College Basketball · Big South · 2026-27
Longwood Lancers
2-1 · Coach Ronnie Thomas
Power Rankings
#243▼18
Who is best right now.
-7.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -5.5 (#225)
Preseason: #225
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-14
- Conference record
- 9-7
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #225 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #270 in the country (-9.6), 16-16.
- →27% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by MJ Williams (Eastern Kentucky, 10 ppg), TJ Robinson (Saint Peter's, 9.6 ppg), Domas Kauzonas (UNC Greensboro, 2.9 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Jacoi Hutchinson (12.3 ppg, now at Troy), Elijah Tucker (12.5 ppg), Emanuel Richards (9.7 ppg, now at Eastern Michigan).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Longwood
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphonzo Billups IIIG · Senior · #1770 ranked | 3 · 3 | 31.7 | 15.7 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 45.9 (17-37) | 47.8 (11-23) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| MJ WilliamsG · Sophomore · #1427 ranked | 3 · 3 | 27.3 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 50.0 (13-26) | 47.1 (8-17) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Jaylen BenardG · Senior · #1620 ranked | 3 · 3 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 9.7 | 2.0 | 47.1 (16-34) | 21.4 (3-14) | 77.8 (7-9) |
| Elijah KellyG · Sophomore · #2751 ranked | 3 · 0 | 19.3 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 35.7 (5-14) | 0.0 (0-4) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| TJ RobinsonG · Sophomore · #1853 ranked | 3 · 0 | 18.7 | 11.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 50.0 (12-24) | 20.0 (1-5) | 50.0 (8-16) |
| Lazar MilosevicF · Sophomore · #2031 ranked | 3 · 3 | 18.3 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 42.9 (6-14) | 16.7 (1-6) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Jorke AavG · Freshman · #3993 ranked | 3 · 0 | 16.0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 33.3 (4-12) | 44.4 (4-9) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Kany MusungayF · Junior · #2618 ranked | 3 · 3 | 15.3 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 50.0 (2-4) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Ben WessonG · Junior · #2866 ranked | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Elijah ThomasG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 83.3 (5-6) | 66.7 (2-3) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Isaiah KalalaF · Sophomore · #3015 ranked | 3 · 0 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 64.3 (9-14) | — (0-0) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Domas KauzonasF · Senior · #3213 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Abu YarmahG · Freshman | 3 · 0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 33.3 (3-9) | 16.7 (1-6) | — (0-0) |
| Gerald Burr IIIG · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Will DopferG · Freshman | 3 · 0 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 (6-10) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphonzo Billups IIIG · Senior |  Returning | 23 | 8.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.3 ast |
| MJ WilliamsG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Eastern Kentucky | 21 | 10 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.2 ast |
| Jaylen BenardG · Senior | Returning | 20 | 7.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast |
| TJ RobinsonG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Saint Peter's | 19 | 9.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.7 ast |
| Domas KauzonasF · Senior |  Transfer from UNC Greensboro | 15 | 2.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Lazar MilosevicF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Duquesne | 13 | 1.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Elijah KellyG · Sophomore | Returning | 13 | 2.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Kany MusungayF · Junior |  Transfer from Boston College | 12 | 0 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast |
| Ben WessonG · Junior |  Transfer from Vermont | 12 | 1.9 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast |
| Isaiah KalalaF · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 0.9 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast |
Gone from last season: Jacoi Hutchinson (12.3 ppg, to 
Troy), Elijah Tucker (12.5 ppg), Emanuel Richards (9.7 ppg, to 
Eastern Michigan), Johan Nziemi (10.6 ppg), Redd Thompson Jr. (10.3 ppg, to 
Mount St. Mary's), Elijah Jones (3.9 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | MJ Williams | Transfer from Eastern Kentucky | G | Sophomore | 5-10 · 168 | Rocky Mount, NC | 11.7 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.7 ast (3 G) | 10.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.2 ast (32 G) | #1427 · +0.13 |
| 4 | Jaylen Benard | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 207 | Houston, TX | 14.0 pts · 9.7 reb · 2.0 ast (3 G) | 7.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #1620 · +0.04 |
| 3 | Alphonzo Billups III | Returning | G | Senior | 6-7 · 180 | Richmond, VA | 15.7 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.3 ast (3 G) | 8.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.3 ast (32 G) | #1770 · -0.02 |
| 2 | TJ Robinson | Transfer from Saint Peter's | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 185 | Paterson, NJ | 11.0 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | 9.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.7 ast (27 G) | #1853 · -0.06 |
| 27 | Lazar Milosevic | Transfer from Duquesne | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 258 | Bileca, Bosnia & Herzegovina | 5.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | 1.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast (13 G) | #2031 · -0.13 |
| 23 | Kany Musungay | Transfer from Boston College | F | Junior | 6-9 · 200 | Kinshasa, Congo | 6.3 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #2618 · -0.34 |
| 1 | Elijah Kelly | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 195 | Radford, VA | 3.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | 2.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast (31 G) | #2751 · -0.40 |
| 12 | Ben Wesson | Transfer from Vermont | G | Junior | 6-4 · 170 | Charlottesville, VA | 8.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 1.9 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast (7 G) | #2866 · -0.44 |
| 8 | Isaiah Kalala | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 220 | Dallas, TX | 6.3 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | 0.9 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast (15 G) | #3015 · -0.50 |
| 16 | Domas Kauzonas | Transfer from UNC Greensboro | F | Senior | 6-10 · 240 | Vilnius, Lithuania | 1.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 2.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast (33 G) | #3213 · -0.58 |
| 0 | Jorke Aav | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 182 | Tartu, Estonia | 4.7 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.7 ast (3 G) | — | #3993 · -0.96 |
| 7 | Abu Yarmah |  Transfer from South Carolina | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 209 | Roanoke, VA | 2.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Elijah Thomas | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 166 | Toronto, ON | 12.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 14 | Will Dopfer | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 205 | Suwanee, GA | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Gerald Burr III | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 160 | Richmond, VA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsPfeiffer(non-D1) | W123-67Box score → |
| Nov 4 |  atSaint Joseph's | L73-82Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  vsNorth Carolina Central | W80-75Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | vsSt. Mary's (MD)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 14 |  atOld Dominion | Projected 69-76LONG: 27% to winLongwood: 27% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vsVMI | Projected 81-69LONG: 84% to winLongwood: 84% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  atEast Tennessee State | Projected 69-77LONG: 26% to winLongwood: 26% to win Compare |
| Nov 25 |  atGeorge Mason | Projected 63-80LONG: 8% to winLongwood: 8% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vsMaryland Eastern Shore | Projected 76-63LONG: 85% to winLongwood: 85% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  vsCampbell | Projected 79-73LONG: 68% to winLongwood: 68% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 |  atJames Madison | Projected 73-81LONG: 25% to winLongwood: 25% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  atDelaware State | Projected 75-67LONG: 76% to winLongwood: 76% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  atElon | Projected 72-79LONG: 29% to winLongwood: 29% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsMorgan State | Projected 82-70LONG: 84% to winLongwood: 84% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  atGeorgia Tech | Projected 71-84LONG: 14% to winLongwood: 14% to win Compare |
| Dec 28 | vsLynchburg(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 1 |  vsCharleston SouthernConference | Projected 80-75LONG: 69% to winLongwood: 69% to win Compare |
| Jan 3 |  vsPresbyterianConference | Projected 77-74LONG: 58% to winLongwood: 58% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  atWinthropConference | Projected 79-83LONG: 35% to winLongwood: 35% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  atUNC AshevilleConference | Projected 76-77LONG: 48% to winLongwood: 48% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsRadfordConference | Projected 78-75LONG: 60% to winLongwood: 60% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  vsGardner-WebbConference | Projected 82-66LONG: 91% to winLongwood: 91% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atHigh PointConference | Projected 65-84LONG: 5% to winLongwood: 5% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 |  vsSouth Carolina UpstateConference | Projected 80-69LONG: 83% to winLongwood: 83% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atCharleston SouthernConference | Projected 77-78LONG: 47% to winLongwood: 47% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | vsWinthropConference | Projected 82-80LONG: 58% to winLongwood: 58% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atPresbyterianConference | Projected 74-78LONG: 37% to winLongwood: 37% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atGardner-WebbConference | Projected 79-70LONG: 78% to winLongwood: 78% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsUNC AshevilleConference | Projected 79-73LONG: 69% to winLongwood: 69% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atRadfordConference | Projected 75-78LONG: 38% to winLongwood: 38% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | vsHigh PointConference | Projected 69-81LONG: 14% to winLongwood: 14% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atSouth Carolina UpstateConference | Projected 77-72LONG: 66% to winLongwood: 66% to win Compare |
Big South standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | High Point | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 | Longwood | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 3 | Charleston Southern | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | UNC Asheville | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 5 | Winthrop | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 6 | Presbyterian | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Radford | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 8 | South Carolina Upstate | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Gardner-Webb | 0-0 | 0-2 |