
College Basketball · Big 12 · 2026-27
Arizona State Sun Devils
2-0 · Coach Randy Bennett (new)
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+15.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +12.8 (#73)
Preseason: #72
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-14
- Conference record
- 7-11
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #72 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #72 in the country (+13.0), 17-16.
- →9% of last season's minutes are back.
- →6 transfers in, led by Paulius Murauskas (Saint Mary's, 18.4 ppg), Joel Foxwell (Portland, 15.6 ppg), Ben Defty (Boston University, 15.1 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: JRob Croy (#131).
- →Lost Maurice Odum (16.4 ppg), Massamba Diop (13.6 ppg, now at Gonzaga), Noah Meeusen (5.9 ppg, now at DePaul).
- →New head coach: Randy Bennett, replacing Bobby Hurley. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one; his teams have finished 2.3 points above expectations, which counts a little.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Arizona State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulius MurauskasF · Senior · #29 ranked | 2 · 2 | 36.5 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 58.1 (18-31) | 25.0 (2-8) | 84.2 (16-19) |
| Joel FoxwellG · Sophomore · #321 ranked | 2 · 2 | 36.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 31.6 (6-19) | 27.3 (3-11) | 77.8 (7-9) |
| Dillan ShawG · Sophomore · #294 ranked | 2 · 2 | 34.0 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 45.0 (9-20) | 28.6 (2-7) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Filip MalesevicC · Freshman · #1834 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.5 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 85.7 (6-7) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (6-8) |
| JRob CroyG · Freshman · #1927 ranked | 2 · 1 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 46.2 (6-13) | 45.5 (5-11) | — (0-0) |
| Emmanuel InnocentiG · Senior · #288 ranked | 1 · 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Bryce FordG · Senior · #1656 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (6-12) | 33.3 (2-6) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Ben DeftyC · Junior · #310 ranked | 2 · 2 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 37.5 (3-8) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jokubas RudaitisG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Ajak NyuonF | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Nate GarciaC · Sophomore · #1892 ranked | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Vijay WallaceG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulius MurauskasF · Senior | 30 | 18.4 pts · 7.5 reb · 2.1 ast | |
| Emmanuel InnocentiG · Senior | 26 | 6 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Dillan ShawG · Sophomore | 26 | 7.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.5 ast | |
| Joel FoxwellG · Sophomore | 20 | 15.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 6.5 ast | |
| Ben DeftyC · Junior | 19 | 15.1 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.9 ast | |
| Bryce FordG · Senior | 18 | 6.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Nate GarciaC · Sophomore | 13 | 2.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| JRob CroyG · Freshman | Freshman · #131 recruit | 9 | — |
Gone from last season: Maurice Odum (16.4 ppg), Massamba Diop (13.6 ppg, to
Gonzaga), Noah Meeusen (5.9 ppg, to
DePaul), Santiago Trouet (8.1 ppg, to
Ole Miss), Anthony Johnson (13.2 ppg), Andrija Grbović (6.8 ppg, to
Oklahoma State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Paulius Murauskas | F | Senior | 6-8 · 235 | Kaunas, Lithuania | 27.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 18.4 pts · 7.5 reb · 2.1 ast (33 G) | #29 · +2.50 | |
| 5 | Emmanuel Innocenti | G | Senior | 6-5 · 198 | Petit Badien, Ivory Coast | 5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 6.0 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.7 ast (35 G) | #288 · +1.21 | |
| 11 | Dillan Shaw | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 205 | Northridge, CA | 10.5 pts · 9.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 7.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.5 ast (33 G) | #294 · +1.21 | |
| 14 | Ben Defty | C | Junior | 7-0 · 255 | Berlin, Germany | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 15.1 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.9 ast (33 G) | #310 · +1.18 | |
| 3 | Joel Foxwell | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 180 | Melbourne, VIC | 11.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 6.5 ast (2 G) | 15.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 6.5 ast (34 G) | #321 · +1.16 | |
| 4 | Bryce Ford | G | Senior | 6-4 · 190 | Scottsdale, AZ | 8.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.8 ast (27 G) | #1656 · +0.03 | |
| 25 | Filip Malesevic | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-3 | Belgrade, Serbia | 9.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #1834 · -0.05 |
| 35 | Nate Garcia | C | Sophomore | 7-0 | Glendora, CA | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 2.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.1 ast (16 G) | #1892 · -0.07 | |
| 6 | JRob Croy | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 | Riverside, CA | 8.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #1927 · -0.09 |
| 7 | Jokubas Rudaitis | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 | Kaunas, Lithuania | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 8 | Jonathan Griman | F | Sophomore | 6-11 · 215 | Caracas, Venezuela | Hasn't played | 6.1 pts · 5.9 reb · 0.5 ast (31 G) | Not ranked yet | |
| 1 | Marcus Vaughns | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 221 | Melbourne, VIC | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Vijay Wallace | G | Junior | 6-6 · 175 | Chicago, IL | 1.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 9 | Ajak Nyuon | New to Division I | F | 6-10 | Canberra, ACT | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W75-65Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | W90-63Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 80-66ASU: 88% to winArizona State: 88% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 94-64ASU: 99% to winArizona State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 87-69ASU: 94% to winArizona State: 94% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 76-77ASU: 48% to winArizona State: 48% to win Compare | |
| Nov 26 | Projected 77-73ASU: 63% to winArizona State: 63% to win Compare | |
| Nov 30 | Projected 87-67ASU: 96% to winArizona State: 96% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 77-75ASU: 55% to winArizona State: 55% to win Compare | |
| Dec 8 | Projected 89-70ASU: 95% to winArizona State: 95% to win Compare | |
| Dec 14 | Projected 77-79ASU: 44% to winArizona State: 44% to win Compare | |
| Dec 20 | Projected 85-71ASU: 89% to winArizona State: 89% to win Compare | |
| Dec 23 | Projected 84-66ASU: 94% to winArizona State: 94% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 87-70ASU: 92% to winArizona State: 92% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 79-84ASU: 32% to winArizona State: 32% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 73-81ASU: 25% to winArizona State: 25% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 83-77ASU: 68% to winArizona State: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 68-79ASU: 17% to winArizona State: 17% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 73-86ASU: 13% to winArizona State: 13% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 83-74ASU: 77% to winArizona State: 77% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 70-78ASU: 25% to winArizona State: 25% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 69-77ASU: 24% to winArizona State: 24% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 69-79ASU: 19% to winArizona State: 19% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 76-78ASU: 44% to winArizona State: 44% to win Compare | |
| Feb 9 | Projected 68-84ASU: 8% to winArizona State: 8% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 76-83ASU: 28% to winArizona State: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 79-78ASU: 56% to winArizona State: 56% to win Compare | |
| Feb 19 | Projected 73-78ASU: 33% to winArizona State: 33% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 79-68ASU: 82% to winArizona State: 82% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 77-78ASU: 47% to winArizona State: 47% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 80-79ASU: 51% to winArizona State: 51% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 76-85ASU: 23% to winArizona State: 23% to win Compare | |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 1-1 |