Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+2.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +1.2 (#143)
Preseason: #143
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-11
- Conference record
- 9-5
- Conference title
- 38%
- Outright title
- 23%
- Luck
- 0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #143 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #86 in the country (+11.0), 24-7.
- →37% of last season's minutes are back.
- →Lost Nick Townsend (16.3 ppg, now at Stanford), Isaac Celiscar (13.2 ppg, now at Baylor), Casey Simmons (10.5 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Yale
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley FoxF · Junior · #845 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.5 | 21.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 48.4 (15-31) | 42.9 (6-14) | 100.0 (7-7) |
| Trevor MullinG · Senior · #504 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.5 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 35.0 (7-20) | 37.5 (3-8) | 92.3 (12-13) |
| Jordan BrathwaiteG · Junior · #1238 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 42.9 (9-21) | 25.0 (2-8) | 72.7 (8-11) |
| Jack SullivanF · Sophomore · #1476 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 55.6 (5-9) | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) |
| Daniel OgunyemiF · Sophomore · #1062 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 (6-15) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Courtney WallaceG · Sophomore · #1299 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 29.2 (7-24) | 16.7 (2-12) | — (0-0) |
| Connor MayF · Junior · #3884 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) |
| Jonas OwareC · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jeannot BasimaG · Senior · #2077 ranked | 2 · 0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor MullinG · Senior |  Returning | 27 | 11.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.7 ast |
| Riley FoxF · Junior | Returning | 19 | 10 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Jordan BrathwaiteG · Junior | Returning | 19 | 6.6 pts · 1.7 reb · 1 ast |
| Jack SullivanF · Sophomore | Returning | 8 | 1.8 pts · 1 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Courtney WallaceG · Sophomore | Returning | 7 | 2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Daniel OgunyemiF · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 2.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Alvin LovingG · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 1.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Jeannot BasimaG · Senior | Returning | 6 | 1.1 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Jacob TsaiG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Nick Townsend (16.3 ppg, to 
Stanford), Isaac Celiscar (13.2 ppg, to 
Baylor), Casey Simmons (10.5 ppg), Samson Aletan (7.8 ppg, to 
Providence), Devon Arlington (2.8 ppg, to 
Stonehill)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trevor Mullin | Returning | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | Wellesley, MA | 14.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 11.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.7 ast (31 G) | #504 · +0.87 |
| 9 | Riley Fox | Returning | F | Junior | 6-6 · 215 | West Hartford, CT | 21.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 10.0 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast (31 G) | #845 · +0.51 |
| 12 | Daniel Ogunyemi | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 235 | Milton, GA | 7.0 pts · 10.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 2.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast (11 G) | #1062 · +0.34 |
| 3 | Jordan Brathwaite | Returning | G | Junior | 6-4 · 190 | Fulton, MD | 14.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.0 ast (31 G) | #1238 · +0.24 |
| 0 | Courtney Wallace | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 195 | Pittsburgh, PA | 8.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast (11 G) | #1299 · +0.20 |
| 7 | Jack Sullivan | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-11 · 230 | St. Augustine, FL | 6.5 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 1.8 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.2 ast (21 G) | #1476 · +0.11 |
| 4 | Alvin Loving | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 215 | Berkeley, CA | Hasn't played | 1.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast (9 G) | #1792 · -0.03 |
| 22 | Jeannot Basima | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 190 | Goma, Democratic Republic of Congo | 0.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.1 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast (10 G) | #2077 · -0.14 |
| 1 | Jacob Tsai | Returning | G | Sophomore | 5-11 · 165 | San Diego, CA | Hasn't played | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #2708 · -0.38 |
| 21 | Connor May | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-6 · 215 | Palatine, IL | 1.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3884 · -0.88 |
| 5 | Brady Wooley | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 205 | Orono, MN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Chris Bolte | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 210 | Burr Ridge, IL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 30 | Jack Louridas | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 195 | Bethlehem, NY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | Jonas Oware | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-10 · 215 | Long Beach, CA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 23 | Tim Winkler | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 215 | Orlando, FL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsHoward | W72-62Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  atUCF | L75-87Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | atBaylor | Projected 69-84YALE: 9% to winYale: 9% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  atNortheastern | Projected 81-76YALE: 68% to winYale: 68% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 | vsEmmanuel (MA)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 18 |  vsVermont | Projected 73-68YALE: 68% to winYale: 68% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 |  vs (N)BelmontESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 73-76YALE: 38% to winYale: 38% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)App StateESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 71-67YALE: 65% to winYale: 65% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 |  vs (N)Wright StateESPN Events Invitational - Adventure Bracket | Projected 75-78YALE: 39% to winYale: 39% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vsQuinnipiac | Projected 78-68YALE: 81% to winYale: 81% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  atDelaware | Projected 72-69YALE: 60% to winYale: 60% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 | vsRhode Island College(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 12 |  vs (N)UC Santa BarbaraJack Jones Classic | Projected 72-76YALE: 35% to winYale: 35% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 | vsSt. Joseph's Brooklyn(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 29 |  atSan Francisco | Projected 72-73YALE: 47% to winYale: 47% to win Compare |
| Jan 4 |  vsBrownConference | Projected 76-64YALE: 86% to winYale: 86% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsPrincetonConference | Projected 74-67YALE: 73% to winYale: 73% to win Compare |
| Jan 15 |  atColumbiaConference | Projected 75-74YALE: 55% to winYale: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  atCornellConference | Projected 79-77YALE: 56% to winYale: 56% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsPennsylvaniaConference | Projected 78-75YALE: 62% to winYale: 62% to win Compare |
| Jan 29 |  atHarvardConference | Projected 70-72YALE: 42% to winYale: 42% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atDartmouthConference | Projected 76-71YALE: 67% to winYale: 67% to win Compare |
| Feb 5 | atBrownConference | Projected 73-67YALE: 71% to winYale: 71% to win Compare |
| Feb 12 | vsHarvardConference | Projected 73-69YALE: 62% to winYale: 62% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsDartmouthConference | Projected 79-68YALE: 84% to winYale: 84% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atPennsylvaniaConference | Projected 75-78YALE: 40% to winYale: 40% to win Compare |
| Feb 26 | vsColumbiaConference | Projected 78-70YALE: 75% to winYale: 75% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsCornellConference | Projected 82-74YALE: 76% to winYale: 76% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atPrincetonConference | Projected 71-70YALE: 54% to winYale: 54% to win Compare |
Ivy standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harvard | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 2 | Princeton | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Dartmouth | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Yale | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Columbia | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Cornell | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Pennsylvania | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 8 | Brown | 0-0 | 0-2 |