
College Basketball · ASUN · 2026-27
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
1-1 · Coach Pat Chambers
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-6.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -10.8 (#279)
Preseason: #279
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-15
- Conference record
- 8-6
- Conference title
- 18%
- Outright title
- 9%
- Luck
- -0.4
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #279 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #244 in the country (-7.5), 16-18.
- →19% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Elijah Brooks (Houston Christian, 12.2 ppg), CJ Outlaw (Massachusetts, 1.5 ppg), Justin Houser (Penn State, 1.4 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Rahmir Barno (11.7 ppg, now at UC San Diego), J.R. Konieczny (15.6 ppg), Jordan Ellerbee (13.1 ppg, now at Butler).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Florida Gulf Coast
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase KoniecznyF · Sophomore · #3366 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 57.1 (12-21) | 30.0 (3-10) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Turk Brown IIIG · Freshman · #2034 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 33.3 (4-12) | 33.3 (1-3) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Bryson LucasF · Senior · #2695 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 18.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 59.3 (16-27) | 50.0 (3-6) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Justin HouserC · Sophomore · #2226 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 17.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 63.2 (12-19) | 40.0 (4-10) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Darren WilliamsG · Junior · #2859 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 40.0 (8-20) | 53.3 (8-15) | — (0-0) |
| Matt McCarthyG · Sophomore · #2983 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 66.7 (2-3) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| BB WashingtonG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 37.5 (3-8) | 33.3 (2-6) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Gabe TannerF · Sophomore · #2737 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 25.0 (1-4) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| George Washington IIIG · Senior · #3431 ranked | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 40.0 (2-5) | 33.3 (1-3) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| CJ OutlawF · Senior · #2601 ranked | 2 · 0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Nikolas SermpezisG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Trace WestercampF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Elijah BrooksG · Senior · #1436 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darren WilliamsG · Junior | 19 | 6.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 1 ast | |
| Elijah BrooksG · Senior | 14 | 12.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.1 ast | |
| Tristen GuillouetteC · Junior | 14 | 3.4 pts · 3 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Justin HouserC · Sophomore | 13 | 1.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| CJ OutlawF · Senior | 12 | 1.5 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast | |
| Gabe TannerF · Sophomore | 8 | 2.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| George Washington IIIG · Senior | 7 | 3.1 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Matt McCarthyG · Sophomore | 6 | 0.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Rahmir Barno (11.7 ppg, to
UC San Diego), J.R. Konieczny (15.6 ppg), Jordan Ellerbee (13.1 ppg, to
Butler), Michael Duax (7.7 ppg), Isaiah Malone (10.5 ppg, to
UCF), Rory Stewart (7.1 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Elijah Brooks | G | Senior | 6-3 · 201 | Topeka, KS | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 12.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.1 ast (8 G) | #1436 · +0.13 | |
| 21 | Tristen Guillouette | C | Junior | 6-10 · 235 | Willingboro, NJ | Hasn't played | 3.4 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.6 ast (29 G) | #1778 · -0.03 | |
| 1 | Turk Brown III | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 179 | Baltimore, MD | 7.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 7.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2034 · -0.13 |
| 44 | Justin Houser | C | Sophomore | 7-0 · 230 | Camp Hill, PA | 17.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 1.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.2 ast (18 G) | #2226 · -0.20 | |
| 45 | CJ Outlaw | F | Senior | 6-9 · 227 | Orlando, FL | 0.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (8 G) | #2601 · -0.34 | |
| 5 | Bryson Lucas | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-7 · 204 | Clarksburg, WV | 18.5 pts · 8.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2695 · -0.37 |
| 3 | Gabe Tanner | F | Sophomore | 6-4 · 193 | Scranton, PA | 1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 2.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.9 ast (15 G) | #2737 · -0.39 | |
| 2 | Darren Williams | G | Junior | 6-4 · 183 | Philadelphia, PA | 12.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 6.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.0 ast (34 G) | #2859 · -0.43 | |
| 4 | Matt McCarthy | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 193 | Aston, PA | 4.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 0.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.2 ast (14 G) | #2983 · -0.48 | |
| 23 | Chase Konieczny | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-4 · 198 | South Bend, IN | 15.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3366 · -0.65 |
| 10 | George Washington III | G | Senior | 6-2 · 189 | Louisville, KY | 5.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast (14 G) | #3431 · -0.68 | |
| 22 | Kingston Wheatley | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 206 | Blackwood, NJ | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Nikolas Sermpezis | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 197 | Munich, Germany | 4.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Trace Westercamp | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 213 | Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | BB Washington | G | Junior | 6-5 · 195 | Houston, TX | 7.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 12 | Evan Barlow | F | Junior | 6-4 · 198 | Morton, IL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L95-96Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | vsNew College (FL)(non-D1) | W89-67Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | Projected 70-90FGCU: 4% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 4% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 79-78FGCU: 53% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 53% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | vsAbraham Baldwin Agricultural(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 18 | Projected 73-80FGCU: 26% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 26% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 71-78FGCU: 27% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 27% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 75-76FGCU: 44% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 44% to win Compare | |
| Nov 29 | Projected 78-77FGCU: 52% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 52% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 75-80FGCU: 33% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 33% to win Compare | |
| Dec 7 | Projected 72-83FGCU: 16% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 16% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 84-72FGCU: 84% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 84% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 77-78FGCU: 47% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 47% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 80-72FGCU: 75% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 75% to win Compare | |
| Dec 28 | vsFlorida Tech(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 31 | Projected 71-80FGCU: 22% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 22% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 75-78FGCU: 41% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 41% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 75-74FGCU: 55% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 55% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 77-75FGCU: 55% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 55% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 77-76FGCU: 51% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 51% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 75-79FGCU: 35% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 35% to win Compare | |
| Jan 21 | Projected 82-70FGCU: 85% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 85% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 84-85FGCU: 50% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 50% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 72-75FGCU: 40% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 40% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 81-77FGCU: 62% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 62% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 80-72FGCU: 74% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 74% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 78-76FGCU: 57% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 57% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 80-73FGCU: 71% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 71% to win Compare | |
| Feb 18 | Projected 81-88FGCU: 28% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 78-73FGCU: 69% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 69% to win Compare | |
| Feb 25 | Projected 84-74FGCU: 81% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 81% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 75-72FGCU: 60% to winFlorida Gulf Coast: 60% to win Compare | |
ASUN standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-3 |