Power Rankings
#246▼15
Who is best right now.
-7.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -6.1 (#231)
Preseason: #231
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
14-18
- Conference record
- 10-10
- Conference title
- 1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #231 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #181 in the country (-1.6), 19-13.
- →24% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Karon Boyd (Wichita State, 10.9 ppg), Keelan Steele (Maine, 8.1 ppg), Makoi Mabor Makoi (UNC Wilmington, 1.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Baraka Okojie (19.7 ppg, now at George Mason), Armani Mighty (13.2 ppg, now at Pittsburgh), Zaire Williams (13.1 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Mercer
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady ShouldersG · Junior · #885 ranked | 3 · 3 | 28.7 | 3.7 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 28.6 (2-7) | 25.0 (1-4) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Quinton Perkins IIG · Senior · #1417 ranked | 3 · 3 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 43.8 (14-32) | 42.1 (8-19) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Derek GoodmanG · Junior · #3054 ranked | 3 · 3 | 25.3 | 14.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 51.6 (16-31) | 35.3 (6-17) | 57.1 (4-7) |
| Makoi Mabor MakoiF · Junior · #2224 ranked | 3 · 3 | 25.3 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 58.8 (10-17) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| KJ LamonteG · Junior · #3584 ranked | 3 · 3 | 24.7 | 13.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 35.5 (11-31) | 33.3 (2-6) | 75.0 (15-20) |
| Karon BoydF · Fifth Year · #688 ranked | 3 · 0 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 47.6 (10-21) | 37.5 (3-8) | 77.8 (7-9) |
| Shane CherryG · Sophomore · #3959 ranked | 3 · 0 | 15.3 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 43.5 (10-23) | 30.8 (4-13) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Keelan SteeleF · Senior · #2525 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Ryder CateG | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 14.3 (1-7) | 0.0 (0-5) | — (0-0) |
| Dawson BarrG · Senior | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 42.9 (3-7) | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) |
| Petras PadegimasF · Senior | 3 · 0 | 9.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Harrison LyttleG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Manos KoveosG · Senior | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karon BoydF · Fifth Year |  Transfer from Wichita State | 29 | 10.9 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Brady ShouldersG · Junior |  Returning | 27 | 9.3 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.9 ast |
| Quinton Perkins IIG · Senior | Returning | 21 | 8.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Makoi Mabor MakoiF · Junior |  Transfer from UNC Wilmington | 15 | 1.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Keelan SteeleF · Senior |  Transfer from Maine | 15 | 8.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.9 ast |
Gone from last season: Baraka Okojie (19.7 ppg, to 
George Mason), Armani Mighty (13.2 ppg, to 
Pittsburgh), Zaire Williams (13.1 ppg), Connor Serven (6.4 ppg), Kyle Cuffe Jr. (7.3 ppg, to 
St. John's), Tristan Gross (4.2 ppg, to 
Radford)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Karon Boyd | Transfer from Wichita State | F | Fifth Year | 6-6 · 223 | Concord, USA | 10.0 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | 10.9 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.6 ast (36 G) | #688 · +0.67 |
| 11 | Brady Shoulders | Returning | G | Junior | 6-6 · 210 | Eddyville, USA | 3.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | 9.3 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.9 ast (29 G) | #885 · +0.47 |
| 3 | Quinton Perkins II | Returning | G | Senior | 6-2 · 185 | Dallas, USA | 14.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.3 ast (3 G) | 8.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.6 ast (28 G) | #1417 · +0.14 |
| 35 | Makoi Mabor Makoi | Transfer from UNC Wilmington | F | Junior | 6-11 · 245 | Rumbek, South Sudan | 6.7 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 1.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.2 ast (33 G) | #2224 · -0.20 |
| 25 | Keelan Steele | Transfer from Maine | F | Senior | 6-10 · 230 | Alton, Canada | 2.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 8.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.9 ast (24 G) | #2525 · -0.31 |
| 23 | Derek Goodman | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-4 · 190 | Delaware, USA | 14.0 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.0 ast (3 G) | — | #3054 · -0.52 |
| 1 | KJ Lamonte | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-3 · 175 | Davenport, USA | 13.0 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.7 ast (3 G) | — | #3584 · -0.75 |
| 2 | Shane Cherry | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 5-11 · 165 | Knoxville, USA | 10.0 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | — | #3959 · -0.92 |
| 16 | Harrison Lyttle | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-10 · 165 | Sydney, Australia | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 30 | Josh Jackson | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 160 | Warner Robins, USA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Dimitrije Kovacevic |  Transfer from Wake Forest | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 215 | Doboj, Bosnia & Herzegovina | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Ryder Cate | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-5 · 190 | Richmond, USA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 22 | Sawyer Mayhugh | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-9 · 225 | Weston, USA | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 0 | Dawson Barr | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-4 · 190 | Orlando, USA | 4.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 10 | Manos Koveos |  Transfer from Georgia State | G | Senior | 5-10 · 160 | Rhodes, Greece | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 12 | Petras Padegimas | Returning | F | Senior | 6-8 · 230 | Kaunas, Lithuania | 0.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| Ryder Cate | — | G | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsReinhardt(non-D1) | W90-53Box score → |
| Nov 5 |  atVirginia Tech | L67-96Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  atDavidson | L76-88Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  atGeorgia Southern | Projected 79-81MER: 44% to winMercer: 44% to win Compare |
| Nov 12 |  at#25West Virginia | Projected 63-87MER: 2% to winMercer: 2% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  atPresbyterian | Projected 76-80MER: 37% to winMercer: 37% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 |  vsCharleston Southern | Projected 83-78MER: 68% to winMercer: 68% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  atFlorida Atlantic | Projected 75-83MER: 24% to winMercer: 24% to win Compare |
| Nov 29 | vsGeorgia Southern-East Georgia(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 1 | atGeorgia State | Projected 75-81MER: 32% to winMercer: 32% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsWoffordConference | Projected 85-77MER: 75% to winMercer: 75% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  atArizona State | Projected 70-89MER: 5% to winMercer: 5% to win Compare |
| Dec 15 |  atNew Mexico | Projected 70-92MER: 3% to winMercer: 3% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atChattanoogaConference | Projected 79-82MER: 39% to winMercer: 39% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  atTennessee TechConference | Projected 80-82MER: 41% to winMercer: 41% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 |  vsEast Tennessee StateConference | Projected 75-77MER: 45% to winMercer: 45% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  vsWestern CarolinaConference | Projected 78-81MER: 41% to winMercer: 41% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 | atWoffordConference | Projected 81-80MER: 54% to winMercer: 54% to win Compare |
| Jan 11 |  vsSamfordConference | Projected 79-80MER: 46% to winMercer: 46% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atFurmanConference | Projected 73-86MER: 13% to winMercer: 13% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 | atWestern CarolinaConference | Projected 75-84MER: 22% to winMercer: 22% to win Compare |
| Jan 20 |  vsVMIConference | Projected 84-72MER: 84% to winMercer: 84% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vsUNC GreensboroConference | Projected 82-75MER: 72% to winMercer: 72% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | atEast Tennessee StateConference | Projected 72-80MER: 25% to winMercer: 25% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsThe CitadelConference | Projected 81-70MER: 83% to winMercer: 83% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsFurmanConference | Projected 77-83MER: 28% to winMercer: 28% to win Compare |
| Feb 11 | atVMIConference | Projected 80-76MER: 66% to winMercer: 66% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atUNC GreensboroConference | Projected 79-78MER: 51% to winMercer: 51% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | vsTennessee TechConference | Projected 83-79MER: 63% to winMercer: 63% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 | vsChattanoogaConference | Projected 82-79MER: 60% to winMercer: 60% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | atSamfordConference | Projected 76-83MER: 25% to winMercer: 25% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | atThe CitadelConference | Projected 78-73MER: 66% to winMercer: 66% to win Compare |
SoCon standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Furman | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| 2 | Western Carolina | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 3 | Samford | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 4 | Tennessee Tech | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 5 | UNC Greensboro | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 6 | The Citadel | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 7 | Mercer | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 8 | VMI | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 9 | East Tennessee State | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 10 | Chattanooga | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| 11 | Wofford | 0-0 | 0-2 |