
College Basketball · UAC · 2026-27
Central Arkansas Bears
1-1 · Coach John Shulman
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+1.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +1.7 (#137)
Preseason: #137
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-11
- Conference record
- 11-5
- Conference title
- 48%
- Outright title
- 32%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #137 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #164 in the country (+0.4), 22-12.
- →57% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Tucker Anderson (Utah State, 3.4 ppg), Simm-Marten Saadi (Wyoming, 3.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Camren Hunter (21 ppg), Javion Guy-King (9.7 ppg, now at Ball State), Truman Byrne (4 ppg, now at Lipscomb).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Central Arkansas
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke MooreG · Sophomore · #1368 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 (6-15) | 42.9 (3-7) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Cole McCormickG · Junior · #969 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 30.0 (3-10) | 0.0 (0-6) | — (0-0) |
| Harry BeauchampG · Sophomore · #2302 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 (7-20) | 26.7 (4-15) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Ty RobinsonG · Sophomore · #250 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 16.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 56.2 (9-16) | 55.6 (5-9) | 71.4 (10-14) |
| Simm-Marten SaadiF · Sophomore · #2204 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 37.5 (3-8) | 16.7 (1-6) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Tucker AndersonF · Senior · #1096 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (2-4) | 0.0 (0-2) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Rylie MarshallG · Senior · #3600 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 43.8 (7-16) | 40.0 (4-10) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Malchiah MarableF · Sophomore · #1370 ranked | 2 · 2 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| R.J. YoungG · Freshman · #3576 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 (4-8) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Camarion BeadG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 50.0 (3-6) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Andrew HoernerF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (1-1) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Isaiah TempletonG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| R.J. NewtonG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| J.C. ShulmanG · Sophomore · #2709 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Owen DehrmannG · Junior · #2730 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ty RobinsonG · Sophomore | 29 | 14.2 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast | |
| Luke MooreG · Sophomore | 28 | 9.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.5 ast | |
| Cole McCormickG · Junior | 22 | 9.1 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast | |
| Malchiah MarableF · Sophomore | 20 | 4.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.5 ast | |
| Tucker AndersonF · Senior | 17 | 3.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Harry BeauchampG · Sophomore | 16 | 4.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 1 ast | |
| Simm-Marten SaadiF · Sophomore | 15 | 3.2 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Owen DehrmannG · Junior | 5 | 0.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| J.C. ShulmanG · Sophomore | 5 | 0.8 pts · 0.5 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Camren Hunter (21 ppg), Javion Guy-King (9.7 ppg, to
Ball State), Truman Byrne (4 ppg, to
Lipscomb), Tyler Lee (2.5 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ty Robinson | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 190 | Hot Springs, AR | 16.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 14.2 pts · 5.6 reb · 2.0 ast (34 G) | #250 · +1.28 | |
| 24 | Cole McCormick | G | Junior | 6-6 · 215 | Chattanooga, TN | 3.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 9.1 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #969 · +0.40 | |
| 23 | Tucker Anderson | F | Senior | 6-10 · 230 | Centerton, AR | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.7 ast (25 G) | #1096 · +0.32 | |
| 32 | Luke Moore | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 180 | Little Rock, AR | 8.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 9.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.5 ast (34 G) | #1368 · +0.16 | |
| 25 | Malchiah Marable | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 245 | Washington, DC | 2.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 4.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.5 ast (33 G) | #1370 · +0.16 | |
| 35 | Simm-Marten Saadi | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 255 | Tallin, Estonia | 4.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 3.2 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.3 ast (32 G) | #2204 · -0.19 | |
| 9 | Harry Beauchamp | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 205 | Melbourne, VIC | 9.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 4.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.0 ast (34 G) | #2302 · -0.23 | |
| 4 | J.C. Shulman | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 200 | Chattanooga, TN | 1.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.8 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (12 G) | #2709 · -0.38 | |
| 10 | Owen Dehrmann | G | Junior | 6-4 · 195 | Bentonville, AR | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast (10 G) | #2730 · -0.39 | |
| 0 | R.J. Young | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 190 | Bryant, AR | 5.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3576 · -0.75 |
| 3 | Rylie Marshall | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-3 · 185 | Beebe, AR | 9.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3600 · -0.76 |
| 54 | Andrew Hoerner | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 220 | Miamisburg, OH | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Camarion Bead | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 215 | Bryant, AR | 5.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Isaiah Templeton | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 220 | Morrilton, AR | 1.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | R.J. Newton | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 195 | Bryant, AR | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W85-55Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | L60-92Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | vsEcclesia(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 13 | Projected 69-90CARK: 3% to winCentral Arkansas: 3% to win Compare | |
| Nov 16 | Projected 70-89CARK: 5% to winCentral Arkansas: 5% to win Compare | |
| Nov 21 | Projected 74-71CARK: 59% to winCentral Arkansas: 59% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 83-73CARK: 80% to winCentral Arkansas: 80% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | vsSouthwestern Christian U(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 2 | Projected 61-85CARK: 2% to winCentral Arkansas: 2% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | vsKansas Christian(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 12 | Projected 71-81CARK: 18% to winCentral Arkansas: 18% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 78-67CARK: 81% to winCentral Arkansas: 81% to win Compare | |
| Dec 17 | vsChampion Christian(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 19 | Projected 78-69CARK: 78% to winCentral Arkansas: 78% to win Compare | |
| Dec 28 | Projected 82-68CARK: 88% to winCentral Arkansas: 88% to win Compare | |
| Dec 31 | Projected 80-71CARK: 78% to winCentral Arkansas: 78% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 76-77CARK: 45% to winCentral Arkansas: 45% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 74-73CARK: 53% to winCentral Arkansas: 53% to win Compare | |
| Jan 13 | Projected 82-68CARK: 88% to winCentral Arkansas: 88% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 80-66CARK: 88% to winCentral Arkansas: 88% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 73-76CARK: 42% to winCentral Arkansas: 42% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 83-69CARK: 88% to winCentral Arkansas: 88% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 81-67CARK: 89% to winCentral Arkansas: 89% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 79-71CARK: 74% to winCentral Arkansas: 74% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 77-74CARK: 61% to winCentral Arkansas: 61% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 79-72CARK: 73% to winCentral Arkansas: 73% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 79-74CARK: 67% to winCentral Arkansas: 67% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 81-71CARK: 80% to winCentral Arkansas: 80% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 77-70CARK: 74% to winCentral Arkansas: 74% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 77-70CARK: 73% to winCentral Arkansas: 73% to win Compare | |
| Mar 3 | Projected 77-70CARK: 74% to winCentral Arkansas: 74% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 77-72CARK: 64% to winCentral Arkansas: 64% to win Compare | |
UAC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 |