College Basketball · SoCon · 2026-27
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
0-2 · Coach Brooks Savage
Power Rankings
#162▲28
Who is best right now.
-0.8points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -2.5 (#190)
Preseason: #190
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
20-12
- Conference record
- 13-7
- Conference title
- 13%
- Outright title
- 6%
- Luck
- -0.3
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #190 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #152 in the country (+1.1), 23-11.
- →14% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Jayden Cooper (South Alabama, 11.5 ppg), BJ Ward (Southeast Missouri State, 10.9 ppg), Trevor Hennig (Weber State, 10 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Brian Taylor II (14.9 ppg), Blake Barkley (14.3 ppg, now at Grand Canyon), Cam Morris III (13.1 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like East Tennessee State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ WardG · Senior · #1731 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.5 | 18.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 46.9 (15-32) | 42.9 (3-7) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Jayden CooperG · Senior · #2630 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 42.1 (8-19) | 33.3 (3-9) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Marqus MarionF · Junior · #1372 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 54.5 (6-11) | 33.3 (2-6) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Trevor HennigG · Junior · #1627 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 64.3 (9-14) | 33.3 (2-6) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Tyran MasonG · Junior · #1518 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 53.3 (8-15) | 50.0 (3-6) | 60.0 (3-5) |
| Elton SmithF · Freshman · #3521 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Kendall CampbellF · Senior · #3978 ranked | 2 · 2 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Maki JohnsonG · Senior · #1496 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-5) | 0.0 (0-4) | — (0-0) |
| Colt BusseG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maki JohnsonG · Senior |  Returning | 22 | 5.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast |
| Jayden CooperG · Senior |  Transfer from South Alabama | 21 | 11.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast |
| BJ WardG · Senior |  Transfer from Southeast Missouri State | 20 | 10.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.7 ast |
| Trevor HennigG · Junior |  Transfer from Weber State | 18 | 10 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Tyran MasonG · Junior |  Transfer from UT Arlington | 18 | 6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Marqus MarionF · Junior |  Transfer from Wake Forest | 15 | 1.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Brayden CrumpF · Junior | Returning | 9 | 6.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.5 ast |
Gone from last season: Brian Taylor II (14.9 ppg), Blake Barkley (14.3 ppg, to 
Grand Canyon), Cam Morris III (13.1 ppg), Jaylen Smith (9.3 ppg, to 
Kansas City), Allen Strothers (4 ppg), Isaiah Sutherland (3.7 ppg, to 
Green Bay)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Brayden Crump | Returning | F | Junior | 6-9 · 225 | Morganton, NC | Hasn't played | 6.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (11 G) | #1144 · +0.28 |
| 11 | Marqus Marion | Transfer from Wake Forest | F | Junior | 6-9 · 225 | Skovlunde, Denmark | 8.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast (20 G) | #1372 · +0.16 |
| 2 | Maki Johnson | Returning | G | Senior | 6-5 · 195 | Huntington, WV | 0.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 5.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast (33 G) | #1496 · +0.10 |
| 7 | Tyran Mason | Transfer from UT Arlington | G | Junior | 6-6 · 205 | Plano, TX | 11.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast (32 G) | #1518 · +0.09 |
| 6 | Trevor Hennig | Transfer from Weber State | G | Junior | 6-4 · 185 | North Bend, WA | 12.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 10.0 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.6 ast (26 G) | #1627 · +0.04 |
| 0 | BJ Ward | Transfer from Southeast Missouri State | G | Senior | 6-0 · 185 | St. Louis, MO | 18.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 10.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.7 ast (33 G) | #1731 · 0.00 |
| 1 | Jayden Cooper | Transfer from South Alabama | G | Senior | 6-0 · 195 | Pike Road, AL | 10.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 11.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.0 ast (33 G) | #2630 · -0.35 |
| 15 | Elton Smith | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 225 | Columbia, SC | 1.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3521 · -0.73 |
| 8 | Kendall Campbell | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-7 · 220 | Atlanta, GA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3978 · -0.95 |
| 10 | Ben Maller | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 205 | Mountain View, CA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Colt Busse | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 170 | Baltimore, MD | 3.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Maddox Huff | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 190 | Baxter, KY | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | DeCarl Payne | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-2 · 195 | Carbondale, IL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 35 | Jordan McCullumOut for season | Returning | F | Junior | 6-8 · 220 | Harriman, TN | Hasn't played | 8.2 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.8 ast (33 G) | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  atArizona State | L65-75Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  atNC State | L63-77Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  vsCampbell | Projected 78-68ETSU: 80% to winEast Tennessee State: 80% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  atMarshall | Projected 73-77ETSU: 36% to winEast Tennessee State: 36% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vsLongwood | Projected 77-69ETSU: 74% to winEast Tennessee State: 74% to win Compare |
| Nov 23 | vsKentucky State(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 27 |  vsCharleston SouthernETSU MTE | Projected 80-70ETSU: 81% to winEast Tennessee State: 81% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 |  vsMorehead StateETSU MTE | Projected 80-64ETSU: 92% to winEast Tennessee State: 92% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 | vsVirginia Lynchburg(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 5 |  atVMIConference | Projected 77-68ETSU: 79% to winEast Tennessee State: 79% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  vsPresbyterian | Projected 76-69ETSU: 71% to winEast Tennessee State: 71% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  atJacksonville State | Projected 70-71ETSU: 49% to winEast Tennessee State: 49% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  vsNorthern Kentucky | Projected 80-75ETSU: 67% to winEast Tennessee State: 67% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsUNC GreensboroConference | Projected 78-67ETSU: 83% to winEast Tennessee State: 83% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsFurmanConference | Projected 73-75ETSU: 44% to winEast Tennessee State: 44% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 |  atMercerConference | Projected 77-75ETSU: 55% to winEast Tennessee State: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atSamfordConference | Projected 72-75ETSU: 40% to winEast Tennessee State: 40% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsWestern CarolinaConference | Projected 75-73ETSU: 57% to winEast Tennessee State: 57% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsTennessee TechConference | Projected 80-71ETSU: 76% to winEast Tennessee State: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 | atUNC GreensboroConference | Projected 75-70ETSU: 66% to winEast Tennessee State: 66% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 |  atThe CitadelConference | Projected 75-66ETSU: 78% to winEast Tennessee State: 78% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  vsChattanoogaConference | Projected 78-71ETSU: 74% to winEast Tennessee State: 74% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 |  atWoffordConference | Projected 78-72ETSU: 69% to winEast Tennessee State: 69% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | vsMercerConference | Projected 80-72ETSU: 75% to winEast Tennessee State: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 31 | atFurmanConference | Projected 70-78ETSU: 25% to winEast Tennessee State: 25% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | atChattanoogaConference | Projected 75-74ETSU: 55% to winEast Tennessee State: 55% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsVMIConference | Projected 80-65ETSU: 91% to winEast Tennessee State: 91% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 | atTennessee TechConference | Projected 77-74ETSU: 57% to winEast Tennessee State: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 14 | vsWoffordConference | Projected 81-69ETSU: 85% to winEast Tennessee State: 85% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | atWestern CarolinaConference | Projected 72-76ETSU: 36% to winEast Tennessee State: 36% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | vsThe CitadelConference | Projected 78-63ETSU: 90% to winEast Tennessee State: 90% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsSamfordConference | Projected 76-72ETSU: 61% to winEast Tennessee State: 61% to win Compare |
SoCon standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Furman | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 | Western Carolina | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Samford | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Tennessee Tech | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | UNC Greensboro | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | The Citadel | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Mercer | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 8 | VMI | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 9 | East Tennessee State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Chattanooga | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Wofford | 0-0 | 0-2 |