
College Basketball · SEC · 2026-27
Arkansas Razorbacks
1-0 · Coach John Calipari
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+26.7points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +26.0 (#16)
Preseason: #16
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-9
- Conference record
- 11-7
- Conference title
- 8%
- Outright title
- 3%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #16 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #18 in the country (+27.8), 28-9.
- →16% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Jeremiah Wilkinson (Georgia, 17.4 ppg), Cooper Bowser (Furman, 13.8 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →7 ranked freshmen: Jordan Smith Jr. (#3), Abdou Toure (#14), JJ Andrews (#17).
- →Lost Darius Acuff Jr. (23.5 ppg), Trevon Brazile (13.1 ppg), Meleek Thomas (15.6 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Arkansas
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Smith Jr.G · Freshman · #33 ranked | 1 · 1 | 28.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 63.6 (7-11) | — (0-0) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Maper MakerF · Freshman · #1276 ranked | 1 · 0 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Jeremiah WilkinsonG · Junior · #133 ranked | 1 · 1 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 63.6 (7-11) | 57.1 (4-7) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Abdou ToureF · Freshman · #184 ranked | 1 · 0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 0.0 (0-2) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Billy Richmond IIIG · Junior · #71 ranked | 1 · 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 57.1 (4-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| JJ AndrewsF · Freshman · #279 ranked | 1 · 0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Davion ThompsonG · Freshman · #737 ranked | 1 · 0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 33.3 (1-3) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Miikka MuurinenF · Freshman · #687 ranked | 1 · 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-2) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Cooper BowserF · Senior · #107 ranked | 1 · 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 100.0 (4-4) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-3) |
| Caleb OurigouF · Freshman · #1229 ranked | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Ilia FrolovF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
| Amere BrownG · Sophomore · #1453 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Ayden KelleyG · Junior · #1538 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Richmond IIIG · Junior | 28 | 11.2 pts · 4.3 reb · 2 ast | |
| Jordan Smith Jr.G · Freshman | Freshman · #3 recruit | 24 | — |
| JJ AndrewsF · Freshman | Freshman · #17 recruit | 21 | — |
| Abdou ToureF · Freshman | Freshman · #14 recruit | 21 | — |
| Jeremiah WilkinsonG · Junior | 20 | 17.4 pts · 2 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Cooper BowserF · Senior | 16 | 13.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.8 ast | |
| Davion ThompsonG · Freshman | Freshman · #49 recruit | 15 | — |
| Miikka MuurinenF · Freshman | Freshman · #59 recruit | 11 | — |
| Caleb OurigouF · Freshman | Freshman · #74 recruit | 11 | — |
| Maper MakerF · Freshman | Freshman · #156 recruit | 9 | — |
| Isaiah SealyF · Sophomore | 8 | 2.9 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Amere BrownG · Sophomore | 5 | 0.1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast | |
| Ayden KelleyG · Junior | 5 | 0.6 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Darius Acuff Jr. (23.5 ppg), Trevon Brazile (13.1 ppg), Meleek Thomas (15.6 ppg), DJ Wagner (7.4 ppg, to
Maryland), Karter Knox (8.1 ppg, to
Louisville), Malique Ewin (9.8 ppg, to
Oregon)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jordan Smith Jr. | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 210 | Washington, DC | 20.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #33 · +2.39 |
| 24 | Billy Richmond III | G | Junior | 6-7 · 205 | Memphis, TN | 8.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 11.2 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.0 ast (37 G) | #71 · +1.95 | |
| 21 | Cooper Bowser | F | Senior | 6-11 · 230 | Woodbridge, VA | 8.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 13.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.8 ast (25 G) | #107 · +1.79 | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Wilkinson | G | Junior | 6-1 · 190 | Powder Springs, GA | 23.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 17.4 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.7 ast (31 G) | #133 · +1.67 | |
| 1 | Abdou Toure | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-5 · 215 | West Haven, CT | 12.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #184 · +1.49 |
| 7 | JJ Andrews | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 235 | Little Rock, AR | 4.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #279 · +1.23 |
| 30 | Isaiah Sealy | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 190 | Springdale, AR | Hasn't played | 2.9 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast (19 G) | #682 · +0.67 | |
| 3 | Miikka Muurinen | Freshman | F | Freshman | 7-0 · 220 | Jarvenpaa, Finland | 10.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #687 · +0.67 |
| 9 | Davion Thompson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 190 | Bolingbrook, IL | 7.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 4.0 ast (1 G) | — | #737 · +0.62 |
| 0 | Caleb Ourigou | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-11 · 250 | Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #1229 · +0.24 |
| 8 | Maper Maker | Freshman | F | Freshman | 7-0 · 215 | Perth, WA | 6.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #1276 · +0.21 |
| 2 | Amere Brown | G | Sophomore | 5-9 · 180 | Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.1 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #1453 · +0.12 | |
| 4 | Ayden Kelley | G | Junior | 5-10 · 170 | Memphis, TN | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.6 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #1538 · +0.08 | |
| 14 | Ilia Frolov | Freshman | F | Freshman | 7-0 · 240 | Kursk, Russia | 3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 99 | Paulo Semedo | F | Sophomore | 7-1 · 225 | Luanda, Angola | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 | W106-61Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 8 | Projected 82-80ARK: 57% to winArkansas: 57% to win Compare | |
| Nov 11 | Projected 90-63ARK: 99% to winArkansas: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 90-69ARK: 97% to winArkansas: 97% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 83-79ARK: 63% to winArkansas: 63% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 101-55ARK: 99% to winArkansas: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 26 | Projected 79-82ARK: 40% to winArkansas: 40% to win Compare | |
| Dec 1 | Projected 83-81ARK: 58% to winArkansas: 58% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 94-63ARK: 99% to winArkansas: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | Projected 95-68ARK: 99% to winArkansas: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 13 | Projected 91-66ARK: 99% to winArkansas: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 82-84ARK: 44% to winArkansas: 44% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 96-64ARK: 99% to winArkansas: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 90-65ARK: 98% to winArkansas: 98% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 85-78ARK: 74% to winArkansas: 74% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 83-74ARK: 78% to winArkansas: 78% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 89-84ARK: 66% to winArkansas: 66% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 84-83ARK: 53% to winArkansas: 53% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 76-81ARK: 35% to winArkansas: 35% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 89-78ARK: 82% to winArkansas: 82% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 80-84ARK: 37% to winArkansas: 37% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 85-74ARK: 83% to winArkansas: 83% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 88-76ARK: 86% to winArkansas: 86% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 76-81ARK: 31% to winArkansas: 31% to win Compare | |
| Feb 9 | Projected 83-76ARK: 71% to winArkansas: 71% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 86-88ARK: 43% to winArkansas: 43% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 85-78ARK: 74% to winArkansas: 74% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 82-80ARK: 55% to winArkansas: 55% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 82-81ARK: 54% to winArkansas: 54% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 79-83ARK: 39% to winArkansas: 39% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 82-78ARK: 65% to winArkansas: 65% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 86-73ARK: 87% to winArkansas: 87% to win Compare | |
SEC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 1-1 |