College Basketball · ASUN · 2026-27
Jacksonville Dolphins
1-1 · Coach Jordan Mincy
Power Rankings
#229▲5
Who is best right now.
-6.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -6.4 (#234)
Preseason: #234
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
15-16
- Conference record
- 8-6
- Conference title
- 19%
- Outright title
- 9%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #234 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #298 in the country (-12.9), 12-20.
- →26% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Jamie Phillips Jr. (Stetson, 16 ppg), Caleb Williams (Lafayette, 15.6 ppg), James Morrow (South Carolina State, 7.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Evan Roberts (#287).
- →Lost Jaylen Jones (9.7 ppg, now at Bethune-Cookman), Chris Lockett Jr. (9.3 ppg, now at Jacksonville State), Jason Thirdkill Jr. (8 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Jacksonville
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden WoodG · Sophomore · #1588 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 42.9 (9-21) | 25.0 (2-8) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Caleb WilliamsG · Junior · #1969 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 38.5 (5-13) | 33.3 (3-9) | — (0-0) |
| Jamie Phillips Jr.G · Junior · #1077 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 48.0 (12-25) | 20.0 (2-10) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Rex StirlingF · Senior · #1794 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 60.0 (6-10) | 0.0 (0-2) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| James MorrowF · Senior · #2675 ranked | 2 · 2 | 16.5 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 61.5 (8-13) | 66.7 (4-6) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Nehemiah TurnerF · Junior · #1602 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 56.2 (9-16) | 100.0 (2-2) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Evan SterckG · Sophomore · #2538 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 40.0 (4-10) | 50.0 (3-6) | — (0-0) |
| Sam MbingazoC · Freshman | 2 · 2 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Evan RobertsG · Freshman · #3593 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 40.0 (2-5) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Lyndell Buckingham Jr.G · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 54.5 (6-11) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Jaden NewellF · Senior · #1739 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Maddox PalmerG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Roman LouxG · Sophomore · #3051 ranked | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| LJ KatzG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden WoodG · Sophomore |  Returning | 26 | 11.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Evan SterckG · Sophomore | Returning | 23 | 6.4 pts · 2 reb · 3.1 ast |
| Caleb WilliamsG · Junior |  Transfer from Lafayette | 22 | 15.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.1 ast |
| Rex StirlingF · Senior |  Transfer from Wofford | 18 | 5.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Jamie Phillips Jr.G · Junior |  Transfer from Stetson | 18 | 16 pts · 5.6 reb · 2.8 ast |
| James MorrowF · Senior |  Transfer from South Carolina State | 16 | 7.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Nehemiah TurnerF · Junior |  Transfer from Minnesota | 13 | 0.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Jaden NewellF · Senior |  Transfer from Georgia | 12 | 0.2 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast |
| Evan RobertsG · Freshman | Freshman · #287 recruit | 8 | — |
| Roman LouxG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 1.5 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Jaylen Jones (9.7 ppg, to 
Bethune-Cookman), Chris Lockett Jr. (9.3 ppg, to 
Jacksonville State), Jason Thirdkill Jr. (8 ppg), Donovan Rivers (8.6 ppg, to 
Loyola Marymount), Chris Arias (7.3 ppg, to Wofford), Enrico Borio (3 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jamie Phillips Jr. | Transfer from Stetson | G | Junior | 6-5 · 205 | Winter Haven, FL | 14.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 16.0 pts · 5.6 reb · 2.8 ast (17 G) | #1077 · +0.33 |
| 8 | Hayden Wood | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 205 | Springdale, AR | 11.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 11.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #1588 · +0.05 |
| 6 | Nehemiah Turner | Transfer from Minnesota | F | Junior | 6-10 · 270 | Auburndale, FL | 11.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 0.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast (7 G) | #1602 · +0.05 |
| 7 | Jaden Newell | Transfer from Georgia | F | Senior | 6-8 · 225 | Destin, FL | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 0.2 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.0 ast (9 G) | #1739 · -0.01 |
| 25 | Rex Stirling | Transfer from Wofford | F | Senior | 6-8 · 220 | Melbourne, VIC | 8.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 5.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast (30 G) | #1794 · -0.03 |
| 1 | Caleb Williams | Transfer from Lafayette | G | Junior | 6-0 · 165 | Jacksonville, FL | 6.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 15.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.1 ast (32 G) | #1969 · -0.11 |
| 34 | Evan Sterck | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 180 | St. Louis, MO | 5.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 6.4 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.1 ast (32 G) | #2538 · -0.31 |
| 22 | James Morrow | Transfer from South Carolina State | F | Senior | 6-8 · 210 | Jacksonville, FL | 10.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 7.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast (24 G) | #2675 · -0.36 |
| 12 | Roman Loux | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-0 · 165 | St. Augustine, FL | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.5 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #3051 · -0.51 |
| 5 | Evan Roberts | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 | Palmetto, FL | 2.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3593 · -0.76 |
| 9 | LJ Katz | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-11 | Hoboken, NJ | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Lyndell Buckingham Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 | McKinney, TX | 7.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 44 | Maddox Palmer | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 | Ponte Vedra Beach, FL | 1.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 35 | Sam Mbingazo | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-9 | Kinshasa, Congo | 3.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsTrinity Baptist(non-D1) | W105-61Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  at#2Florida | L57-88Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsKansas City | Projected 78-71JAX: 71% to winJacksonville: 71% to win Compare |
| Nov 16 | atGeorgia | Projected 67-86JAX: 5% to winJacksonville: 5% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  vsLittle Rock | Projected 75-72JAX: 62% to winJacksonville: 62% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vsCentral Arkansas | Projected 71-74JAX: 41% to winJacksonville: 41% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  atIndiana | Projected 63-85JAX: 3% to winJacksonville: 3% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 | vsTrinity College of Jacksonville(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 1 |  atUCF | Projected 69-84JAX: 9% to winJacksonville: 9% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsFlorida International | Projected 76-75JAX: 53% to winJacksonville: 53% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 |  atSouth Florida | Projected 67-87JAX: 4% to winJacksonville: 4% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 | vsBaptist (Fl)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 16 |  atFlorida State | Projected 67-88JAX: 4% to winJacksonville: 4% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atUSC | Projected 64-86JAX: 3% to winJacksonville: 3% to win Compare |
| Dec 28 | vsFort Lauderdale(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 31 |  atUT Arlington | Projected 69-74JAX: 34% to winJacksonville: 34% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atAbilene Christian | Projected 73-72JAX: 54% to winJacksonville: 54% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  vsLipscombConference | Projected 75-73JAX: 56% to winJacksonville: 56% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsBellarmineConference | Projected 76-70JAX: 70% to winJacksonville: 70% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  atQueens UniversityConference | Projected 77-84JAX: 29% to winJacksonville: 29% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atWest FloridaConference | Projected 75-70JAX: 68% to winJacksonville: 68% to win Compare |
| Jan 22 |  vsNorth FloridaConference | Projected 80-71JAX: 80% to winJacksonville: 80% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 |  vsFlorida Gulf CoastConference | Projected 75-72JAX: 60% to winJacksonville: 60% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | vsStetsonConference | Projected 76-69JAX: 73% to winJacksonville: 73% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | atBellarmineConference | Projected 74-73JAX: 51% to winJacksonville: 51% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atLipscombConference | Projected 72-76JAX: 35% to winJacksonville: 35% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | vsWest FloridaConference | Projected 78-67JAX: 84% to winJacksonville: 84% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsQueens UniversityConference | Projected 81-82JAX: 50% to winJacksonville: 50% to win Compare |
| Feb 19 | atNorth FloridaConference | Projected 77-74JAX: 62% to winJacksonville: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | atStetsonConference | Projected 73-72JAX: 55% to winJacksonville: 55% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atFlorida Gulf CoastConference | Projected 72-75JAX: 40% to winJacksonville: 40% to win Compare |
ASUN standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens University | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2 | Jacksonville | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Florida Gulf Coast | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | North Florida | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | West Florida | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Lipscomb | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 7 | Bellarmine | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| 8 | Stetson | 0-0 | 0-3 |