Power Rankings
#341▲14
Who is best right now.
-18.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -21.2 (#355)
Preseason: #355
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
11-21
- Conference record
- 5-15
- Conference title
- 0%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- -0.4
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #355 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #360 in the country (-28.1), 6-26.
- →46% of last season's minutes are back.
- →1 transfer in, led by Trap Johnson (UC San Diego, 2.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Tan Yildizoglu (10.2 ppg, now at Siena), Linus Holmstrom (11.4 ppg, now at Youngstown State), Mario Tatum Jr. (8.5 ppg, now at NJIT).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like VMI
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Bradley Jr.G · Senior · #3787 ranked | 3 · 3 | 25.3 | 13.0 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 38.7 (12-31) | 22.2 (2-9) | 68.4 (13-19) |
| TJ JohnsonF · Senior · #1463 ranked | 3 · 3 | 24.7 | 17.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 39.5 (15-38) | 35.7 (10-28) | 100.0 (13-13) |
| Alexander DaushviliF · Sophomore · #2096 ranked | 3 · 3 | 23.3 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 45.0 (9-20) | 50.0 (2-4) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Trap JohnsonG · Freshman · #2548 ranked | 3 · 1 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 30.4 (7-23) | 30.8 (4-13) | 62.5 (5-8) |
| Paulius NarvilasF · Freshman · #3984 ranked | 3 · 3 | 20.0 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 18.2 (2-11) | — (0-0) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Rokas ZilysG · Freshman · #3786 ranked | 3 · 0 | 19.3 | 11.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 52.6 (10-19) | 50.0 (4-8) | 90.0 (9-10) |
| Joao PanzoF · Freshman · #4012 ranked | 3 · 0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 38.5 (5-13) | 0.0 (0-2) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| AJ ClarkG · Senior · #2431 ranked | 2 · 2 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 75.0 (9-12) | 0.0 (0-1) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Zion VaamondeF · Freshman · #4028 ranked | 3 · 0 | 14.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 31.2 (5-16) | 33.3 (3-9) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Cal ListonF · Junior · #3622 ranked | 3 · 0 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 37.5 (3-8) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Dionysis ExarchopoulosF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 33.3 (2-6) | 0.0 (0-2) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Rodrigas JuceviciusG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Walker AndrewsG · Senior · #3522 ranked | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Cazell Henderson-BradleyG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Mason LawsonG · Junior · #4031 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| TJ JohnsonF · Senior |  Returning | 33 | 18.3 pts · 7.2 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Cal ListonF · Junior | Returning | 22 | 5.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast |
| AJ ClarkG · Senior | Returning | 19 | 6.6 pts · 6 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Trap JohnsonG · Freshman |  Transfer from UC San Diego | 16 | 2.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Walker AndrewsG · Senior | Returning | 14 | 5.9 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Alexander DaushviliF · Sophomore | Returning | 7 | 6.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 1 ast |
| Branford Edmonds IIIG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 2.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast |
| Mason LawsonG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0.8 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Tan Yildizoglu (10.2 ppg, to 
Siena), Linus Holmstrom (11.4 ppg, to 
Youngstown State), Mario Tatum Jr. (8.5 ppg, to 
NJIT), Kaden Stuckey (4.4 ppg, to 
Le Moyne), Jaylen Pazon (6.7 ppg, to 
Chicago State), Mason Hagedorn (2 ppg, to 
Loyola Maryland)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | TJ Johnson | Returning | F | Senior | 6-7 · 215 | Belton, TX | 17.7 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 18.3 pts · 7.2 reb · 1.4 ast (31 G) | #1463 · +0.11 |
| 9 | Alexander Daushvili | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 211 | Tbilisi, Georgia | 8.0 pts · 8.7 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | 6.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.0 ast (5 G) | #2096 · -0.15 |
| 5 | AJ Clark | Returning | G | Senior | 6-4 · 184 | Suffolk, VA | 10.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.6 ast (22 G) | #2431 · -0.27 |
| 23 | Trap Johnson | Transfer from UC San Diego | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 214 | Belton, TX | 7.7 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.0 ast (3 G) | 2.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.2 ast (25 G) | #2548 · -0.32 |
| 14 | Walker Andrews | Returning | G | Senior | 6-1 · 180 | Fincastle, VA | 6.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 5.9 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.7 ast (29 G) | #3522 · -0.73 |
| 0 | Cal Liston | Returning | F | Junior | 6-5 · 217 | Marietta, GA | 2.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 5.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.0 ast (32 G) | #3622 · -0.77 |
| 10 | Branford Edmonds III | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 185 | La Plata, MD | Hasn't played | 2.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #3673 · -0.79 |
| 22 | Rokas Zilys | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 200 | Naperville, IL | 11.0 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3786 · -0.84 |
| 1 | Rickey Bradley Jr. | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-2 · 200 | Milwaukee, WI | 13.0 pts · 5.3 reb · 3.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3787 · -0.84 |
| 11 | Paulius Narvilas | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 222 | Klaipeda, Lithuania | 2.7 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3984 · -0.95 |
| 12 | Joao Panzo | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 245 | Porto, Portugal | 4.0 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.3 ast (3 G) | — | #4012 · -0.98 |
| 15 | Zion Vaamonde | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 215 | Stockholm, Sweden | 5.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | — | #4028 · -0.99 |
| 42 | Mason Lawson | Returning | G | Junior | 6-1 · 185 | Boston, MA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 0.8 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (4 G) | #4031 · -0.99 |
| 4 | Cazell Henderson-Bradley | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 175 | Milwaukee, WI | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 72 | Dionysis Exarchopoulos | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 218 | Athens, Greece | 2.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 25 | Rodrigas Jucevicius | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 210 | Stockholm, Sweden | 1.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 32 | Robert Peters | Returning | F | Senior | 6-8 · 220 | West Allis, WI | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsVirginia-Lynchburg(non-D1) | W115-83Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  atSMU | L70-95Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  atUTSA | L68-70Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  vsNorth Carolina Central | Projected 73-71VMI: 57% to winVMI: 57% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 | vsMary Baldwin(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 18 |  atLongwood | Projected 69-81VMI: 16% to winVMI: 16% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vsGardner-Webb | Projected 77-70VMI: 74% to winVMI: 74% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vsSouthern Indiana | Projected 71-72VMI: 46% to winVMI: 46% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  atRichmond | Projected 67-88VMI: 3% to winVMI: 3% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 |  vsUNC GreensboroConference | Projected 74-76VMI: 46% to winVMI: 46% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsEast Tennessee StateConference | Projected 68-77VMI: 21% to winVMI: 21% to win Compare |
| Dec 7 | vsChristendom(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 10 | vsBluefield(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 21 |  atVirginia Tech | Projected 60-91VMI: 1% to winVMI: 1% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 |  vsFurmanConference | Projected 69-84VMI: 10% to winVMI: 10% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atWestern CarolinaConference | Projected 67-84VMI: 7% to winVMI: 7% to win Compare |
| Jan 7 |  atTennessee TechConference | Projected 72-83VMI: 18% to winVMI: 18% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atChattanoogaConference | Projected 71-83VMI: 16% to winVMI: 16% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsWoffordConference | Projected 77-78VMI: 49% to winVMI: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsThe CitadelConference | Projected 74-71VMI: 61% to winVMI: 61% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  atSamfordConference | Projected 68-84VMI: 9% to winVMI: 9% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  atMercerConference | Projected 72-84VMI: 16% to winVMI: 16% to win Compare |
| Jan 28 | vsChattanoogaConference | Projected 74-79VMI: 33% to winVMI: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | vsTennessee TechConference | Projected 76-80VMI: 36% to winVMI: 36% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | atWoffordConference | Projected 74-81VMI: 27% to winVMI: 27% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | atEast Tennessee StateConference | Projected 65-80VMI: 9% to winVMI: 9% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | vsMercerConference | Projected 76-80VMI: 34% to winVMI: 34% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsSamfordConference | Projected 71-81VMI: 21% to winVMI: 21% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | atFurmanConference | Projected 66-87VMI: 4% to winVMI: 4% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | atThe CitadelConference | Projected 71-74VMI: 40% to winVMI: 40% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | atUNC GreensboroConference | Projected 71-79VMI: 25% to winVMI: 25% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsWestern CarolinaConference | Projected 70-81VMI: 18% to winVMI: 18% to win Compare |
SoCon standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Furman | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 | Western Carolina | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Samford | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Tennessee Tech | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | UNC Greensboro | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | The Citadel | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Mercer | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 8 | VMI | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 9 | East Tennessee State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Chattanooga | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Wofford | 0-0 | 0-2 |