
College Basketball · MAC · 2026-27
Bowling Green Falcons
1-0 · Coach Todd Simon
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+1.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +0.6 (#150)
Preseason: #150
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
19-12
- Conference record
- 12-10
- Conference title
- 2%
- Outright title
- 1%
- Luck
- +0.4
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #150 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #141 in the country (+2.3), 18-14.
- →20% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Jayden Johnson (South Carolina State, 13.4 ppg), Juan Cranford Jr. (Eastern Kentucky, 12.1 ppg), Tristan Beckford (South Florida, 2.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: KJ Torbert (#327).
- →Lost Javontae Campbell (18.7 ppg, now at Cincinnati), Sam Towns (11.8 ppg), Justin Thomas (5.4 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Bowling Green
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach HowellG · Senior · #2505 ranked | 1 · 1 | 39.0 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 71.4 (10-14) | 60.0 (6-10) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Josiah ShackelfordG · Junior · #854 ranked | 1 · 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 26.7 (4-15) | 20.0 (1-5) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Makhi LeachG · Sophomore · #1771 ranked | 1 · 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-1) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Tristan BeckfordG · Sophomore · #1304 ranked | 1 · 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 83.3 (5-6) | 0.0 (0-1) | 22.2 (2-9) |
| Preston SquireF · Junior · #2418 ranked | 1 · 0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Juan Cranford Jr.G · Junior · #2234 ranked | 1 · 0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Camden KarelF · Sophomore · #2265 ranked | 1 · 0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Trey SimmonsG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Christ EssandokoF · Senior · #2072 ranked | 1 · 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| KJ TorbertG · Freshman · #3768 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah ShackelfordG · Junior | 23 | 11.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Juan Cranford Jr.G · Junior | 18 | 12.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Jayden JohnsonG · Junior | 15 | 13.4 pts · 3 reb · 3.5 ast | |
| Tristan BeckfordG · Sophomore | 14 | 2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Christ EssandokoF · Senior | 14 | 2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast | |
| Makhi LeachG · Sophomore | 10 | 3.1 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Aiden GoinsF · Senior | 10 | 4.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| KJ TorbertG · Freshman | Freshman · #327 recruit | 8 | — |
| Camden KarelF · Sophomore | 7 | 1.9 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Preston SquireF · Junior | 5 | 1 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Christian DedivanajG · Sophomore | 5 | 0.4 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.6 ast |
Gone from last season: Javontae Campbell (18.7 ppg, to
Cincinnati), Sam Towns (11.8 ppg), Justin Thomas (5.4 ppg), Javon Ruffin (7.8 ppg), Troy Glover II (7.7 ppg), Mayar Wol (10.5 ppg, to
Seton Hall)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Josiah Shackelford | G | Junior | 6-5 · 210 | Sanford, FL | 12.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G) | 11.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G) | #854 · +0.50 | |
| 0 | Tristan Beckford | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 205 | Maple, ON | 12.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast (22 G) | #1304 · +0.20 | |
| 3 | Makhi Leach | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 180 | Toledo, OH | 12.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 3.1 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.4 ast (26 G) | #1771 · -0.02 | |
| 5 | Christian Dedivanaj | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 175 | Flint, MI | Hasn't played | 0.4 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.6 ast (5 G) | #1926 · -0.09 | |
| 34 | Aiden Goins | F | Senior | 6-9 · 280 | Knoxville, TN | Hasn't played | 4.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast (25 G) | #2065 · -0.14 | |
| 22 | Christ Essandoko | F | Senior | 7-1 · 290 | Clichy, France | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 2.0 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast (21 G) | #2072 · -0.14 | |
| 8 | Juan Cranford Jr. | G | Junior | 6-4 · 220 | Dayton, OH | 2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | 12.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.6 ast (32 G) | #2234 · -0.21 | |
| 15 | Camden Karel | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 220 | Byron Center, MI | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.9 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast (20 G) | #2265 · -0.22 | |
| 13 | Preston Squire | F | Junior | 6-11 · 235 | Ephraim, UT | 8.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast (4 G) | #2418 · -0.27 | |
| 7 | Zach Howell | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-5 · 212 | Springfield, MO | 28.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2505 · -0.30 |
| 10 | Jayden Johnson | G | Junior | 6-1 · 165 | Brooklyn, NY | Hasn't played | 13.4 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.5 ast (32 G) | #2652 · -0.36 | |
| 2 | KJ Torbert | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 180 | East Lansing, MI | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #3768 · -0.83 |
| 35 | Leek Ateny | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-11 · 195 | Rungis, South Sudan | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 11 | Talan Staley | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 186 | Blythewood, SC | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 1 | Trey Simmons | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-1 · 190 | Gaithersburg, MD | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W76-73Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 | Projected 86-69BGSU: 93% to winBowling Green: 93% to win Compare | |
| Nov 12 | Projected 81-62BGSU: 95% to winBowling Green: 95% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 77-78BGSU: 45% to winBowling Green: 45% to win Compare | |
| Nov 21 | Projected 81-72BGSU: 80% to winBowling Green: 80% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Projected 84-63BGSU: 97% to winBowling Green: 97% to win Compare | |
| Nov 27 | Projected 67-85BGSU: 7% to winBowling Green: 7% to win Compare | |
| Dec 2 | Projected 77-78BGSU: 46% to winBowling Green: 46% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 76-70BGSU: 69% to winBowling Green: 69% to win Compare | |
| Dec 16 | Projected 76-79BGSU: 40% to winBowling Green: 40% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 71-83BGSU: 16% to winBowling Green: 16% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | vsCornerstone(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 29 | vsAquinas(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Jan 2 | Projected 79-74BGSU: 66% to winBowling Green: 66% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 79-71BGSU: 73% to winBowling Green: 73% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 72-70BGSU: 57% to winBowling Green: 57% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 74-65BGSU: 76% to winBowling Green: 76% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 76-74BGSU: 59% to winBowling Green: 59% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 76-71BGSU: 69% to winBowling Green: 69% to win Compare | |
| Jan 22 | Projected 80-75BGSU: 68% to winBowling Green: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 26 | Projected 72-73BGSU: 49% to winBowling Green: 49% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 77-73BGSU: 61% to winBowling Green: 61% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 70-69BGSU: 56% to winBowling Green: 56% to win Compare | |
| Feb 9 | Projected 73-82BGSU: 21% to winBowling Green: 21% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 79-70BGSU: 78% to winBowling Green: 78% to win Compare | |
| Feb 16 | Projected 75-79BGSU: 34% to winBowling Green: 34% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 73-77BGSU: 39% to winBowling Green: 39% to win Compare | |
| Feb 23 | Projected 82-68BGSU: 88% to winBowling Green: 88% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 73-74BGSU: 48% to winBowling Green: 48% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 76-78BGSU: 45% to winBowling Green: 45% to win Compare | |
| Mar 5 | Projected 75-67BGSU: 77% to winBowling Green: 77% to win Compare | |
MAC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 0-2 |