Power Rankings
#203▼4
Who is best right now.
-4.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -3.3 (#199)
Preseason: #199
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
15-17
- Conference record
- 9-9
- Conference title
- 2%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #199 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #161 in the country (+0.7), 19-15.
- →26% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Ben Roseborough (San José State, 12 ppg), Denis Badalau (Rutgers, 3.1 ppg), Zion Stanford (Villanova, 1.3 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Mani Sajid (#249).
- →Lost Dylan Williamson (14.6 ppg, now at Rhode Island), Tyler Tejada (17.7 ppg, now at Cincinnati), Jack Doumbia Jr. (10.7 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Towson
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan WomackG · Sophomore · #1533 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 44.0 (11-25) | 40.0 (4-10) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| Zion StanfordG · Senior · #2656 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 28.0 (7-25) | 25.0 (2-8) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Christian DoerrG · Sophomore · #2958 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 33.3 (5-15) | 25.0 (2-8) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Ben RoseboroughG · Sophomore · #1723 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 42.1 (8-19) | 25.0 (2-8) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Caleb EmbeyaF · Junior · #1162 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 100.0 (4-4) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (4-8) |
| Chike NdefoG · Sophomore · #1760 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 22.2 (2-9) | 0.0 (0-3) | 50.0 (3-6) |
| Jon BartonG · Freshman · #3638 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 45.5 (5-11) | 25.0 (1-4) | 50.0 (3-6) |
| Alex AtkinsonF · Junior · #3775 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 33.3 (2-6) | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) |
| Mani SajidG · Freshman · #3294 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 (1-4) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Brandon HolmesF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jaylin Williams CrawfordG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Devan KirkF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Stephon Ashley WrightG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb EmbeyaF · Junior |  Returning | 21 | 3.6 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Jaquan WomackG · Sophomore | Returning | 19 | 7.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Denis BadalauF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Rutgers | 15 | 3.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Ben RoseboroughG · Sophomore |  Transfer from San José State | 15 | 12 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Chike NdefoG · Sophomore | Returning | 14 | 2.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Zion StanfordG · Senior |  Transfer from Villanova | 13 | 1.3 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Mani SajidG · Freshman | Freshman · #249 recruit | 8 | — |
| Ryan SkerryG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 0.3 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Dylan Williamson (14.6 ppg, to 
Rhode Island), Tyler Tejada (17.7 ppg, to 
Cincinnati), Jack Doumbia Jr. (10.7 ppg), Tyler Coleman (5.3 ppg), Mor Seck (3.2 ppg), Tyler Schmidt (3.1 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Caleb Embeya | Returning | F | Junior | 6-10 · 240 | Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo | 6.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.6 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.4 ast (34 G) | #1162 · +0.27 |
| 24 | Jaquan Womack | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 235 | Manassas, VA | 14.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 7.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.6 ast (32 G) | #1533 · +0.08 |
| 11 | Ben Roseborough | Transfer from San José State | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 215 | Sacramento, CA | 10.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 12.0 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast (11 G) | #1723 · 0.00 |
| 13 | Chike Ndefo | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-8 · 215 | Elmont, NY | 3.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 2.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.2 ast (32 G) | #1760 · -0.01 |
| 27 | Denis Badalau | Transfer from Rutgers | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 220 | Giurgiu, Romania | Hasn't played | 3.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.9 ast (24 G) | #2143 · -0.17 |
| 1 | Zion Stanford | Transfer from Villanova | G | Senior | 6-6 · 220 | Philadelphia, PA | 11.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.3 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.4 ast (10 G) | #2656 · -0.36 |
| 22 | Ryan Skerry | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 210 | Timonium, MD | Hasn't played | 0.3 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.2 ast (11 G) | #2922 · -0.46 |
| 2 | Christian Doerr | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 200 | Louisville, KY | 8.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2958 · -0.47 |
| 3 | Mani Sajid | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 180 | Plymouth Meeting, PA | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3294 · -0.61 |
| 5 | Jon Barton | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 210 | Waldorf, MD | 7.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3638 · -0.78 |
| 12 | Alex Atkinson | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-10 · 210 | Columbia, SC | 3.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3775 · -0.83 |
| 30 | Brandon Holmes | Returning | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 240 | Columbia, MD | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Devan Kirk | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-5 · 205 | Red Oak, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 15 | Jaylin Williams Crawford | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-8 · 205 | Charlestown, MA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Stephon Ashley Wright | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 165 | Wilmington, DE | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atSanta Clara | L70-89Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  atUtah | L57-67Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsLong Island University | Projected 73-68TOW: 66% to winTowson: 66% to win Compare |
| Nov 12 |  vsLoyola Maryland410 Invitational | Projected 75-65TOW: 80% to winTowson: 80% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  vs (N)Morgan State410 Invitational - Consolation | Projected 77-67TOW: 81% to winTowson: 81% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vsJames Madison | Projected 73-72TOW: 52% to winTowson: 52% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  atAmerican University | Projected 68-73TOW: 34% to winTowson: 34% to win Compare |
| Nov 27 |  atPennsylvaniaCathedral Classic | Projected 70-78TOW: 25% to winTowson: 25% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  vs (N)BuffaloCathedral Classic | Projected 72-71TOW: 55% to winTowson: 55% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 | vsPenn State York(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 14 |  atHoward | Projected 69-76TOW: 27% to winTowson: 27% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vs (N)George Mason | Projected 62-73TOW: 17% to winTowson: 17% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  atUCF | Projected 68-82TOW: 11% to winTowson: 11% to win Compare |
| Dec 28 | vsJohns Hopkins(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 |  atCampbellConference | Projected 72-71TOW: 54% to winTowson: 54% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  vsHofstraConference | Projected 69-68TOW: 51% to winTowson: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atStony BrookConference | Projected 68-72TOW: 38% to winTowson: 38% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsMonmouthConference | Projected 71-70TOW: 51% to winTowson: 51% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atUNC WilmingtonConference | Projected 66-75TOW: 23% to winTowson: 23% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  atCharlestonConference | Projected 67-77TOW: 18% to winTowson: 18% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  vsNorth Carolina A&TConference | Projected 76-66TOW: 80% to winTowson: 80% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsWilliam & MaryConference | Projected 74-73TOW: 53% to winTowson: 53% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 |  atDrexelConference | Projected 69-70TOW: 49% to winTowson: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsHamptonConference | Projected 70-66TOW: 65% to winTowson: 65% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atHofstraConference | Projected 65-71TOW: 31% to winTowson: 31% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atMonmouthConference | Projected 67-73TOW: 31% to winTowson: 31% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  vsNortheasternConference | Projected 79-72TOW: 72% to winTowson: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 |  vsElonConference | Projected 72-70TOW: 56% to winTowson: 56% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsUNC WilmingtonConference | Projected 69-72TOW: 41% to winTowson: 41% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | atWilliam & MaryConference | Projected 71-77TOW: 32% to winTowson: 32% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atHamptonConference | Projected 67-69TOW: 44% to winTowson: 44% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | vsDrexelConference | Projected 72-66TOW: 70% to winTowson: 70% to win Compare |
CAA standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | UNC Wilmington | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | William & Mary | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Elon | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Hofstra | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Stony Brook | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Drexel | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Monmouth | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Towson | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Hampton | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Northeastern | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 13 | Campbell | 0-0 | 0-1 |