
College Basketball · Sun Belt · 2026-27
Georgia State Panthers
1-2 · Coach Jon Cremins (new)
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-4.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -3.1 (#195)
Preseason: #195
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
16-15
- Conference record
- 10-8
- Conference title
- 8%
- Outright title
- 3%
- Luck
- -0.6
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #195 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #308 in the country (-14.1), 10-22.
- →2% of last season's minutes are back.
- →10 transfers in, led by Jacob Meyer (UAB, 12.4 ppg), Jaden Jackson (South Dakota State, 12.2 ppg), Eric Parnell (Fairleigh Dickinson, 10.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Keeper Jackson (#263).
- →Lost Micah Tucker (13.5 ppg, now at Grand Canyon), Jelani Hamilton (17.8 ppg, now at Florida Atlantic), Malachi Brown (12.2 ppg, now at Western Carolina).
- →New head coach: Jon Cremins, replacing Jonas Hayes. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Georgia State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden JacksonG · Junior · #2038 ranked | 3 · 3 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 40.0 (18-45) | 37.5 (15-40) | — (0-0) |
| Jacob MeyerG · Senior · #1446 ranked | 3 · 3 | 35.0 | 15.3 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 41.0 (16-39) | 33.3 (4-12) | 62.5 (10-16) |
| David ThomasG · Senior · #2174 ranked | 3 · 3 | 34.7 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 34.3 (12-35) | 19.0 (4-21) | 76.9 (10-13) |
| Jacolb Fredson-ColeF · Junior · #759 ranked | 3 · 3 | 29.7 | 14.3 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 60.0 (18-30) | 75.0 (6-8) | 25.0 (1-4) |
| Chris JonesG · Sophomore · #3019 ranked | 3 · 2 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 77.8 (14-18) | 25.0 (1-4) | 58.8 (10-17) |
| Mason NicholsonC · Senior · #1622 ranked | 3 · 1 | 15.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Orion WilsonF · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 44.4 (4-9) | 0.0 (0-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Owen AugunasG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (4-6) | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) |
| Jonas SirtautasF · Senior · #1824 ranked | 3 · 0 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 66.7 (4-6) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Shiyloh FisherG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden JacksonG · Junior | 27 | 12.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.5 ast | |
| Jacob MeyerG · Senior | 26 | 12.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Jacolb Fredson-ColeF · Junior | 25 | 5.5 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| Terrance Dixon Jr.F · Senior | 21 | 9 pts · 4.3 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Eric ParnellG · Senior | 19 | 10.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Zion WilburnG · Junior | 19 | 4.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| David ThomasG · Senior | 19 | 4.2 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.5 ast | |
| Jonas SirtautasF · Senior | 16 | 6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| AJ SmithG · Senior | 14 | 7.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Mason NicholsonC · Senior | 12 | 0.4 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast | |
| Keeper JacksonF · Freshman | Freshman · #263 recruit | 8 | — |
| Chris JonesG · Sophomore | 8 | 2.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.3 ast |
Gone from last season: Micah Tucker (13.5 ppg, to
Grand Canyon), Jelani Hamilton (17.8 ppg, to
Florida Atlantic), Malachi Brown (12.2 ppg, to
Western Carolina), Joah Chappelle (7.2 ppg, to
Tulane), Anthony Enoh (5 ppg, to
Kennesaw State), Trey Scott III (5.3 ppg, to
Charleston)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jacolb Fredson-Cole | F | Junior | 6-7 · 220 | Houston, TX | 14.3 pts · 10.3 reb · 1.7 ast (3 G) | 5.5 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast (34 G) | #759 · +0.59 | |
| 23 | Terrance Dixon Jr. | F | Senior | 6-8 · 230 | Lawrenceville, GA | Hasn't played | 9.0 pts · 4.3 reb · 0.5 ast (34 G) | #829 · +0.52 | |
| 1 | AJ Smith | G | Senior | 6-5 · 190 | Charlotte, NC | Hasn't played | 7.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.8 ast (8 G) | #1440 · +0.13 | |
| 4 | Jacob Meyer | G | Senior | 6-2 · 190 | Covington, KY | 15.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 6.3 ast (3 G) | 12.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.1 ast (28 G) | #1446 · +0.12 | |
| 50 | Mason Nicholson | C | Senior | 6-10 · 300 | Gary, IN | 1.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 0.4 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #1622 · +0.04 | |
| 11 | Jonas Sirtautas | F | Senior | 6-10 · 205 | Kaunas, Lithuania | 3.0 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.3 ast (3 G) | 6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast (19 G) | #1824 · -0.05 | |
| 14 | Jaden Jackson | G | Junior | 6-0 · 185 | Bellevue, NE | 17.0 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast (3 G) | 12.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.5 ast (32 G) | #2038 · -0.13 | |
| 12 | David Thomas | G | Senior | 6-2 · 200 | McDonough, GA | 12.7 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.3 ast (3 G) | 4.2 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.5 ast (31 G) | #2174 · -0.18 | |
| 8 | Zion Wilburn | G | Junior | 6-6 · 215 | Richmond, CA | Hasn't played | 4.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast (30 G) | #2659 · -0.36 | |
| 0 | Chris Jones | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 205 | Atlanta, GA | 13.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.7 ast (3 G) | 2.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.3 ast (19 G) | #3019 · -0.50 | |
| 7 | Eric Parnell | G | Senior | 6-3 · 180 | Melbourne, FL | Hasn't played | 10.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast (32 G) | #3158 · -0.55 | |
| 24 | Keeper Jackson | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-7 · 215 | Memphis, TN | Hasn't played | — | #3424 · -0.68 |
| 2 | Owen Augunas | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 170 | Los Angeles, CA | 10.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 32 | Shiyloh Fisher | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-0 · 175 | Abilene, TX | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 15 | Orion Wilson | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-7 · 195 | Scarborough, ON | 4.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L73-76Box score → | |
| Nov 5 | L67-77Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | vsAndrew(non-D1) | W111-61Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 72-76GAST: 38% to winGeorgia State: 38% to win Compare | |
| Nov 15 | Projected 80-69GAST: 81% to winGeorgia State: 81% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Projected 71-73GAST: 41% to winGeorgia State: 41% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 78-76GAST: 55% to winGeorgia State: 55% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 76-75GAST: 56% to winGeorgia State: 56% to win Compare | |
| Dec 1 | Projected 81-75GAST: 68% to winGeorgia State: 68% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 82-72GAST: 80% to winGeorgia State: 80% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | Projected 75-76GAST: 46% to winGeorgia State: 46% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 83-70GAST: 86% to winGeorgia State: 86% to win Compare | |
| Dec 16 | Projected 73-79GAST: 32% to winGeorgia State: 32% to win Compare | |
| Dec 18 | Projected 65-82GAST: 7% to winGeorgia State: 7% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | vsCoastal Georgia(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 31 | Projected 77-71GAST: 69% to winGeorgia State: 69% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 74-66GAST: 74% to winGeorgia State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 72-75GAST: 40% to winGeorgia State: 40% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 75-80GAST: 34% to winGeorgia State: 34% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 77-78GAST: 49% to winGeorgia State: 49% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 68-71GAST: 41% to winGeorgia State: 41% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 80-73GAST: 73% to winGeorgia State: 73% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 77-76GAST: 53% to winGeorgia State: 53% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 74-81GAST: 28% to winGeorgia State: 28% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 77-72GAST: 66% to winGeorgia State: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 70-75GAST: 34% to winGeorgia State: 34% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 77-69GAST: 76% to winGeorgia State: 76% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 74-75GAST: 45% to winGeorgia State: 45% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 71-68GAST: 61% to winGeorgia State: 61% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 73-71GAST: 55% to winGeorgia State: 55% to win Compare | |
| Feb 26 | Projected 77-76GAST: 52% to winGeorgia State: 52% to win Compare | |
Sun Belt standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 0-2 |