compare |
| Dec 10 |  vsLoyola Chicago | Projected 74-72HOW: 55% to winHoward: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 14 |  vsTowson | Projected 76-69HOW: 73% to winHoward: 73% to win Compare |
| Dec 17 |  vsNorth Carolina A&T | Projected 83-69HOW: 89% to winHoward: 89% to win Compare |
| Dec 20 |  atUTEPSun Bowl Invitational | Projected 75-74HOW: 55% to winHoward: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 | Sun Bowl InvitationalChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 31 | vsBowie State(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 |  vsSouth Carolina StateConference | Projected 85-66HOW: 95% to winHoward: 95% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsMaryland Eastern ShoreConference | Projected 79-61HOW: 94% to winHoward: 94% to win Compare |
| Jan 11 |  atDelaware StateConference | Projected 79-65HOW: 89% to winHoward: 89% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsNorth Carolina CentralConference | Projected 81-65HOW: 91% to winHoward: 91% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 | vsMorehouse(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 23 |  atMorgan StateConference | Projected 83-71HOW: 83% to winHoward: 83% to win Compare |
| Jan 25 |  vsCoppin StateConference | Projected 83-64HOW: 95% to winHoward: 95% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atNorfolk StateConference | Projected 80-72HOW: 75% to winHoward: 75% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atSouth Carolina StateConference | Projected 82-69HOW: 86% to winHoward: 86% to win Compare |
| Feb 8 | atNorth Carolina CentralConference | Projected 78-68HOW: 80% to winHoward: 80% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atMaryland Eastern ShoreConference | Projected 76-64HOW: 84% to winHoward: 84% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 | vsDelaware StateConference | Projected 82-62HOW: 96% to winHoward: 96% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vs (N)Tennessee StateNBA HBCU Classic | Projected 80-75HOW: 68% to winHoward: 68% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsMorgan StateConference | Projected 86-68HOW: 94% to winHoward: 94% to win Compare |
| Mar 1 | atCoppin StateConference | Projected 80-67HOW: 86% to winHoward: 86% to win Compare |
| Mar 4 | vsNorfolk StateConference | Projected 83-69HOW: 89% to winHoward: 89% to win Compare |
MEAC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norfolk State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Morgan State | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 3 | South Carolina State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Howard | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Delaware State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 7 | North Carolina Central | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Coppin State | 0-0 | 0-2 |