
College Basketball · MAC · 2026-27
Miami (OH) RedHawks
2-0 · Coach Travis Steele
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+9.9points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +11.8 (#83)
Preseason: #82
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
24-7
- Conference record
- 17-5
- Conference title
- 40%
- Outright title
- 27%
- Luck
- +0.5
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #82 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #92 in the country (+9.3), 32-2.
- →49% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Stevie Elam (Milwaukee, 10.5 ppg), Rich Rolf (Youngstown State, 9.1 ppg), Preston Copeland (Ball State, 4.6 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Peter Suder (14.8 ppg), Brant Byers (14.3 ppg, now at Penn State), Eian Elmer (12.7 ppg, now at Wisconsin).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Miami (OH)
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almar AtlasonG · Senior · #831 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.5 | 12.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 32.1 (9-28) | 16.7 (3-18) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Luke SkaljacG · Junior · #276 ranked | 1 · 1 | 32.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 35.7 (5-14) | 50.0 (3-6) | 100.0 (6-6) |
| Evan IpsaroG · Senior · #116 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 31.6 (6-19) | 33.3 (3-9) | 85.7 (12-14) |
| Justin KirbyG · Sophomore · #865 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 50.0 (9-18) | 57.1 (4-7) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Antwone WoolfolkG · Fifth Year · #306 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 71.4 (5-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Stevie ElamG · Sophomore · #889 ranked | 2 · 1 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 55.6 (10-18) | 33.3 (3-9) | — (0-0) |
| Kyle WaltzG · Sophomore · #1148 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.0 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 62.5 (5-8) | 50.0 (2-4) | 90.0 (9-10) |
| Tyler RobbinsG · Sophomore · #1241 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 55.6 (5-9) | 0.0 (0-3) | — (0-0) |
| Leshawn StowersG · Redshirt Freshman | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Rich RolfG · Redshirt Senior · #846 ranked | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Alan HortonG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke SkaljacJunior | 27 | 10.3 pts · 3 reb · 4.5 ast | |
| Antwone WoolfolkFifth Year | 24 | 9.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.5 ast | |
| Almar AtlasonSenior | 20 | 9.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Rich RolfRedshirt Senior | 19 | 9.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.1 ast | |
| Stevie ElamSophomore | 16 | 10.5 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Preston CopelandSophomore | 15 | 4.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Justin KirbySophomore | 13 | 6.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Evan IpsaroSenior | 13 | 13.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.2 ast | |
| Tyler RobbinsSophomore | 9 | 3.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Kyle WaltzSophomore | 8 | 3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Jackson KoteckiSenior | 5 | 1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Ethan WrightSenior | 5 | 1.4 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Peter Suder (14.8 ppg), Brant Byers (14.3 ppg, to
Penn State), Eian Elmer (12.7 ppg, to
Wisconsin), Trey Perry (5.8 ppg, to
Coastal Carolina)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Evan Ipsaro | Senior | 13.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 13.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.2 ast (12 G) | #116 · +1.75 | ||||
| 3 | Luke Skaljac | Junior | 19.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 5.0 ast (1 G) | 10.3 pts · 3.0 reb · 4.5 ast (32 G) | #276 · +1.24 | ||||
| 13 | Antwone Woolfolk | Fifth Year | 7.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 9.8 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.5 ast (33 G) | #306 · +1.18 | ||||
| 11 | Almar Atlason | Senior | 12.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 9.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast (34 G) | #831 · +0.52 | ||||
| 9 | Rich Rolf | Redshirt Senior | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 9.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.1 ast (31 G) | #846 · +0.51 | ||||
| 6 | Justin Kirby | Sophomore | 12.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 6.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast (21 G) | #865 · +0.49 | ||||
| 8 | Stevie Elam | Sophomore | 11.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 10.5 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.8 ast (25 G) | #889 · +0.47 | ||||
| 25 | Kyle Waltz | Sophomore | 10.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 3.0 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast (21 G) | #1148 · +0.28 | ||||
| 20 | Tyler Robbins | Sophomore | 5.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast (27 G) | #1241 · +0.24 | ||||
| 7 | Ethan Wright | Senior | Hasn't played | 1.4 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #1635 · +0.04 | ||||
| 24 | Jackson Kotecki | Senior | Hasn't played | 1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast (5 G) | #1694 · +0.02 | ||||
| 5 | Preston Copeland | Sophomore | Hasn't played | 4.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.3 ast (30 G) | #2069 · -0.14 | ||||
| 00 | Alan Horton | Freshman | Freshman | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |||
| 1 | Anthony Fresh | Freshman | Freshman | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet | |||
| 35 | Danny Kelly | Freshman | Freshman | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet | |||
| 21 | Leshawn Stowers | Redshirt Freshman | 0.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W86-77Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | W80-73Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 14 | Projected 83-70M-OH: 87% to winMiami (OH): 87% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | vsDefiance(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 22 | Projected 76-77M-OH: 45% to winMiami (OH): 45% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 88-69M-OH: 95% to winMiami (OH): 95% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 88-68M-OH: 96% to winMiami (OH): 96% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 82-73M-OH: 78% to winMiami (OH): 78% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 75-79M-OH: 39% to winMiami (OH): 39% to win Compare | |
| Dec 16 | Projected 79-76M-OH: 60% to winMiami (OH): 60% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 79-65M-OH: 89% to winMiami (OH): 89% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 83-78M-OH: 67% to winMiami (OH): 67% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | vsUnion Commonwealth (KY)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 | Projected 81-67M-OH: 90% to winMiami (OH): 90% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 79-76M-OH: 61% to winMiami (OH): 61% to win Compare | |
| Jan 8 | Projected 77-83M-OH: 33% to winMiami (OH): 33% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 81-69M-OH: 85% to winMiami (OH): 85% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 83-78M-OH: 67% to winMiami (OH): 67% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 85-70M-OH: 91% to winMiami (OH): 91% to win Compare | |
| Jan 22 | Projected 81-79M-OH: 55% to winMiami (OH): 55% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 79-74M-OH: 68% to winMiami (OH): 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 29 | Projected 82-77M-OH: 66% to winMiami (OH): 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 86-75M-OH: 85% to winMiami (OH): 85% to win Compare | |
| Feb 9 | Projected 82-73M-OH: 79% to winMiami (OH): 79% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 76-68M-OH: 75% to winMiami (OH): 75% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 83-73M-OH: 80% to winMiami (OH): 80% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 85-71M-OH: 88% to winMiami (OH): 88% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 78-70M-OH: 76% to winMiami (OH): 76% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 85-74M-OH: 83% to winMiami (OH): 83% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 78-73M-OH: 69% to winMiami (OH): 69% to win Compare | |
| Mar 5 | Projected 82-70M-OH: 85% to winMiami (OH): 85% to win Compare | |
MAC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-2 |