Power Rankings
#181▲56
Who is best right now.
-2.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -6.7 (#237)
Preseason: #237
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-14
- Conference record
- 10-8
- Conference title
- 5%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- +0.3
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #237 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #231 in the country (-6.1), 14-18.
- →28% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Cam Thrower (Pennsylvania, 6 ppg), Isaiah Mbeng (East Carolina, 4.5 ppg), Josh Dalton (Loyola Marymount, 3.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Chandler Cuthrell (19.8 ppg), Kacper Klaczek (11.4 ppg), Isaac Harrell (7.3 ppg, now at Tarleton State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Elon
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl VillarG · Sophomore · #1047 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 0.0 (0-1) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Josh DaltonF · Sophomore · #1455 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.0 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 59.1 (13-22) | 42.9 (3-7) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| Randall Pettus IIG · Senior · #2571 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 30.8 (4-13) | 0.0 (0-4) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Bryson CokleyG · Junior · #1145 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 50.0 (9-18) | 40.0 (2-5) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Hunter HardingC · Senior · #1864 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 66.7 (10-15) | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Cam ThrowerG · Senior · #2249 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 53.8 (7-13) | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) |
| Isaiah MbengG · Junior · #3255 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 54.5 (6-11) | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Caleb ZhuF · Freshman · #3644 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Korbin DixonG · Junior · #3757 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Iker GarmendiaF · Sophomore · #2587 ranked | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Dacen PettyG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson CokleyG · Junior |  Returning | 26 | 12.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Randall Pettus IIG · Senior | Returning | 25 | 11 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Isaiah MbengG · Junior |  Transfer from East Carolina | 19 | 4.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.6 ast |
| Cam ThrowerG · Senior |  Transfer from Pennsylvania | 18 | 6 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Josh DaltonF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Loyola Marymount | 17 | 3.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Raúl VillarG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Charlotte | 17 | 3.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Hunter HardingC · Senior |  Transfer from Indiana State | 13 | 1.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Iker GarmendiaF · Sophomore | Returning | 6 | 1.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Alex OlanderF · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Chandler Cuthrell (19.8 ppg), Kacper Klaczek (11.4 ppg), Isaac Harrell (7.3 ppg, to 
Tarleton State), Ja'Juan Carr (7.5 ppg), Ned Hull (4.5 ppg, to 
Virginia Tech), DeMarco Johnson (3 ppg, to 
Marshall)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Raúl Villar | Transfer from Charlotte | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 200 | Barcelona, Spain | 8.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 6.0 ast (2 G) | 3.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #1047 · +0.35 |
| 0 | Bryson Cokley | Returning | G | Junior | 6-6 · 208 | Whiteville, NC | 12.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 12.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #1145 · +0.28 |
| 1 | Josh Dalton | Transfer from Loyola Marymount | F | Sophomore | 6-10 · 221 | Statesville, NC | 17.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.5 ast (29 G) | #1455 · +0.12 |
| 13 | Hunter Harding | Transfer from Indiana State | C | Senior | 7-1 · 251 | Toronto, ON | 11.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 1.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast (13 G) | #1864 · -0.06 |
| 5 | Cam Thrower | Transfer from Pennsylvania | G | Senior | 6-3 · 200 | Manhattan Beach, CA | 8.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 6.0 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast (27 G) | #2249 · -0.21 |
| 2 | Randall Pettus II | Returning | G | Senior | 6-3 · 188 | Gastonia, NC | 6.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 11.0 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast (32 G) | #2571 · -0.33 |
| 4 | Iker Garmendia | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 210 | Barcelona, Spain | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 1.3 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.3 ast (15 G) | #2587 · -0.33 |
| 25 | Alex Olander | Returning | F | Junior | 6-4 · 235 | Raleigh, NC | Hasn't played | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | #3186 · -0.56 |
| 8 | Isaiah Mbeng | Transfer from East Carolina | G | Junior | 6-1 · 180 | Potomac, MD | 7.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 4.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.6 ast (31 G) | #3255 · -0.60 |
| 22 | Caleb Zhu | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 244 | Markham, ON | 5.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3644 · -0.78 |
| 3 | Korbin Dixon | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-5 · 198 | Milton, ON | 2.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3757 · -0.82 |
| 12 | Ben Safran | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 173 | Toronto, ON | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | Brady Sehlhorst | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 204 | Glenview, IL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 6 | Dacen Petty | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 183 | Forest City, NC | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 14 | Alex Brabec | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 170 | Ann Arbor, MI | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Marko Šarenac | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-10 · 221 | Zrenjanin, Serbia | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atColumbia | W84-71Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsUNC Greensboro | W74-65Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  atGeorge Washington | Projected 67-83ELON: 9% to winElon: 9% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsChattanooga | Projected 80-74ELON: 71% to winElon: 71% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  atSouth Carolina | Projected 68-79ELON: 16% to winElon: 16% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vsMorehead State | Projected 82-67ELON: 90% to winElon: 90% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  atFurman | Projected 72-81ELON: 21% to winElon: 21% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  atNC State | Projected 67-86ELON: 5% to winElon: 5% to win Compare |
| Dec 3 |  vsJames Madison | Projected 77-76ELON: 56% to winElon: 56% to win Compare |
| Dec 6 | vsNorth Carolina Wesleyan(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 12 |  atRichmond | Projected 73-82ELON: 20% to winElon: 20% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsLongwood | Projected 79-72ELON: 71% to winElon: 71% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 | vsMontreat(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 22 |  atRadford | Projected 76-77ELON: 50% to winElon: 50% to win Compare |
| Dec 31 |  vsNorth Carolina A&TConference | Projected 81-69ELON: 84% to winElon: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atWilliam & MaryConference | Projected 76-80ELON: 36% to winElon: 36% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  atCampbellConference | Projected 77-74ELON: 58% to winElon: 58% to win Compare |
| Jan 11 |  vsUNC WilmingtonConference | Projected 73-75ELON: 46% to winElon: 46% to win Compare |
| Jan 14 |  vsHofstraConference | Projected 72-71ELON: 56% to winElon: 56% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsStony BrookConference | Projected 76-72ELON: 63% to winElon: 63% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  atHamptonConference | Projected 71-72ELON: 49% to winElon: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atCharlestonConference | Projected 71-80ELON: 21% to winElon: 21% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 |  vsNortheasternConference | Projected 83-75ELON: 76% to winElon: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsMonmouthConference | Projected 75-73ELON: 56% to winElon: 56% to win Compare |
| Feb 4 | atStony BrookConference | Projected 73-75ELON: 42% to winElon: 42% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atNorth Carolina A&TConference | Projected 77-72ELON: 67% to winElon: 67% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsHamptonConference | Projected 74-68ELON: 69% to winElon: 69% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 |  atTowsonConference | Projected 70-72ELON: 44% to winElon: 44% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  atDrexelConference | Projected 73-72ELON: 54% to winElon: 54% to win Compare |
| Feb 25 | vsCampbellConference | Projected 80-71ELON: 77% to winElon: 77% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsWilliam & MaryConference | Projected 79-76ELON: 58% to winElon: 58% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 | atUNC WilmingtonConference | Projected 70-78ELON: 26% to winElon: 26% to win Compare |
CAA standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | UNC Wilmington | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | William & Mary | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Elon | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Hofstra | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | Stony Brook | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Drexel | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Monmouth | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Towson | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Hampton | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 12 | Northeastern | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 13 | Campbell | 0-0 | 0-1 |