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College Basketball · MAC · 2026-27

Bowling Green Falcons

1-0 · Coach Todd Simon

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Power Rankings

#144▲6

Who is best right now.

+1.2points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +0.6 (#150)

Preseason: #150

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

19-12

Conference record
12-10
Conference title
2%
Outright title
1%
Luck
+0.4

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #150 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #141 in the country (+2.3), 18-14.
  • →20% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →4 transfers in, led by Jayden Johnson (South Carolina State, 13.4 ppg), Juan Cranford Jr. (Eastern Kentucky, 12.1 ppg), Tristan Beckford (South Florida, 2.5 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →1 ranked freshman: KJ Torbert (#327).
  • →Lost Javontae Campbell (18.7 ppg, now at Cincinnati), Sam Towns (11.8 ppg), Justin Thomas (5.4 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Bowling Green

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Zach HowellG · Senior · #2505 ranked1 · 139.028.08.01.071.4 (10-14)60.0 (6-10)100.0 (2-2)
Josiah ShackelfordG · Junior · #854 ranked1 · 135.012.09.03.026.7 (4-15)20.0 (1-5)75.0 (3-4)
Makhi LeachG · Sophomore · #1771 ranked1 · 132.012.03.02.033.3 (3-9)0.0 (0-1)66.7 (6-9)
Tristan BeckfordG · Sophomore · #1304 ranked1 · 127.012.07.01.083.3 (5-6)0.0 (0-1)22.2 (2-9)
Preston SquireF · Junior · #2418 ranked1 · 025.08.04.02.060.0 (3-5)33.3 (1-3)50.0 (1-2)
Juan Cranford Jr.G · Junior · #2234 ranked1 · 017.02.03.01.050.0 (1-2)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Camden KarelF · Sophomore · #2265 ranked1 · 010.00.01.00.00.0 (0-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Trey SimmonsG · Junior1 · 09.00.01.00.00.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
Christ EssandokoF · Senior · #2072 ranked1 · 15.02.00.02.0100.0 (1-1)— (0-0)— (0-0)
KJ TorbertG · Freshman · #3768 ranked1 · 01.00.01.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Josiah ShackelfordG · JuniorReturning2311.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast
Juan Cranford Jr.G · JuniorTransfer from Eastern Kentucky1812.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.6 ast
Jayden JohnsonG · JuniorTransfer from South Carolina State1513.4 pts · 3 reb · 3.5 ast
Tristan BeckfordG · SophomoreTransfer from South Florida142.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast
Christ EssandokoF · SeniorTransfer from South Carolina142 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast
Makhi LeachG · SophomoreReturning103.1 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast
Aiden GoinsF · SeniorReturning104.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast
KJ TorbertG · FreshmanFreshman · #327 recruit8—
Camden KarelF · SophomoreReturning71.9 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast
Preston SquireF · JuniorReturning51 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast
Christian DedivanajG · SophomoreReturning50.4 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.6 ast

Gone from last season: Javontae Campbell (18.7 ppg, to Cincinnati), Sam Towns (11.8 ppg), Justin Thomas (5.4 ppg), Javon Ruffin (7.8 ppg), Troy Glover II (7.7 ppg), Mayar Wol (10.5 ppg, to Seton Hall)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
4Josiah ShackelfordReturningGJunior6-5 · 210Sanford, FL12.0 pts · 9.0 reb · 3.0 ast (1 G)11.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.9 ast (32 G)#854 · +0.50
0Tristan BeckfordTransfer from South FloridaGSophomore6-7 · 205Maple, ON12.0 pts · 7.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast (22 G)#1304 · +0.20
3Makhi LeachReturningGSophomore6-2 · 180Toledo, OH12.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)3.1 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.4 ast (26 G)#1771 · -0.02
5Christian DedivanajReturningGSophomore6-3 · 175Flint, MIHasn't played0.4 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.6 ast (5 G)#1926 · -0.09
34Aiden GoinsReturningFSenior6-9 · 280Knoxville, TNHasn't played4.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast (25 G)#2065 · -0.14
22Christ EssandokoTransfer from South CarolinaFSenior7-1 · 290Clichy, France2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)2.0 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast (21 G)#2072 · -0.14
8Juan Cranford Jr.Transfer from Eastern KentuckyGJunior6-4 · 220Dayton, OH2.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)12.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.6 ast (32 G)#2234 · -0.21
15Camden KarelReturningFSophomore6-9 · 220Byron Center, MI0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)1.9 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.1 ast (20 G)#2265 · -0.22
13Preston SquireReturningFJunior6-11 · 235Ephraim, UT8.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G)1.0 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast (4 G)#2418 · -0.27
7Zach HowellNew to Division IGSenior6-5 · 212Springfield, MO28.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—#2505 · -0.30
10Jayden JohnsonTransfer from South Carolina StateGJunior6-1 · 165Brooklyn, NYHasn't played13.4 pts · 3.0 reb · 3.5 ast (32 G)#2652 · -0.36
2KJ TorbertFreshmanGFreshman6-3 · 180East Lansing, MI0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—#3768 · -0.83
35Leek AtenyFreshmanFFreshman6-11 · 195Rungis, South SudanHasn't played—Not ranked yet
11Talan StaleyFreshmanGFreshman6-3 · 186Blythewood, SCHasn't played—Not ranked yet
1Trey SimmonsNew to Division IGJunior6-1 · 190Gaithersburg, MD0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2atGeorgia StateW76-73Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 9vsCleveland StateProjected 86-69BGSU: 93% to win Compare
Nov 12vsNiagaraProjected 81-62BGSU: 95% to win Compare
Nov 17atWilliam & MaryProjected 77-78BGSU: 45% to win Compare
Nov 21vsNorthern IllinoisProjected 81-72BGSU: 80% to win Compare
Nov 24vsGardner-WebbProjected 84-63BGSU: 97% to win Compare
Nov 27atIndianaProjected 67-85BGSU: 7% to win Compare
Dec 2atKent StateConferenceProjected 77-78BGSU: 46% to win Compare
Dec 5vsWestern MichiganConferenceProjected 76-70BGSU: 69% to win Compare
Dec 16vsMiami (OH)ConferenceProjected 76-79BGSU: 40% to win Compare
Dec 19atAkronConferenceProjected 71-83BGSU: 16% to win Compare
Dec 22vsCornerstone(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 29vsAquinas(non-D1)Upcoming
Jan 2vsOhioConferenceProjected 79-74BGSU: 66% to win Compare
Jan 5atCentral MichiganConferenceProjected 79-71BGSU: 73% to win Compare
Jan 9atEastern MichiganConferenceProjected 72-70BGSU: 57% to win Compare
Jan 12vsBall StateConferenceProjected 74-65BGSU: 76% to win Compare
Jan 16atBuffaloConferenceProjected 76-74BGSU: 59% to win Compare
Jan 19vsMassachusettsConferenceProjected 76-71BGSU: 69% to win Compare
Jan 22vsKent StateConferenceProjected 80-75BGSU: 68% to win Compare
Jan 26atWestern MichiganConferenceProjected 72-73BGSU: 49% to win Compare
Jan 30vsToledoConferenceProjected 77-73BGSU: 61% to win Compare
Feb 2atBall StateConferenceProjected 70-69BGSU: 56% to win Compare
Feb 9atMiami (OH)ConferenceProjected 73-82BGSU: 21% to win Compare
Feb 13vsBuffaloConferenceProjected 79-70BGSU: 78% to win Compare
Feb 16vsAkronConferenceProjected 75-79BGSU: 34% to win Compare
Feb 20atToledoConferenceProjected 73-77BGSU: 39% to win Compare
Feb 23vsCentral MichiganConferenceProjected 82-68BGSU: 88% to win Compare
Feb 27atMassachusettsConferenceProjected 73-74BGSU: 48% to win Compare
Mar 2atOhioConferenceProjected 76-78BGSU: 45% to win Compare
Mar 5vsEastern MichiganConferenceProjected 75-67BGSU: 77% to win Compare

MAC standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Akron0-01-0
2Miami (OH)0-02-0
3Bowling Green0-01-0
4Ohio0-02-0
5Central Michigan0-02-0
6Kent State0-01-1
7Massachusetts0-01-1
8Western Michigan0-01-1
9Eastern Michigan0-01-1
10Toledo0-01-2
11Ball State0-00-2
12Buffalo0-00-2
All conference standings →